Where Will the US Strike Next ?

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Where Will the US Strike Next ?

Written by J.Hawk exclusively for SouthFront

While the ceasefire in Syria is holding, there are influential forces within Washington personified by Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Dunford, and CIA Director Brennan, who are clearly unhappy with this state of affairs. Not only have they sunk hundreds of millions of dollars into the Syria venture for no gain whatsoever, they were humiliated by the swiftness of Russia’s victory which came in spite of universal US predictions that Moscow was going to experience “another Afghanistan” in Syria. Which means they might be interested in pursuing another round of “hybrid warfare” against a variety of targets. The West, and the US in particular, are suffering from a systemic crisis caused by several decades of economic neo-liberalism which is gradually destroying their middle classes. Therefore these countries economic growth depends mainly on the ability to secure “emerging markets” by whatever means necessary, including through “color revolutions.” While the US has suffered several tactical setbacks in recent years, it has not changed its strategy and will not until it either fundamentally reforms it economy or suffers a systemic collapse. In the meantime, we can expect more “color revolutions” and proxy wars aimed at promoting neo-colonial economic relations around teh globe. The only question being, where? There are several “candidates.”

Syria

That war is not over yet, and it could definitely be escalated again. However, it is evident that the US approach to the war, namely supplying militants with weapons, proved far less effective than Russia’s, which relied on legitimate Syrian political institutions. Reversing that trend would require allowing Turkey and possibly Gulf Arab states to intervene militarily in Syria. That move would be extremely dangerous for Turkey and other foreign powers, and would moreover threaten the integrity of NATO whose European members strongly oppose the idea of such involvement. Then there is the question of whether the US really wants to give Turkey the free rein in Syria and Iraq, considering its neo-Ottoman and pan-Turkic ambitions also run counter to US own interests.

Ukraine

That war is not yet over either. But here, too, Russia has the upper hand. Even providing advanced NATO weapons to Ukraine would not guarantee a Ukrainian victory on the Donbass, and would instead provoke a more forceful Russian response which would place US and NATO before a lose-lose proposition:  direct military involvement which entails the risk of a nuclear exchange and which would, again, fracture NATO, or backing down in humiliation, with only additional, and by now marginaly effective, economic sanctions available to save face. Furthermore, the proximity to Europe means there’s a danger of yet another refugee wave flooding the EU, which is why Europe has insisted on pursuing its own policies in Ukraine, separately from the US.

Armenia and/or Azerbaijan

Both of these countries, though particularly Armenia, enjoy close relations with Russia, which might make them tempting “consolation prizes” for Washington, particularly since their economies are also suffering from the ongoing global economic crisis. At closer glance, their attractiveness as targets becomes less so when one considers that the fact the two countries are in a rivalry means any internal unrest in one is liable to be capitalized upon by the other. Also, they are both much further away from Europe and very close to Russia, which moreover stations troops on Armenia’s territory. While some of the “unemployed” ISIS militants could be gainfully employed in the region, it could have the effect of antagonizing Georgia which cannot possibly welcome Azeri dominance of its immediate neighborhood.

Belarus

There are indications that Western powers are trying to sway Belarus over to its side through the gradual lessening of sanctions and other overtures to its leadership. Moreover, Belarus has its own nationalist forces similar in terms of ideology and objectives to their Ukrainian counterparts. Overall, however, Belarus is not Ukraine. It is smaller, predominantly Russian-speaking, with no Stepan Bandera haunting its politics from beyond the grave and with a very close relationship between Russian military and its Belarusian counterpart which guarantees that military is highly unlikely to be used as a bulwark of some nationalist regime in the future. Finally, Ukraine’s example is probably the greatest antidote to anything resembling a “color revolution” in Belarus.

Cuba

The “improvement” in the relations between Cuba and the US does not mean the latter has abandoned its policy of regime change it has been pursuing for over 50 years. Instead, the change is driven by the fact that the sanctions have failed destabilize Cuba’s government and instead consolidated its society around Fidel Castro and the Communist Party. Moreover, Cuba will enter into a period of instability following Fidel’s death, which the US will almost certainly attempt to exploit. Russia is entirely too far away to effectively aid Cuba against the next round of subversion which will no doubt be well financed and well prepared–the Cuba exile community in Florida has not been doing anything else for half a century, with US intelligence services’ assistance.

