Ukraine Four Years After the Coup

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Ukraine Four Years After the Coup

Photo: Reuters/ Gleb Garanich

Written by J.Hawk exclusively for SouthFront

Introduction

After four years of “freedom” and “European integration”, Ukraine is in the throes of a crisis that makes the “wild ’90s” seem like a picture of stability. The economy is continuing to decline, to the point of the country becoming a net importer of agricultural products. The International Monetary Fund is increasingly reluctant to extend new loans, which are now necessary simply to service Ukraine’s ballooning national debt. The country’s Western partners are visibly tired of Ukraine and its problems, seeing in it more of a liability than an asset that could be used to exert political pressure on Russia. Even erstwhile ardent supporters of the Maidan, like the poet Evgeniya Bilchenko, has traded her Right Sector membership for an exile in Russia, and her support for Western values for a rediscovered fondness of Russian traditionalism. Millions of ordinary Ukrainians have likewise voted with her feet and found new residences abroad, many of them in the “aggressor country” Russia. Given that nearly all the Ukrainian trends are strongly negative, what can be expected from this latest “sick man of Europe”?

Poroshenko Embattled

At the moment, the future of Ukraine is inextricably linked with the future of its president. The Chocolate King’s main priority has always been personal power, with Roshen or Ukraine being only means toward that end, and in spite of considerable skill as a political tactician he still has not managed to suppress his main rivals to the point of guaranteeing himself another term as president.

The biggest threat to his power remains MVD minister Arsen Avakov and his extremist battalions which recently acquired a law enforcement role parallel to the actual police force. While Avakov is extremely unlikely to become president himself, he could play the role of a “kingmaker”, and his clear unwillingness to deal with mini-maidants staged by the supporters of the now-exiled former President of Georgia, Mikhail Saakashvili, or the former Prime Minister Yuliya Tymoshenko, indicates he will act to protect his own personal empire by playing on the conflicts within Ukraine’s elite. The recurring pogroms carried out by Avakov’s militias of Sberbank, Alfabank, and Rossotrudnichestvo, all of which happened in broad daylight, can be interpreted as a display of strength, should the question of who occupies the spot of Ukraine’s president be once again decided by who can put most militants on the streets.

That is not to say Poroshenko is entirely helpless in the situation. The “Georgian sniper” case that is acquiring momentum appears to be intended to, at the very least, discredit Saakashvili as the organizer of the massacre on the Maidan that was used as leverage to force President Yanukovych out of power. While this is a risky course of action for Poroshenko to take, since he is the biggest beneficiary of the Maidan, the ability to decimate the “power block” of the elite would finally eliminate not so much competing clans as competing armies from Ukraine’s politics.

Whether he will succeed is another matter altogether. A US intelligence estimate on Ukraine expressed concern the deteriorating situation in the country could force early presidential elections which would destabilize it and strengthen Russia’s position. It is not clear, however, whether Western powers still want Poroshenko to be their chosen leader of Ukraine, even though they are worried about the chaos that would likely follow his downfall.

The Western Front

Probably no single event demonstrated just how low Poroshenko’s fortunes have sunk with his Western sponsors as the Munich Security Conference in February 2018, during which his speech was practically ignored.

While Kremlin’s restraint on the question of Ukraine, which manifested itself by, for example, not reacting to the numerous Ukrainian provocations against the Donbass which have resulted in scores of civilian deaths, has been the subject of considerable criticism at home, internationally it has brought considerable political benefits. Not the least of them is the fragmenting of the Western support for Ukraine, which is evident in the EU’s unwillingness to mirror United States’ several latest rounds of anti-Russia unilateral sanctions. Instead the EU has become increasingly assertive of its foreign policy prerogatives in defiance of the US, particularly in the areas of EU-Russia cooperation such as North Stream 2 pipeline which threatens one of the key pillar’s of Ukraine’s importance to the EU, namely its status as a key energy transit country.

The unreserved US support for the Poroshenko regime has also facilitated a break between Ukraine and its neighbor Poland, and moreover contributed to the worsening of Poland-US relations. Poland has long maintained its self-image as the key power broker of Eastern Europe, which includes a carefully cultivated sense of own superiority over Ukraine. However, while US regards Poland as a useful client state, the usefulness of Ukraine much greater due to its proximity to and conflict with Russia. This cannot but rub the Polish establishment the wrong way. Ukraine receives US equipment and even lethal weapons free of charge, Ukrainian nationalists parade in the streets openly without anyone in the US Embassy in Kiev noticing. Poland, on the other hand, must pay billions for US weapons, and is constantly being chided by the US State Department for its internal political reforms.

The  controversial Polish updated law on the country’s National Remembrance Institute faces this issue squarely by, among other things, criminalizing any expressions of or support for Banderism within Poland’s borders. The media firestorm that ensued promptly resulted in Poland facing criticism from not only the US and Israel but also from Ukraine, while receiving support from..Germany and Russia. This state of affairs places the US in a difficult situation. Just as Washington faces having to choose between Turkey and the Kurds, here too it appears impossible to maintain close relations with both Poland and Ukraine.

