When, Where, and How Will the Empire Strike Back?

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Written by James George Jatras; Originally appeared on strategic-culture.org

In any analysis of contemporary international politics it pays to be cautiously pessimistic. As the default mode one can generally expect that any way in which things can go wrong to threaten the peace and security of the planet, they will. Anticipation of improvement is a chump’s bet.

When, Where, and How Will the Empire Strike Back?

That’s why the analyst’s gut instinct rebels at any indication that things overall may be moving in a positive direction, however haltingly or indirectly. But consider:

  • Europe’s anti-Russia sanctions: American pressure on Europe with respect to trade with Iran, added to Trump’s new tariffs, feeds resentment across Europe, especially in powerful Germany, which especially objects to Washington’s threatening sanctions on companies participating in Nord Stream 2. It may be too soon to guess how soon the EU will pull the plug on anti-Russian sanctions, but there’s something in the air when even the likes of European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker can say that “Russia-bashing has to be brought to an end.”  Italy’s voice will be key.

At the epicenter of each one of these earthshaking developments is one man: Donald Trump.

It would be inaccurate to say that these are even moves of the US government, of which Trump is only in partial control. With the permanent government – not to mention some of his own appointees – seeking to undermine him at every step, Trump seems to be resorting to the one tool he has at his personal disposal: disruption.

Let’s remember that, especially in the Rust Belt states of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin, those who voted for Trump wanted something radically different from business as usual. They voted for him because they wanted a bull in a china shop, a wrecking ball, a human hand grenade, a big “FU” to the system.

Maybe that’s what we got.

To be sure, none of the foregoing itemized developments is dispositive. But taken together they point to a remarkable confluence of good omens, at least from the point of view of those who wanted to shake up, even shatter, the cozy arrangements that have guided the so-called “liberal global order.”

But those whose careers and privileges, and in some cases their freedom and even lives, depend on perpetuating that order will not go gentle into that good night. They are getting nervous. This means in particular the elements of the US-UK special services, their Democratic and GOP Never-Trump fellow travelers, the Trump-hating fake news media, and the bureaucratic nonentities in Brussels (not only at the European Commission but at NATO headquarters).

If past is prologue, the Empire will strike back – hard and dirty.

One is reminded of the past seven years of war in Syria, where every time the US indicated a willingness to disengage, or when Syrian forces had made major military gains, then – BAM! – a chemical weapons attack immediately and without evidence is attributed to government forces, followed by renewed cries of “Assad is killing his own people! Assad must go!” (This is a ploy that goes back at least the Bosnian war of the 1990s. Every time a negotiated ceasefire seemed to be taking shape, another “Serb mortar attack” on civilians took place, leading to calls for NATO military action.)

The question is not “if” there will be a provocation, rather it’s one of when, where and how. While it’s difficult to make predictions, especially about the future, it’s nonetheless possible to anticipate some possibilities:

