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DECEMBER 2020

Turkey’s “Ambition” Will Soon Turn To Israel. Nikol Pashinyan Changes Tactics To Finally Find Some Support In Karabakh

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Turkey's "Ambition" Will Soon Turn To Israel. Nikol Pashinyan Changes Tactics To Finally Find Some Support In Karabakh

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On November 3rd, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan issued a word of warning for Israel. According to him, it was simply a matter of time until Turkey’s “imperialist ambition” turned against Israel itself, and that it supporting Azerbaijan in the conflict was a mistake.

Taking into account the ‘deep’ US-Israeli relations, Armenian attempts to warn Israel that its suppor to Azerbaijan could somehow damage the Israeli interests seem like a new attempt to convince the US-Israeli bloc to finally provide some help to Armenia that has turned into a clearly pro-Western state in the recent years.

Israel has not commented formally on the fighting and the Foreign Ministry is trying to keep Israel out of the conflict, Pashinyan said Israel is now very actively engaged in the conflict, “because Israeli UAVs are actively used in the war against Nagorno-Karabakh.”

Armenia recalled its ambassador to Israel for consultations in early October – just two weeks after it opened an embassy in Tel Aviv – to protest arms sales to its enemy.

“I think that Israel should think about the following,” the prime minister said. “Mercenaries, Islamic terrorists and Israel are now on the same side basically. So Israel should think, is this really a convenient position for it to be?”

Israeli President Reuven Rivlin, soon after Armenia recalled its ambassador, called his Armenian counterpart and offered humanitarian aid.

Asked whether his country would be interested in Israeli humanitarian aid, Pashinyan replied bitterly:

“Humanitarian aid by a country that is selling weapons to mercenaries, which they are using to strike a civilian peaceful population? I propose that Israel send that aid to the mercenaries and to the terrorists as the logical continuation of its activities.”

Pashinyan said that certain “shifts are taking place in the international security system, and that those shifts also contain elements of hybrid warfare. Mercenaries are engaging in that warfare. And that hybrid warfare can be manifested in different ways – it can be manifested in ways which we see in Nagorno-Karabakh, or in ways in which we are seeing in Vienna, or in Nice, in France,” all recent sites of terror, or attempted terror acts, by Islamists.

On the battlefield, on the night of November 3, the Armenian and Artsakh Defense Army Forces conducted defensive battles in the Eastern, South-Eastern and Southern directions.

Armenian units in these areas reportedly destroyed the detected vehicles, manpower, and 1 tank with precise fire.

“On a small section of the front line in the Eastern direction, the Defense Army Forces withdrew for tactical reasons, taking up more convenient positions for further combat operations.”

In the morning, in the southern direction, the Defense Army reportedly inflicted losses on the opponent with pinpoint strikes and forced them to retreat to their original positions.

“Army units also suppressed the offensive actions of the hostile forces in the Northern direction. At the moment, the Azerbaijani armed forces are still trying to regain their tactical advantage. The defense army controls the operational and tactical situation.”

A video was released showing the capture of a Syrian militant by Armenian forces.

Iran has again expressed serious concern about the presence of terrorists on the country’s Northern borders. As reported by “Armenpress”, this was stated by the official representative of the Iranian foreign Ministry, Saeed Khatibzadeh, at his weekly press conference.

“During his regional visits, Iran’s Deputy foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araqchi warned of the presence of terrorists on the country’s Northern borders. We are still concerned about this issue,” Khatibzadeh said, adding that they will not consider anyone on this issue.

The Azerbaijani side said that an Armenian KUB air defense missile system was destroyed.

During the day on November 2 and night on November 3, the Armenian armed forces fired at the positions of the units of Azerbaijan Army in different directions of the front and our human settlements using various small arms, howitzers and mortars.

“The combat operations continued mainly in the direction of Aghdere, Khojavend, Zangilan and Gubadli. The enemy was forced to retreat with casualties in personnel and military vehicles in some areas of the front.

During the day and nighttime, a large number of enemy troops, 4 – BM-21 “Grad” MLRS, 1 – KUB air defense missile system, 9 – different types of howitzers and 2 – trucks loaded with ammunition were destroyed and wrecked.”

On the morning of November 3rd, Azerbaijan Air Defense Units reportedly destroyed an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) of the Armenian armed forces attempted to carry out a flight over the front. There is no video or photographs of the downing.

On November 2nd, the Azerbaijan Army Units reportedly destroyed 4 MLRS BM-21 “Grad” of the Armenian armed forces in various directions of the front.

A sort of desperation is felt from Armenia, hoping that either Iran, or Russia would step in and rescue it, memes such as the one below are often encountered online, perpetuated by social media warriors.

Turkey's "Ambition" Will Soon Turn To Israel. Nikol Pashinyan Changes Tactics To Finally Find Some Support In Karabakh

Click to see full-size image

After the month of war, the Armenian leadership finally remembered that Armenia is a Russian ally and Pashinyan sent a letter to Putin asking for help and security guarantees. The request led to an expected response that Moscow, as the ally of Armenia, will intervene if the war comes to Armenian territory. Thus, as long as the conflict remains on the territory of Nagorno-Karbakh (not recognized by Armenia as an independent state or a part of Armenia), the Pashinyan government should not expect a direct Russian military intervention to it. The ongoing war in Nagorno-Karabakh has become an expected result of Armenia’s own behavior. Yerevan has been providing a long-standing anti-Russian and pro-Western policy in the region. Thus, it is surprising to see how the Armenian government ‘accidentally’ changed its public rhetoric to a pro-Russian one.

At the same time, the behavior of the Armenian diaspora in Russia also does not give additional points to Yerevan in the eyes of the Russian society. At least a part of the diaspora employs hardcore nationalist views and regularly expresses hate towards the Russians despite living in Russia. Armenians involved in various crimes regularly hide from the justice in Armenia.

One of such cases was recently widely covered in media: In June 2019, a group of at least 11 Armenians beaten and stabbed to death a Russian citizen, Nikita Belyankin, near Moscow after Belyankin tried to stop the group of Armenians from beating 2 people in a public place. The direct killer fled to Armenia and Yerevan did not extradite him to Russia.

Grigor Ohanyan fled to Armenia immediately after the killing of Belyankin. Russia put Ohanyan on the wanted list, and sent an international legal order to Yerevan. Armenian authorities detained Ohanyan for the proceedings and, after he spent the maximum possible 40 days in custody, released him hiding the criminal from the justice. Expectedly, this did not led to the happiness among the Russians, but was widely presented as an example of the ‘independent Armenian policy’ by Armenia and Armenian media.

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