Poland is not the only of Ukraine’s neighbors who is displeased with Kiev. Hungary likewise vetoed a number of NATO-Ukraine initiatives until Ukraine agreed to make changes to its language law that discriminated against the Hungarian-speaking minority.

While the United States is still committed to Ukraine, it’s not clear it’s committed to Poroshenko himself. A senior US general expressed dismay upon learning Ukraine is exporting Oplot MBTs, while at the same time pleading for US-made weapons. While we may see US-made Javelin anti-tank missiles delivered to Ukraine in 2018, those deliveries could come with restrictions on their use that would preclude the UAF from using them against DPR and LPR forces. Worse, there is growing US and EU pressure on Poroshenko to establish an anti-corruption court under close Western oversight that would de-facto mean Western take-over of Ukrainian institutions and spell doom for Poroshenko’s business and political empires. The least thinly veiled threat to Poroshenko came from the mouth of none other than the US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, who in the March of 2017 said that “ it serves no purpose for Ukraine to fight for its body in Donbass if it loses its soul to corruption.”

All Quiet on the Donbass?

Poroshenko’s domestic troubles and waning support by Western powers mean an increased temptation to engage in military provocations and perhaps even a full-scale offensive against DPR and LPR in order to force Russia to engage its military in support of the non-recognized republics. Russia’s military response would have possible consequences of alienating the EU and intensifying US military assistance to Ukraine in the form of expanded deliveries of advanced weapons. It might even result in additional IMF aid tranches–one cannot allow a country fighting off “Russian aggression” to go bankrupt, after all…Russia’s response, moreover, would complicate the March 18 presidential elections.

Poroshenko appears to be at least toying with the idea. On February 20, 2018, Poroshenko signed Rada’s recently passed law on “reintegrating the Donbass” which essentially calls for an all-out military campaign. Literally on the next day Poroshenko announced the formation of an “operational staff” that would take in hand all military operations in the East. OSCE has announced a variety of Ukrainian troop movements in the area, including heavy artillery weapons.

But it would be an extremely risky enterprise that could backfire. Ukrainian forces would inevitably suffer heavy losses, which would tip the balance of power in the direction of Avakov’s paramilitaries. Poroshenko would also face increased demands to introduce martial law in the country, something he has resisted so far because it would make him dependent on the “hawks” within the elite, men like Avakov, Turchinov, and Parubiy, who would stand to gain the most power, which is why they have been advocates of such a move. It is not even clear the EU, suffering from a refugee crisis and the effects of the sanctions war with Russia, and eager to develop itself as a global power broker independent of the US, would tolerate Poroshenko’s provocations that would serve as an excuse for greater US involvement in Ukraine and pressure on the EU to end the North Stream 2 project.

A Return to Multi-Vector Politics?

Whatever one can say of Poroshenko, he has definitely proven to be a political survivor thanks to his ability to take advantage of conflicts among Ukrainian political actors as well as among major powers to carve out a niche for himself as the ruler of Ukraine. These tactical successes have had their costs, to be sure: Poroshenko’s opportunism means that he has squandered whatever trust anyone else ever had in him. Today, there is not a single political actor anywhere in the world who takes him at his word.

In practical terms it means that in order to survive, Poroshenko would have to reinvent the multi-vector foreign policy Ukraine has followed ever since its independence, one to which it has returned after every earlier Maidan. On the one hand, it might appear as if Poroshenko has burned too many bridges to make improving relations with Russia possible. But on the other he has never burned all of them. In 2017, Russia maintained its spot as Ukraine’s number one trade partner, with the bilateral trade actually increasing although it is not clear to what extent “Russian” imports to Ukraine are actually coming from the Donbass. Moreover, the blame for bridges that were burned could be blamed on many of Poroshenko’s associates who could be implicated in the “Maidan snipers” case that is being kept alive with some political aim in mind. Finally, multi-vectorism in Ukraine’s case need not be confined to Russia–China, too, is beginning to exert an eastward pull on Ukraine, whose leaders see in it an additional guarantee of political survival against the increasingly onerous Western demands.

But in the end, multi-vectorism could lead to a break-up of Ukraine as its internal political actors seek support from different corners of the world for their political ventures. It is clear that every foreign power, be it US, Germany, Poland, Russia, and even China, has something else in mind for Ukraine, which has become yet another global geopolitical battlefield like Libya and Yemen, and which soon may prove beyond the ability of someone with Poroshenko’s limitations and liabilities to control.

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  • EoF

    Putin, the ukronazis are building concentration camps for the donbass population. Please, liberate Ukraine.

    • Bulgarian God

      No. Moscow and Russia will be liberated from Putin’s terrorist regime! Putin in Hague like Milosevic! Hahahaha! :)

      • Rob

        You are from Israel and you and your buddies are terrorists and will be eliminated from this whole earth planet.