  • FIFA World Cup 2018 in Russia (June 14 to July 15): Given the huge expense and effort Russia has put into the World Cup as a favorable showcase to the world, it will be a tempting target. Let’s remember that the unconstitutional ouster of Ukraine’s elected government took place as Putin’s attention was presumably distracted by his pride and joy, the 2014 Sochi Winter Olympics. The 2008 attack by Georgia’s then-president, Mikheil Saakashvili, on South Ossetia, was launched while the world’s eyes were focused on the Summer Olympics in Beijing. Both initiatives led to a strong counteraction by Moscow, leading in turn to worsened relations between Russia and the west – including Russia’s suspension from the G8 in 2014. (Though in the fevered imagination of western Russophobes, Putin was the one using the games as a cover, not the other way around.) A provocation could be directed against the FIFA events themselves – perhaps a terrorist attack by ISIS operatives reportedly being ferried out of the Middle East to Russia – or something elsewhere timed to coincide with matches being played all over Russia.
  • Ukraine: Regarding President Petro Poroshenko’s actions, everything must be put into the context of upcoming presidential elections in 2019. Poroshenko has to find a way to get into a runoff, presumably against Yulia Tymoshenko. The most beneficial thing he could do would be somehow to pull a rabbit out of his hat and achieve a peace deal in the Donbas. But chances of that are slim to none, as it would require flexibility from Kiev that Poroshenko can’t afford to show lest he be accused of being a Russian puppet. Conversely, he can up the ante with the Russians and hope the West will line up behind him. Perhaps the recent fake news murder fiasco regarding the still very much alive Arkady Babchenko was to have been one such ploy but it misfired. But there are other options, such as a provocation along the line of control in the Donbas (the newly delivered US Javelin missiles are handy, as is the Dutch MH17 report), maybe a covert attack on the Kerch bridge, as well as other less obvious possibilities.
  • Incident between NATO and Russian forcesNATO forces are stepping up provocative maneuvers on Russia’s doorstep in the Baltic and Black seas – purely to deter Moscow’s aggression, mind you. An incident could occur as any time, either by accident or on purpose. Either way, it would be the hostile Russians’ fault for putting their country so close to our bases and the venues of our military exercises.
  • Assassination: One of Putin’s well-known predilections is for killing, or at least attempting to kill, anyone who might displease him. Or like Assad with his chemical weapons, maybe Putin kills just for the sheer, malicious fun of it. The list of victims is long: Babchenko (except, not), the two Skripals (except, not them either), political opponents like Boris Nemtsov and Sergei Yushenkov, muckraking journalists like Anna Politkovskaya and Natalia Estemirova, former chekist Aleksandr Litvinenko, RT network founder Mikhail Lesin, crusading lawyers like Stanislav Markelov and Sergei Magnitsky, oligarch Boris Berezovsky, and so on. A well-timed rubout of a suitably visible figure would have a salubrious impact on any annoying moves towards east-west rapprochement. No evidence is needed – the mere identity of the victim would be irrefutable proof of Putin’s guilt.

Regarding the last item, assassination, it should always be kept in mind that in the end the man threatening to upset the applecart of the liberal global order isn’t Putin – it’s Trump. That suggests an ultimate solution that might become tempting if The Donald’s continued functioning at higher than room temperature becomes just too much to endure.

As Joseph Stalin is reputed to have remarked, “Death solves all problems. No man, no problem.” Trump, who for many powerful people is quite a problem indeed, has been recklessly compared to Jean-Marie Le Pen, Silvio Berlusconi, Vladimir Putin – even to Hitler and Mussolini. In an American context, to Andrew Jackson, Huey Long, and George Wallace. Let’s note that each of those three Americans was the target of assassination. Jackson (someone Trump is known to admire) survived by a failure of his attacker’s pistols, hailed by some at the time as miraculous. “The Kingfish” was killed. Wallace was crippled for life.

There is reason to think that Trump is well aware of the fate of the last American president who so threatened the habitual order of things and the entrenched, ruthless establishment that profits so mightily from it. He has repeatedly indicated his interest in releasing the full file on Jack Kennedy’s assassination, then backed off from it for undisclosed reasons. The shooting death of the president’s brother Robert Kennedy, who had he been elected president in 1968 would have had the opportunity to reopen the investigation into his brother’s murder, is back in the news with Robert Kennedy, Jr., expressing doubt about the official conclusion that his father was killed by Sirhan Sirhan.

If anyone thinks there is any length to which Trump’s enemies will not go, think again.

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  • Zainab Ali

    the dying bankrupt, oppressive, jewnited states of ameritards is hitting back at itself at an irreversible point of no return in whatever they do

  • Assad must stay (gr8rambino)

    This doesn’t have much to do with this article but I’m getting sick and tired of Russia trying to make friends with countries like israel, france, saudis, turkey, etc. I know they are trying to get on their good side rather than be enemies, but they may as well try to make friends with isis while they’re at it, since all those countries have funded them in one way shape or form.

    • RichardD

      Most Americans want better relations with Russia. The problem is Jews and their collaborators. Not Americans, French, etc..

      • jako

        The problem is that always that “deep state” and “elites” in EU drive those neocolonialist wars and spread endless hatred on the same old recipe.
        So we run in circles of exterminations and they collect huge profits.
        Same old game.

        • John Mason

          We keep hearing about the ‘deep state, elite’, we do have a fair idea who some are but isn’t it about time to name them all. Expose the ‘faceless’ for the globe to see.
          My opinion is that Trump is and always was with the ‘swamp, deep state’.

          • HardHawk

            and you are right but little people especially hollywood educated ones around the world can not see that or even begin to understand it.

          • jako

            Even if you are wrong about Tramp, what would that change?
            Trump is obviously working for them now (if he didn’t before)

          • John Mason

            So true Jako, it is not a matter of who is right or wrong but a serious matter concerning deception.