Egypt

Hosni Mubarak’s unwillingness to prostrate himself economically before the West and sacrifice his country’s economic interests on the altar of globalization led to the US promoting the Egyptian Spring of Tahrir Square. However, that particular “color revolution” seems to have misfired. Mubarak was quickly replaced by Morsi’s Muslim Brotherhood who likewise proved to be economic nationalists rather than globalists, hence their arrival in power probably was not welcomed in Washington. When the Muslim Brotherhood was overthrown by the Egyptian military, it seems to have been welcomed by the West which was actually more worried in that case by what their revolution had unleashed. Furthermore, al-Sisi has promptly sought out Russia as an insurance policy against future US attempts to destabilize the country, which in any event don’t seem to have a high chance of success. The Egyptian military proved to be a cohesive force, capable of acting decisively to protect the country’s sovereignty. It will likely do so again if needed.

Iran

Iran is the Cuba of the Middle East: a long-isolated country which is being prepped for a forcible overthrow through the use of “soft power” which could not be applied for as long as the sanctions regime is in place. The country is far too large for Russia to intervene directly, and therefore everything will depend on the cohesion of the Iranian leadership elite and of the armed forces, including the IRGC. As the example of Ukraine has shown, if a sizable element of the security apparatus becomes corrupted by the “color revolution” ideas, it renders the state powerless to resist. Whether Iran has that “natural immunity” remains to be seen. However, it will surely be tested in the upcoming years.

Central Asia

Here the opportunities for anti-Russian destabilization are the greatest. The level of Russian influence is considerable but not high enough to prevent a “color revolution.” The countries of the region have extensive mineral resources which are no doubt being eyed covetously by US energy companies. Afghanistan’s proximity means that the Islamic State can attempt to project its influence into Central Asia with ease, with the region representing the best chance of “re-employing” its militants following the debacle in Syria. Destabilizing the region would moreover also damage China’s interests by jeopardizing the New Silk Road, and would drive a wedge between the EU and China, increasing the EU’s economic isolation and pushing it into US arms. Finally, destabilization of Central Asia would have an isolating effect on Iran, whose recent nuclear treaty has not been met with approval by the US hardliners. One must also note that the resulting refugee crisis would not greatly affect Europe–Russia is a far closer destination.  Therefore, by far, Central Asia appears to be the most likely theater for the next round of hybrid warfare, one which both Russia and China will have to watch closely.

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  • Nexusfast123

    Where will they stuff up next…most certain they will stuff up.

    • KIZMET

      I like you. :D

  • deillns

    I bet is Central Asia, Given that Afghanistan conditional has not
    change since the Soviet Times, it is a ideal place not only to proxy
    attack, but also to expand colour revolution namely to Uzbekistan and
    its majority muslim population. If i am a neo-con i would created a
    Ukraine-like Scenario in that country(Uzbekistan) in-order to plunge the
    whole of Central Asia(Central of Eurasia btw) into total Chaos.

    It
    would like be Setting off a 10 gigaton nuclear bomb, on a major Earth
    Fault Line and thus setting off a earthquake chain reaction across the
    globe.

    It would be Wise and up-most priority that Russia and its allies should Prevent this or prepare for this at all cost.

    • LiberalsRLost

      There is much reading here:
      http://cheniere.org/

      and you will eventually find an article written by Dr. Bearden on Scalar weapons……

      There are a multitude of them around the world. Russia (old USSR) was one of the first…and Nikita tried to warn the world “not to go there” yet the ussa has created so many enemies that there is maybe one nation countering all the scalar attacks…..think weather and earthquakes for starters…..

  • Guy New

    even though i live in the USA it is time we suffer Gods wrath .. praying we do not suffer too bad amen

    • WeDontNeed NoEducation

      WTF are you simple boy!? Why would you want that? You do realize that a suffering ‘God’s Wrath’ means USA turning into a third world nation…do you really want to live in a country like SA? You have no idea what it’s like living in a 3rd world nation! Now stop being a sad little, self hating, race traitor white cxxnt and enjoy your first world life, secured for you by your hardworking countrymen! For the prosperity of it’s people, the US has to dominate, and in the same way I would dominate if it meant that SA would be stronger. Don’t be a progressive, almost feminine little mofo, be a man and embrace your nation, as you will be counted by God as an American and suffer his wrath or the wrath of those wishing to do ‘America’ harm…you won’t somehow be exempted from the wrong doings(in some people’s overblown opinions) of your nation. Besides, if you as a nation would ever be prosecuted, you will have my support and the support of many other straight thinking individuals, not looking at the US as a bandit nation, but rather a father to it’s citizens willing to do whatever it takes to provide a better world for them. Africa, South America, Asia, Asia Minor the Oceanic…there is nothing for you there.