        • Bulgarian God

          you are jewish communist monkey. :)

      • FlorianGeyer

        Bulgarian God, you only serve to make yourself look very foolish with your absurd comments here.

        Do please carry on as you are a good advertisement for Neo Liberal Zionist ideology.

        • AlexanderAmproz

          How Bulgaria supplied drugs and weapons to Al-Qaïda and Daesh

          http://www.voltairenet.org/article189802.html

        • Bulgarian God

          Eat shits communist putinist monkey! Russia is finished! :)

          • Rob

            The final days reached of Israel the terrorist migrants.

          • FlorianGeyer

            Are you a child? Your infantile language suggests that you are.

          • HighLord Gaz

            communist putinist?? No such thing exists… its a total contradiction.

      • AlexanderAmproz

        Troll’s are just good enough for Jew run Gulag supply

      • Nigel Maund

        Typically misinformed commentary motivated by anti – Russian propaganda. Noticed how little debt Russia has compared to the USA? No I suppose not. Notice that Russia has the third largest gold reserves? No I suppose not. Note the Russia has outlawed paedophilia, where as it’s all OK in the USA? Nope I suppose not. I suggest you go back to your comic books and play with your Lego set and leave the adults to comment on these pages?

        • Potato Potato

          Pedophilia is illegal in the USA, what the fuck are you talking about?

          • Mikronos

            So was homosexuality not so long ago.

      • Seán Murphy

        Idiot!

      • Rob

        The final days reached of Israel the terrorist migrants.

      • NeoLeo

        Hey you dumb shiteater you sound even more retarded than Solomon Krupacek/velicraptor/hohenstaufen. Are you sure you are not just another of his alter egos?

    • Potato Potato

      Fake news. Give me a source.

      • VeeNarian (Yerevan)

        What do you think happened to the Serbs of Krajina in Croatia, all approved by the US/EU/NATO gang?
        Ethnic cleansing by the “superior and civilized” West!
        NOT IN MY NAME!

  • Anthony Paul Mapes

    Very detailed and unbiased article that brings up all factors stretching from the maidan!

  • Johnpd

    Good article. I hadn’t previously thought about a Ukraine breakup, but it would fit in with the global elite plan to destroy ALL nations, including the mad U$Asylum Empire & Israhell, with a vast depopulation, to establish a totalitarian world govt based on the UN, the club of dictators.

    How would this affect the elites’ present plans to subjugate Syria, Russia, Iran & China?
    Don’t know.

    John Doran.

    • TheLulzWarrior

      If anything, globalism is why such an artifical “country” has been propped up all these years despite the tremendous costs.

      They have lended a whole lot of money to the “ukraine”, if it is destroyed, thery will lose big time.

      • Johnpd

        I think the “Globalists” see Ukraine as a jump off point for an invasion of Russia, right on its borders, like Hitler did.
        The “Globalists” are just as deranged, IMHO.
        They don’t give a stuff re money: they print it out of thin air. :(

        John Doran.

    • EoF

      Ukraine is for the most part an artificial country, with the vast majority of it’s territory being a gift by various russian tsars, Lenin and Stalin. Just like Finland.

      • Johnpd

        Yes, I read “Poland”, a book by James A. Michener, & I realise that the history of this region is most complex.
        From Tatar invasions in the 1200s through various Swedish, German & Muslim Turk invasions to name a few, this vast area lacking easily defended borders has a tumultuous past.
        & now a tumultuous present.

        John Doran.

  • velociraptor

    Putins biggest mistake was, that he did not support with army the legitim ukrainian president.

    • Alex

      He would have been seen as an invader by the most ukranians at that time, they were soooo brainwashed by soros sponosored media and it has been going on since the break up of sovjet union for more than 20 years, you had several young generations that have been taught that Russia is bad and that everything bad happening in ukraine is because of Russia.

      • velociraptor

        No. If subsequently remove the units, then not.

    • TheLulzWarrior

      Far more simple than that, help the legitimate president disrupt the funding of the Maidan, since they were all paid for these protests and activism.

      Second mistake is not intervening like with Georgia in 2008. Even there, not recognize South Ossetia and Abkhazia was seen as brilliant diplomatic move but this only convinced the Georgies that Russia wouldn’t respond.

  • Nigel Maund

    Very good analysis of the current situation in the Ukraine. It’s basically an unstable “tinder box” ready to ignite at any moment. The Russians fully understand the political and economic dynamics of the Ukraine and can afford to sit and watch, configuring their own policies as the country becomes increasingly unhinged. The US loves creating a mess and then making a complete hash of it. Cultural ignorance has always been a strong US suit which it plays with unerring regularity!

    • BMWA1

      More a damp Rotting timber, when will the branch fall?

    • TheLulzWarrior

      Except that the ukies counts on Russia not intervening, otherwise they have no hopes of defeating the republics and regaining the coal and shale.

