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4 DAYS UNTIL THE END OF NOVEMBER 2020

Winter May Be Armenian Last Hope To Stop Azerbaijani Attack

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The battle for Shusha will end in 24 hours, Artsrun Hovhannisyan, a representative of the Ministry of Defense of Armenia, said on November 8, vowing that the town will remain Armenian.

Earlier today, Azerbaijani President, Ilham Aliyev, announced that his troops had captured Shusha, the second largest town in the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh.

Armenian officials, however, insist that Shusha is still in the hands of local defense forces. Hovhannisyan said that combat-ready reservists were deployed in the town. The reservists underwent a short training course before deployment.

Hovhannisyan highlighted that the clashes continue in the town of Martuni. Armenian forces repelled several Azerbaijani attacks on the town in the last few days.

Azerbaijani troops sustained heavy material and human losses around Martuni, but so did Armenian forces. According to the Ministry of Defense of Azerbaijan, the Armenian 2nd and 3rd Motorized Rifle Regiments sustained heavy losses in artillery strikes on November 8.

Armenian forces also inflicted heavy losses on Azerbaijani troops in the district of Berdzor, where heavy clashes have been ongoing for a while now.

In his statement, Hovhannisyan, said Armenian losses in Nagorno-Karabakh decreased after the first fifteen days of the battle, which started on September 27.

“We became technically better and stronger; we were able to neutralize the technological advantage of the adversary. And after all, we fight at home, we know the area much better,” Hovhannisyan said, “We are fighting at home, our losses are not critical in comparison with the losses of the opponent who does not know the terrain.”

The Armenian MoD representative concluded his statement by saying “Winter is coming,” noting that Azerbaijan has a bitter logistics experience from the 1993-94 war.

Despite the assurances of Armenian officials, civilians in Nagorno-Karabakh are losing hope, while Azerbaijani forces are advancing deeper in the region.

After more than a month of fierce fighting, Azerbaijan will probably need to reinforce its troops in Nagorno-Karabakh to fight in winter conditions. This may be the only chance for Armenian forces to launch a counter-attack.

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