      • Guy New

        you do not understand Gods wrath.. you only are concerned for your life here on earth. I look to eternity with my heavenly Father .. my country has done much evil to the world in the name of democracy.. God will soon have his wrath on us. i am sure unless we all get down on hands and knees and repent for the murder of over 61 million babies and homosexual marriage we are domed to his punishment.. i am far from some progressive who thinks all people deserve equal rights as i gays and lesbians and transgenders who are ruining our world with their self seeking desires and you too are more progressive than me as you only seek for your pleasure in this world and do not look on to eternity with God above

        • XSFRGR

          This has been an excellent forum for the discussion of world events. Religion has it’s place, but I sincerely hope this doesn’t become one of them.

      • XSFRGR

        I haven’t seen you on this forum before, but after reading your posts I do think that your one of the most interesting examples of cognitive dissonance that I’ve encountered lately. If you are a troll you’re one of the best I’ve run into.

        My bottom line is that he US, and the West have been ripping off the rest of the world for several hundred years, and now the bill has come due. As for the great White race: I was in the Rhodesia army during 77 to 79, and I watched the Rhodies bend over, and take it. I then saw the almighty Whites in SA do the same thing, and they took it without a whimper.

        Two final thoughts:

        1. The law of karma is absolute: What goes around comes around.

        2. The White race is defeated: The fate of a defeated race is slavery, and death.

        • LiberalsRLost

          This guy replied to one of my posts and had the same style of reply….truly blind to the Anglo-Zio take over of our nation and the anguished created my depleted uranium from the ussa wonderful M1A2 Abrams tanks…

          so now Iraq is a wasteland that will birth countless genetically deformed children…..truly a sad situation…..and yes he typifies what is wrong or what has been a successful brainwashing of MkUltra into our society….

        • William Toffan

          A bit off topic, but I am completing a book on a Canadian who died by friendly fire in the Rhodesian Army in November, 1976 ( just before your term of service). Ian Smith insisted that the dead soldier, Matthew Charles LAMB, be given a military funeral down the main streets of Harare. LAMB had been the first ‘spree killer’ in my city in 1966, before spending 6 years in a Canadian institute for the criminally insane. Released, he went to Rhodesia and joined the white minority regime’s military where he apparently acquitted himself quite well. Book is in final draft but I am hoping for information of LAMB’s time in Rhodesia outside the on-line stuff. If you can help, love to hear from you.

          Will Toffan

          • XRGRSF

            Unfortunately, I’m not familiar with Lamb. We did have a rather unstable individual in my Commando, George Clark, who was killed in 77. It is my understanding that he came to Rhodesia via the US, but was a Canadian citizen. I knew Clark well, though he was in another troop. George had a premonition of his death, and I, at his prior request, placed a folded US flag on his coffin. His funeral was well attended by members of RLI, but there was no parade. I liked Clark: he was a bit of a nut case, but a decent man, and a good soldier.

            There is a Rhodie who lives in my area, and I’ll ask her if she remembers Lamb.

  • KIZMET

    Well I can guarantee you it will NOT be China or Iran.

  • WeDontNeed NoEducation

    This is a bunch of communist propaganda, how can they possibly write a report on what the ‘next move’ [invasive action] will be for the US of A, it’s not like they are toppling one domino a month or p/a…what an overblown pile of rubbish! Pure anti-American rhetoric.

    I am a huge supporter of South Front, and the Russian/SAA alliance in Syria, but this is blatant fear mongering anti-American crap, for the sake of triggering some kind of global awakening to the “fact” that the US is the ‘prime evil’ in the world.

    If your an American, don’t be a thrid world “groupie” always condemning the motives of your nation just to fit in with these so-called marginal populations, don’t believe in white pride and all this other bullshit! YOU KNOW FOR A FACT, as a white person, ALL you want in life is to be happy, and for your family to be happy! Fxxck the rest, if they are somehow inconvenienced by what you aspire to become for the sake of your family, and yourself.

    • 888mladen .

      Exactly GET OVER YOURSELVES!
      “in a nation where 45%-55% of the population now believes that 9/11 was a false flag op” So what was it?

  • Dr. Ronald Cutburth

    When NATO attacks Russia (I say within 2 years) Russia will finish off NATO. I have warned Americans often of the superior Russian military equipment. ( I warned more many about 3 months before Russia went into Syria. Notice their slick operations with absolute control? Example 2, our slow moving air craft carriers versus Russia’ supersonic bombers carrying Mach 5 cruise missiles can disable most of our air craft carriers within about one week.3. Two Su T-160 carries more than 17 Mach 5 cruise missiles. so two can do in most of the NATO bases in Europe within one week. Dr. Ronald Cutburth, engineering scientist, intelligence expert.