      If they do not, the “ukraine” becomes a white elephant.

      • Nigel Maund

        This is true! The Ukraine is essentially an economic ruin. It will eventually fall to Russia. All Russia has to do is be patient as massive corruption and internal dissention will tear the Ukraine apart by itself. Even the culturally insensitive ignorant Americans realise that.

        • Pave Way IV

          Seriously, Nigel? No, don’t believe for a second that Americans will ever realize the extent of the dismal, corrupt, foreign-jewish-oligarch-controlled failed-state of Ukraine they created. And Ukraine may tear itself apart, but I wouldn’t count on the ‘internal dissention’ part. Young, intelligent, motivated Ukrainians with the ability to leave have mostly left.

          Pensioners and the poor are easily ‘pacified’ in failed states by the usual methods: starvation, tanks and prison. Russia may send humanitarian aid after the government collapses, but I can’t believe Russia will ever seek to own the US-created abject shithole formerly known as Ukraine. I’m pretty sure Putin will just sit back and watch the US bleed out over it – and we will. The US always doubles-down on its failures – we’re suckers for abuse.

          • Nigel Maund

            PW I don’t disagree with your synopsis. Instablity is growing in the Ukraine by the day. This is why Poroshenko is so keen on starting a war in the Donbass. The Ukrainians despite their historic hatred of Russia after especially the Stalinist policies of the 1930’s that killed some 13 million of them, are recognizing in Putin much more democratic Russia with an advancing economy, despite US inspired sanctions , and so many are immigrating to Russia. Which ever way one looks at it the immediate and medium term future for the Ukraine looks bleak.

    • Muriel Kuri

      Hopefully the Donbass has enough arms and abilities to withstand anything Ukraine throws at it so Russia doesn’t have to get involved, this close to the election. Whatever they need, though, Russia will provide.

      • Nigel Maund

        Agree Muriel entirely. The Russians will provide their people with the kit they need to inflict unacceptable losses on the Ukraine military and let demoralisation do its work. The Ukrain is rotten from the inside out and very badly Governed by totally corrupt US puppets. These will fail and the US is now understanding that. But we all know the US Deep State will always double down on their bad strategy.

        • Muriel Kuri

          Here’s what I think is going to happen in the end: 1. Ukraine will be divided – The Donbass area will become part of Russia, another part will go to Poland. The balance will remain in a broken state run by Nazis without any legal rule. 2. Ukrainians will have finally have had enough and will kick out Poroshenko AND the Nazis and hold another election to start fresh OR 3. Will hold a statewide referendum to become part of Russia again, so that Russia will take care of everything. What do all of you think will happen?

          • velociraptor

            poland can get west ukraina, when they fgive back german territories to germany.

          • Mikronos

            Much of west Ukraine is pre-1939 Poland. Or Slovakia, Hungary and Romania. All the old soviet ‘cessions’ were amalgamated into the great EUkrainian nation that ‘marches’ again to-day!

        • Muriel Kuri

          Yes they always will double down because they can’t think outside the box of their own arrogant wants and needs. Everyone in the world is cannon fodder for their schemes of world dominance. The world has grown very tired of this kind of thinking and many countries are trying to regain their own sovereignty and rule of law, since anarchy has stressed the world to the breaking point. I sympathize greatly for those thus affected personally, like the poor citizens in the Donbass, who only want to live their lives, protect their children and have a future. I hope and pray the future will bring peace to this country – once the nazis are routed out and a legal government takes office. I fear this will be far in the future, and the country will collapse before it happens. US may eventually abandon Ukraine, once they realize that Russia will not fall for their ploys and Ukraine becomes too expensive or too corrupt for even US to manage!

    • HighLord Gaz

      What to do with an unstable tinder box? Add a splash of gasoline and apply a lit match…

      Then sit back and enjoy some popcorn.

    • NeoLeo

      I almost feel sorry for Ukrainians, they sold their souls to the devil, now they live in hell…
      MaidanUkraine is something between ISIS Caliphate, Nazi Germany (not economically tho) and a Thailand brothel, owned and ruled by tycoons, psychos, and the US embassy.

      And the final humiliation will be the “glorious” return of Saakashvili to bring them even more misery.

      • Nigel Maund

        Well said Neo and I agree totally. Just wait to see what these same US Deep State people have in mind for the USA. It’s horrific beyond belief. They openly talk of killing 25 million Trump supporters and “conservatives” and imprisoning in FEMA camp re -education centres a further 25 million. This is straight out of Solzhenitsyn’s Gulag Archipelago and the average US Citizen is utterly clueless this is all less than 10 years away and maybe only 5.

  • Bulgarian God

    russian communist BASTARDS! Go out of Ukraine! Crimea is ukrainian !

    • not according to those that live there, drawing their retirements etc from Russia, which is better than the people of the donbass are getting right now.

    • leon mc pilibin

      I told you before that you must change your medication,,,you are making a spectical of yourself,get help ASAP.

