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SEPTEMBER 2020

Ukraine-Like Scenario In Belarus: First Confirmed Death During Protests In Minsk

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Ukraine-Like Scenario In Belarus: First Confirmed Death During Protests In Minsk

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A protester was killed during clashes with Police in the Belarusian capital of Minsk, the country’s interior ministry reported on August 10 evening.

“During the confrontation with special forces that deployed to unblock the square, one of the protesters tried to throw an unidentified explosive device at law enforcement officers. It exploded in his hand, the man received injuries incompatible with life,” a press officer of the Interior Ministry, Olga Chemodanova, said.

Meanwhile, clashes between security forces and protesters continue in Minsk and several other cities. According to pro-opposition sources, protesters are trying to build barricades in Minsk.

Media reports claim that the Internet was mostly shut down in Belarus amid protests. Nonetheless, photos, videos and other data continue surfacing online from the scene of riots.

The Pushkinski suqare is the main place of clashes in Minsk. Social media reports claim that several petrol bombs were thrown at police officers. These reports remain unconfirmed.

Ukraine-Like Scenario In Belarus: First Confirmed Death During Protests In Minsk

Click to see the full-size image

Pro-opposition sources are also spreading the declaration of the nation-wide strike from August 11. If this happens, this will be a notable blow to the country, which is already in the comlicated economic situation.

Apparently, the main ‘success’ of the opposition is the August 10 death of the protester. The man will likely be turned into a sacred sacrifice to fuel street violence and destabilize the country in further. Sacred sacrifices are the important fator of most successful regime changes of the previous years. In particular, in Ukraine in 2014, the mass deaths of rioters (many of them in very suspicious conditions, including repots about sniper fire by foreign mercenaries hired by supporters of the coup) became the turning point that allowed to increase the violence to the level, when radicals supported by the West overthrew the Yanukovich regime.

In the case of Belarus, the main striking force of protesters is also radical nationalists and neo-liberal-styled Antifa groups that united their forces against the Lukashenko government. According to local sources, a large number of the foothold hooligan group MTZ-RIPO (another name Patriot) was spotted during the ongoing protests. In 2014, a large number of members of this Antifa group participated in the coup in Ukraine. Some of then even joined the so-called Azov battalion (mostly consisting of neo-Nazis) that participated in the conflict with local resistance forces in the region of Donbass. Therefore, it is not the first time when Belarusian left radicals unite their efforts with their supposed enemies (neo-Nazi groups).

The interesting fact is that a similar situation is observed during BLM riots in the United States, where Antifa radicals (supposedly fighting ‘fascists) openly cooperate with black racists motivated by ethnic hatred towards the non-black population.

The riots in Belarus develop amid the increasing media and diplomatic campaign against the Lukashenko government. Western and even Russian neo-liberal mainstream media are actively covering the situation painting it like the popular apprising against the Lukashenko government. Various representatives of the Russian ‘neo-liberal community’ even gathered to support their ‘democratic brothers’ in the front of the Belarusian embassy in Moscow. In fact, the protests are led by the aggressive and well-coordinated minority and does not represent the entire population.

Several Western officials, including US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, already called the elections de-facto non-legitimate. If the protests continue and the level of violence grows in the coming days, the Lukashenko government will likely face an increasing pressure on the international scene, including new sanctions, propaganda and clandestine efforts to destabilize the situation in Belarus by the Euro-Atlantic establishment.

The irony of the situation is that just a few weeks ago Lukashenko was publicly flirting with Washington & Co and making anti-Russian statements. Nonetheless, his new friends immediately betrayed him. In these conditions, Russia (as always) remains the only guarantor of the Belarusian sovereignty and the power that is ready to assist the Belarusian leadership in its attempts to avoid the wide-scale chaos and the fate of Ukraine 2.0. It should be noted that the stability of Belarus is also a matter of national security for Russia. The Ukraine-like scenario in Belarus will have all chances to facilitate destructive trends in Russia itself and set additional conditions for the destabilization of the country ahead of the 2021 parliament election.

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