          • FlorianGeyer

            Trump is an honorary member of the tribe now John :)

      • Assad must stay (gr8rambino)

        yes

    • jako

      Exactly that politics was ONLY Russian politics before war in Syria.
      Russia was always having this approach of appeasement and diplomacy (avoiding war and conflict if possible) So why would Russia change that now?
      To please you, Iran, Assad or somebody else?!!
      Russia is nobodies servant and Russia has answered on Assad call for help in her own free will.
      That doesn’t mean they must change themselves now to please Assad.
      So get “sick and tired” who cares?
      You think Russia cares?
      Russia never tried to make friends with ISIS, Al Qaeda and you know that.
      Russia does everything possible to find peaceful solution and if they have no other solution left they use force.
      Nothing spectacular I admit….For the show and empty talk and lots of unjustified violence you must go to US

      • Assad must stay (gr8rambino)

        i know they never tried to make friends with the terrorists but since they are making friends with israel and other countries who support them, i said they might as well, because why are they not destroying those countries instead?

        • jako

          There is no absolute justice in this world.
          Resolving everything with the war will only bring more war and will not resolve anything at the end really because war is the worst option always.

          The problem with you all people (who support Assad’s Syria)
          It doesn’t matter how intelligent or educated you are you simply can’t accept simple commons sense information.

          Because you think with your emotions(heart) not with the brain.

          Russia does not put all eggs in the same basket =common sense.
          Manning…They will not start animosity with other countries and fulfill only interests and objectives, ambitions of Iran, Syria.
          They do not want to fight war for Iran that would make Iran dominant power in Middle East.
          Russians are not there to fight for Shia dominance over Sunni.
          They are not there to give back Golan to Syria (lost 50 years ago).
          They are not there because they love Assad.
          They came there to help Assad eliminate terrorist’s only.
          Nothing more and nothing less.

          • Assad must stay (gr8rambino)

            Well now Russia is doing much more than just killing the terrorists, they are delivering aid, demining, policing areas, helping invest and rebuild

        • jako

          Just tell me if what you call “making friends with Israel” was different before the war with Syria?
          No it isn’t!
          Russia was always like that with them!
          And how come you are so sly not to remember Turkey as even much worse example?!
          Since Turks (support terrorist also)have shot down Russian bomber and they are indirectly responsible for death of the pilot,Russian Ambassador, death of Russian soldier and destruction of Russian chopper.
          Plenty of things enough to start the war yet Putin has chosen peaceful option with Turkey!
          I know that doesn’t bother you since that is Russian blood only but have at least DECENCY and intellectual honesty to recognize the fact that Russia seeks peaceful solution with everybody first.

          I know that many of you would be happy to fight to the last Russian for your Arab objectives but Russia is not your bitch or servant.

      • FlorianGeyer

        ” So why would Russia change that now?

        After the fall of the USSR and the rape and pillage of Russia by world Zionists in the 90’s it took at least ten years of President Putins guidance to resuscitate Russia and that programme is ongoing.

        • jako

          OK thanks for informing me on something we all already know..

          So all of them (95%) Jews were thieves who escaped with the money,.. so they must declare war to Israel now?
          I don’t think so.
          That is not the objective of any foreign policy to declare wars over bunch of thieves.
          The bigger problem is that once those Jews escaped with money corruption staid right there in Russia even after them for quite some time…
          Even now Russians think that corruption is very high.
          Which speaks for itself that Jewish corruption was hand in hand with Russians in power who were sharing that robbery among them
          Does that mean also that every Jew was ripping off Russia?
          No.
          Yeltsin had gang of Russians around him who did exactly the same what Jews did.

          • FlorianGeyer

            The same thing is evident in the US. In time the thieves will be bought to account as they always have been. It is just a matter of when. The longer the thieves get away with it, the harsher the retribution will be, but it will come.

        • Ace

          The low level of debt they have makes me furious when I consider how the US fools have managed our debt. They may have a smaller economy just now but it strikes me it will be far better able to withstand the coming shocks.

    • James

      Big money and businesses are behind politics, and Putin is tempting them to Russia where they can make a lot of money. This will hopefully stabilise the conflicts created by the US by pulling their allies away from them. The alternative is world war.