      • Bulgarian God

        shut up communist subhuman monkey ! russia is DEAD ! :)

        • Leslie Nielsen Junior

          usually fentanyl helps, you should try

    • Rob

      Don’t abuse the name of Bulgaria. You are from Israel and you and your buddies are terrorists and will be eliminated from this whole earth planet.

      • Bulgarian God

        No, I’m bulgarian from Bulgaria, and you are traitor of USA serving lapdog of Putin’s regime!

        • NeoLeo

          Bulgarian Goat you are a pile of goat’s feces… and a traitor to your own nation, race, religion, history… Russia liberated you from turkish slavery, you were ottoman sex-slaves for 500 years… but you like to be a slave, that’s why you serve your yankee pimps now, like a good b*tch.

          • Bulgarian God

            Shut up stinky communist subhuman. russian shits are invaders as the ottomans. Ask polish and finnish people !

          • NeoLeo

            Fake bulgarian shiteater your inbred monkey family are subhuman you aids infested pile of diarrhea.
            Choke on yankee dick and rot in hell shiteater, then suck Hitler’s anus there.

          • NeoLeo

            No you STFU, FAKE shiteater – your inbred family are subhuman, and you’re just a pile of diarrhea. Finnish people live better under Russian rule then under Swedish you retarded monkey turd; Poles tried to conquer Russia first, then Russia conquer them… your rotten ‘hero’ Hitler tried to eradicate Poland and you dare to whine about Poland?? nazi moron (from slovakia)… go choke on yankee d*ck then suck Hitler’s anus in hell.

          • NeoLeo

            Goat you STFU, fake shiteater- your inbred family are subhuman and you’re just a pile of diarrhea… Finnish people lived better under russian rule then under Sweden you retarded monkey turd; Poles tried to conquer Russia first ,then Russia conquered them (along with Prussia & Austria) ..your rotten “hero” Hitler tried to eradicate Poland completely and you dare to whine about Poland?? wannabe nazi moron – you are not German, you are not even Bulgarian, you are nothing : a pathetic troll with zillion accounts and no brain, life or purpose /other than to pollute this site with your garbage .

          • Bulgarian God

            blah, blah, blah. Eat shits communist inbred subhuman. fucking russia will die! Hahahaha!

          • NeoLeo

            “Shits” lol you are below idiocy… Goat you and your family ARE shitS, a retarded donkey TURD with a single digit IQ. I know you have nothing remotely intelligent to say, you are not subhuman, you’re subanimal, a fecal bacteria from donkey anUS… I just enjoy pissing on your ugly face, while you scream in agony………
            Seriously you don’t deserve to live, you need to die from cancer while burning alive… piss on your shallow grave… and suck Hitler’s rectum in hell.
            R.I.P.iss

    • BMWA1

      Ukraine has own communists as they won 13 percent in 2012.

      • Bulgarian God

        It’s not the point. I said russian bastards to get the fucking out of Crimea and Donbass. :)

        • HighLord Gaz

          such a vulgar bulgar…

    • Orcbuu

      Your Treatment for Gender change isnt really working i guess, to be a better girl you really really have to finally stop spreading lies about your misfortunes in the mans closed. Your terapist at the Gender schools for “Special” children, has to finally understand that the medication he is giving you is not really working in your case. I hope you still can be a “strong” and “Independant” women some day.
      Until then, happy cocksucking at the mans closed.

  • Great article.
    thanks for the summary and review!

    • BMWA1

      Not enough about economy, for example, under EU trade agreement, UA reached quota on most agricultural goods on 6 January this year. 74 percent of coal consumed comes from Ru aggressor 😎. Incomes after inflation halved, debt x2, pensioners chose between heat OR food.

  • AlexanderAmproz

    http://www.voltairenet.org/article199781.html

    The confusion of diplomats and the military at MSC 2018
    by Thierry Meyssan

    Organised by the Germans, the Munich Security Conference has become a world forum for Ministers for Foreign Affairs and for Defence. The participants were all attempting to anticipate the political evolution of the moment, while the organisers were attempting to advance the cause of their re-armament. Finally, although the positions of the participants was clarified, the question of the rules of the new game remain in suspense.

    VOLTAIRE NETWORK | DAMASCUS (SYRIA) | 20 FEBRUARY 2018
    عربي FRANÇAIS ITALIANO ESPAÑOL ROMÂNĂ РУССКИЙ PORTUGUÊS DEUTSCH
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    JPEG – 60.9 kb
    Over the years, the Munich Security Conference has become the wold’s most important meeting on the subject. Created in the context of the Cold War by an ultra-conservative aristocrat and hero of the Resistance to Nazism, Ewald-Heinrich von Kleist-Schmenzin, it has always leaned to the anti-communist and Atlantist side. It nonetheless remains a German event and not a US initiative.

    Founded in 1963, it comprised about sixty personalities – taking part were Henry Kissinger, who at the time was no more than a spy and an academic, and Helmut Schmidt, then a simple federal deputy. Since 2009, under the impulse of its new President, the diplomat Wolfgang Ischinger, the conference is no longer a Germano-US strategic seminar, nor even a European forum, but the world’s main event in international relations and defence.

    The 2018 Conference

    The 2018 edition assembled 682 high personalities, including approximately thirty heads of state and government, forty-odd Ministers for Foreign Affairs, forty more Ministers for Defence, and almost all the chiefs of the Western secret services, not to mention the directors of think-tanks, Atlantist humanitarian NGO’s, and self-righteous journalists [1]. For the last three years, a secret service summit has been held discreetly on the fringe of the Conference.

    This unprecedentedly high level of this meeting may be explained by the current state of international disorder. Everyone can see that the unipolar system imposed by the United States from 1995 is no longer. And yet, no-one has a very clear idea of what comes next.

    The Press focused only on the puerile show by Benjamin Netanyahu and a few phrases from one member or another. The real issue was elsewhere.

    Is the confirmation of German military power now possible?

    The host power, in other words the German people as a private entity, and not the federal state, intended to use the participants in order to advance its own objectives. A document distributed at the entrance begins with two articles. The one on the left, signed by the Minister for Foreign Affairs, Sigmar Gabriel, includes this phrase: « It is neither imprudent nor anti-American to imagine a Europe without the United States » [2]. The article on the right, drawn up by lawyer Constanze Stelzenmüller, analyses the divergences between President Trump and his main advisors and concludes with a warning against their potential developments [3].

    Just before Berlin was paralysed by the absence of a parliamentary majority, the federal government was thinking about the possibility of investing massively in its army and taking control of all European armies, including the French [4]. The point was to use the European Union at a time when the United States is in difficulty to confirm Germany’s economic power on the political level. But how can this be accomplished after Brexit, without the powerful British army? How to manage the French nuclear force? And how much elbow room is the US ready to concede to Germany?

    British Prime Minister Theresa May answered that as far as the United Kingdom was concerned, once it has left Europe, it intends to negotiate a Peace Treaty with the European Union, which takes us all the way back to the vision that Winston Churchill had of Germany. The European Union must maintain the stability of the West of the continent, London will always be a solid ally, but it is Her Majesty’s government which will define common objectives, and certainly not Berlin or Paris.

    French Prime Minister Edouard Philippe showered praise on European Defence and confirmed that his country will be dedicating 2% of its GDP to military questions in 2025. Capitalising on the excellent communication by President Emmanuel Macron, he expressed his support for Germany’s ambitions, while at the same time avoiding having to answer the concrete question about the strike force. So we are not really any further along – the tandem Macron-Philippe is happy with the new network for European discussion in matters of the Defence industry (the PESCO), but has signed firm commitments only with London.

    The enormous US delegation behaved as predicted in the preparatory document — Washington attaches much importance to its allies in order to reinforce its credibility. Which is tantamount to saying that the confirmation of German military will only be possible if it is kept on a leash by the Pentagon.

    Ukraine and Crimea

    Although Germany voted for European sanctions against Russia, the members of the MSC do not question the reunification of Crimea and Russia. They do not refer to the example of German reunification, because it did not occur to the detriment of another state, but on their own initiative to recognise the independence of Slovenia, Croatia and Bosnia-Herzegovina against the wishes of the Yugoslav Federation (currently Serbia) [5]. They analyse the Ukrainian crisis in terms of plate tectonics. For them, the forces which confronted one another over a period of twenty years are responsible for the separation. From now on, the question of Donbass is a question of defining the limits of the tectonic plates. The answer is not the same, depending on whether your view of History is long or short.

    In any case, the MSC considers that the Minsk agreements are the only peaceful solution, but it does not read them in the same way as Moscow, since the text is particularly imprecise.

    The Germans were surprised by President Vladimir Putin’s proposition to deploy a UN stabilisation force in Donbass. They understand it as being tasked with keeping order as defined in Kiev, and thus to disarm the region, while the Ukrainian government could prepare a new confrontation. This is obviously not the Russian point of view.

    About ten Ukrainian personalities were present in Munich. Obviously President Petro Poroschenko and his allies, like his Minister for Foreign Affairs Pavlo Klimkin (ex-ambassador to Berlin) or the mayor of Kiev Vitali Klitschko (ex-world heavyweight WBO & WBC boxing champion, the « hero » of Maïdan). There were also economic leaders like Natalie Jaresco (an ex-employee of the US State Department, posted by Washington as Minister for Finance) or the boss of Naftogaz, Andriy Kobolyev, and the oligarchs Viktor Pinchuk and Sherhiy Taruta. But since the MSC has little confidence in the team currently in power, it also invitedYulia Timoschenko, the deputies Mustafa Nayyem (catalyser of the Maïdan events) and Svitlana Zalishchuk (US National Endowment for Democracy).