      • Assad must stay (gr8rambino)

        yea, lets hope it works, although id rather see them destroyed

    • goingbrokes

      You prefer hostility? That is exactly what the deep state and other scurrilous players want. But Putin is playing a much better game – he is playing at being friends with everyone! I’m sorry if that’s too subtle for you, but there is nothing that infuriates the Zio-Yanks, the MIC, the CIA and other alphabet agencies more than that decent and friendly face of Putin. Just ask yourself, if you had to have business or political meeting who would you prefer to meet with for a talk if you had a choice? Trump or Putin?

      • HardHawk

        well said. Good question by the way.

      • Assad must stay (gr8rambino)

        trump because i still live in USA and would like to teach him a few things and influence him for the better but i know what you are saying. i do not prefer hostility, but these zio-yanks and stuff deserve to be destroyed, not friends with russia

        • Joe

          really you prefer the kid Trump. Entire US admin are all run by kids talking kidding level stuff…accusing others using kid levels reasoning … and lately even one moronic kid said Kim was crawling on his knees for peace.

          Tell me which one is matured …

          • Assad must stay (gr8rambino)

            Lol I would like to talk to both trump and Putin but putin I admire

    • HardHawk

      then i like to suggest to you, to study NOT read, Sun Tzu. Maybe then you begin to understand also the old saying, keep your friends close and your enemies closer. Zionists bigger power among the mass populations on earth is they divide them and have them always fighting each other. Watch what Putin is doing also.

      On the other hand the only alternative is WW3. All Putin has to do is break up nato and bring europe on his side. I think he is succeeding, on this part this is why england is throwing a fit and foaming in the mouth and using US to do so. So think and understand. Total war is not the answer and time is not on the side of west. Why destroy the world and base his decision and moves on emotion rather than help them destroy each other, and take what he want, with minimum effort?

      • Assad must stay (gr8rambino)

        because they dont deserve to be friends with russia they (terrorists and zionists) deserve to be destroyed but i know what you are saying and what putin is doing. i just hope it will achieve the desired result he is going for

        • HardHawk

          all in good time now is more important issues at hand.

    • Promitheas Apollonious

      Patience my friend all will be clear to you very soon. Nothing it is as it seems.

      • Assad must stay (gr8rambino)

        i sure hope so

        • Promitheas Apollonious

          I believe so and not based on faith, but because I know.

          • Assad must stay (gr8rambino)

            Can u explain more?

          • Promitheas Apollonious

            I was in russia for business, the last two weeks. The people we meet with for the oil, are very close to Putin as well the bankers there. Beside business we discussed many things that are happening on our side of the world, because when you do international business, what happens in Syria for example as well to the other hot locations on Earth, is very important and influence very much our business. So it is important to know where things go.

            I cant tell you all the details on this site but what ever doubts I had before learning what I learn are no longer there.

          • Assad must stay (gr8rambino)

            Please do :))

          • Promitheas Apollonious

            details will not do to you or any one else reading them any good. just know nothing it is at it seems, on the surface.

          • Assad must stay (gr8rambino)

            But you said you can tell me all the details on this site

  • šušu

    The fall of uSSa is nearing irreversible..

  • SnowCatzor

    Good article. I fear there will most likely be some sort of political disruption, backed by globalist types, during the upcoming world cup. This would allow them to paint Russia as authoritarian and in need of more sanctions.

    A terrorist attack on the other hand would only create sympathy for Russia, so they wouldn’t want that.

    • HardHawk

      Their grand plans backfire in their face and went out of their ass. Anything they do is hurting them more than it hurt whom they try to embarrass or catch of guard. And remember what goes around always come ten fold.

  • kirby1

    So this is the cesspool of the internet, how pathetic.

    • ZP

      Not after your highly intelligent and informative contribution, now this is the leading news site of internet. Thank you

      • kirby1

        LOL

  • jako

    In 2015, ninety-two American missile officers were suspended because they had been cheating, taking drugs, or sleeping in the missile silos. These men are employed to guard and to operate 150 nuclear missiles
    https://www.globalresearch.ca/the-malfeasance-of-the-us-military-fallible-and-negligent-men-armed-to-the-teeth-with-missiles-and-nuclear-bombs/5643493

    • Ace

      You make that sound like it was a bad thing.

      • jako

        I copy pasted from article in the link so wrong impression…

        • Ace

          Thanks. I was just trying to be funny. Of course it’s v. serious. :-)