    In a separate room, out of sight, the representative for France, Germany, the European Union and Russia met with those of Ukraine. No progress was made, particularly concerning a deployment of the Blue Helmets.

    The Middle East as seen by Berlin

    Germany invested a lot in the US project for the Middle East (the strategy of the destruction of societies and states, conceived by Admiral Arthur Cebrowski [6]), but noticeably less in the British-US project for the « Arab Springs ». Since the Cold War, it has housed and supported several headquarters for the Muslim Brotherhood, including that of the Syrians in Aix-la-Chapelle. Germany took a part in the assassination of ex-Prime Minister of Lebanon, Rafic Hariri [7]. In 2012, it co-wrote the Feltman plan for the total and unconditional capitulation of Syria [8]. At present, Volker Perthes, director of the Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, the state think-tank, is advisor to Jeffrey Feltman at the UNO.

    For several years, the internal documents of the European External Action Service (EEAS) are copied and pasted from Volker Perthes’ notes for the German government.

    Volker Perthes was of course at Munich [9] with Jeffrey Feltman and their friends, Lakdhar Brahimi, Ramzi Ramzi, Steffan de Mistura, Generals David Petraeus (the KKR was also represented by Christian Ollig) and John Allen (Brookings Institution), as well as Nasser al-Hariri, the President of the High Authority for Negotiations (pro-Saudi Syrian opposition), Raed al-Saleh, director of the White Helmets (Al-Qaïda) and their Qatari sponsors, including Emir Thamim.

    In an article from the preparatory document for the Conference [10], Volker Perthes assures that political balance in the Middle East has collapsed. But he reasons by basing himself on what he wants rather than what he sees. He assures that the Damascus government is exhausted by the war, although it has just laid a clever trap for the Israëlis and managed to destroy one of their aircraft. He evaluates the rivalry between Saudi Arabia and Iran, believing that Riyadh is in a position of force, while the anti-palace coup is being organised from abroad. He imagines that the Emirates will help Saudi Arabia against Teheran, when they have just obliged Riyadh to partition Yemen – the Emirates also take their wealth from Dubaï’s avoidance of the anti-Iranian embargo.

    Volker Perthes’ errors have been boosted by the voluntary errors of three bosses – German BND (Bruno Kahl), British MI6 (Alex Younger) and the French DGSE (Bernard Emié), who explained in a private room, in front of an audience chosen for their naïveté, how nervous they were about the Turkish operation in Syria. The three men pretended to believe that the combatants of the YPG constitute the safest barrier against Daesh. Yet they were supposed to create the Frontier Security Force with certain ex-members of Daesh. And although several jihadist officers were arrested by the Syrian Arab Army this week as they journeyed to Afrin concealed amongst the ranks of the Kurdish combatants. It’s clear that the job of these three super-spies is to know to whom they owe the truth, and to whom they can lie. Sustaining their momentum, they hinted that the Syrian Arab Army uses chemical weapons – profiting from the absence in the room of the US Secretary for Defence, Jim Mattis, who had testified a few days earlier that proof of this claim is inexistant [11].

    Finally, before engaging in massive rearmament, Germany will have to choose its analysts of Foreign Affairs more carefully.

    Thierry Meyssan

    [1] “The 682 participants at the Munich Security Conference 2018”, Voltaire Network, 18 February 2018.

    [2] “Power boost. The EU must win the conflicts of the future”, Sigmar Gabriel, Security Times, February 2018.

    [3] “Power outage. “America first” means America alone”, Constanze Stelzenmüller, Security Times, February 2018.

    [4] « Ambitionierte Rahmennation : Deutschland in der Nato », Rainer L. Glatz, Martin Zapfe, SWP-Aktuell #62, août 2017.

    [5] “Chain of secession”, Andreas Zumach, Security Times, February 2018.

    [6] The Pentagon’s New Map, Thomas P. M. Barnett, Putnam Publishing Group, 2004. “The US military project for the world”, by Thierry Meyssan, Translation Pete Kimberley, Voltaire Network, 22 August 2017.

    [7] “Revelations on Rafik Hariri’s assassination”, by Thierry Meyssan, Оdnako (Russia) , Voltaire Network, 29 November 2010.

    [8] “Germany and the UNO against Syria”, by Thierry Meyssan, Translation Pete Kimberley, Al-Watan (Syria) , Voltaire Network, 28 January 2016.

    [9] “The hijacking of the Munich Security Conference”, by Thierry Meyssan, Translation Pete Kimberley, Voltaire Network, 21 February 2017.

    [10] “Bismarck would blush. The political geometry of the Middle East has been redrawn in the last year”, Volker Perthes, Security Times, February 2018.

    [11] “Jim Mattis refutes the « Fake News » from Israël and NATO”, by Thierry Meyssan, Translation Pete Kimberley, Al-Watan (Syria) , Voltaire Network, 19 February 2018.

  • TheLulzWarrior

    “They want a Russian intervention!”
    How can they make the “ukraine” economically sustainable at all, then?

    “one cannot allow a country fighting off “Russian aggression” to go bankrupt, after all…”
    Simple, make sure the price tag is too much.

  • Wegan

    More than half of women are surviving with prostitution in Ukraine. I wonder how the Ukrainian nationalists feel about that? Their women used for sex by foreigners. Most of them seek a way out by impregnation to get another passport. Soon every born child will not have a Ukrainian nationality.

    Ukraine will need scientific advancement in how to impregnate males to keep some population in the next 20 years.

    • velociraptor

      bullshit!

  • Doom Sternz

    “We are the next Yugoslavia” – Ukraine’s chief military prosecutor. The threat to Ukraine was never from the East, it was always from the West. And idiot Ukrainians sell out the country to bankers in Brussels.Traitors.

    Former Romanian President Traian Basescu unveiled some explosive border-changing designs. he is planning to introduce in the Romanian parliament a resolution calling for “renunciation of the Ribbentrop – Molotov pact and derecognition of its consequences.”

    This should make every Ukrainian fascist tremble in fear……….because Ukraine is about to be carved up. Ukraine is bordered by Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Russia and Belarus. Here is what the “renunciation of the Ribbentrop – Molotov pact and derecognition of its consequences.” actually means……………..

    Poland will be offered a strip of territory that would include Lvov; Slovakia could be offered the city of Uzhgorod; Hungary will be offered the territory of Trans-Carpathia; and Romania will take Bukovina and the section of Ukraine that lies between the Prut and Dniester Rivers. In addition, Russia could ratify Romanian interest in Moldavia, also known as Bessarabia, in exchange for Bucharest ceding interest in Transnistria to Moscow. For all of this, Novorossia would acquire a swath of territory in eastern Ukraine, along a line Kharkov-Poltava-Krivoy Rog-Voznessensk-Balta-Odessa.

    • Maelstrom_19

      Start carving!

    • Mikronos

      There is no Yugoslavia. Is that what he means?

    • VeeNarian (Yerevan)

      Where would the Banderized Ukrainians go? Could they be given asylum in Berlin, Paris, Ottawa and Washington?

  • NeoLeo

    Actually I doubt he is Bulgarian… he is a Slovakian wannabe nazi degenerate with 100 accounts. I bet he won’t reply you because he doesn’t understand bulgarian at all.

  • Mikronos

    The Georgian snipers may have been dispatched courtesy of Saarkaashvili, but they were driven to and from the airport and installed in the Europa by Ukrainians. They certainly wouldn’t have known which targets to pick without a ‘manager’ on site – to ensure they weren’t molested and to make sure they weren’t caught. Somebody caught their departure (or a part of it) on video and the person stowing their weapons in a car trunk spoke Ukrainian.

  • EoF

    Letting Maidan happen was an enormous mistake on Putin’s part.

  • Ram2017

    The US will not betray their Zio/Nazi functionaries.

  • Cheryl Brandon

    Yep, that is the Fake News operate; Millions of unarmed Yemenis are
    being starved. denied access to food/health and education by the Saudis
    but, the West remains silent; 2 Russians are used for political point
    scoring. Anybody in the INTELLIGENCE Community/or Government or the anti
    Putin Russians here in London could have caused these 2 people harm. It
    is not rocket science.!! Millions of Yemenis dying is okay but,
    everybody is running like headless/irrational/lizards brained chickens
    with these 2 people???? Just as the Warshington HELLmets are being PAID
    to fake “rescuing”; These 2 Russians could have been paid to “fake
    sickness” as part of their contribution to the anti Putin project here
    in the UK????/I never trust the Tories who recently LIED on Jeremy
    Corbyn 100% and never publicly apologized to him for their LIES. This
    smells like a psych-ops!!!

  • Cheryl Brandon

    the Samantha Power/Obomber/$hitler and a couple of Ukrainian Oligarchs have acted with violence against Ukraine and, have come between 2 brother countries; Kiev Rus and Muscovy Rus peoples have been fighting/making up/exchanging goods/ideas/ religion and other artifacts. The Power Elites who allowed USA money and weapons and FAKE PROMISES TO LLURE THEM INTO enmity WITH THEIR NEIGHBOURS have ben led down a lrage rabbit hole, with no way out. USA has a traCk record of not looking after their colonies at all;Watch Libya/Iraq/Puerto Rico etc; USA itself is operating under a failed system,WHICH EXCLUDED AND IGNORES 98% OF THEIR OWN POPULATION.50% of USA population is living under poverty whilst they give Israhell $38 billionn plus excessive volumes of weapons for MURDERING PALESTINIANS. They have nothing to offer Ukraine???

  • leon mc pilibin

    Zionism forced on Ukraine by jewSA has destroyed the country and its people.They were far better off when they had closer relations with Russia before Maidan,and the interference by the western ,warmongering zionists.