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Turkey Missing Its Northeastern Syria Operation Window

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Turkey Missing Its Northeastern Syria Operation Window

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Turkey’s operation or two in northern Syria are expected to begin every day, yet they keep being “postponed”.

Currently, some would say that the situation has become quite complicated thanks to the presence and activities of US, and primarily Russian forces, mostly in the northeastern regions.

To further deter Ankara’s ambitions, Russian forces are establishing a new base near the town of Manbij in the eastern countryside of Aleppo. As of November 5th, there have been Russian military vehicles and Syrian Arab Army (SAA) artillery present.

As an additional reinforcement to the northeastern region, Moscow is reportedly planning to deploy an S-400 long-range air-defense system. A number of Syrian and Russian Pantsir-S short-range air-defense systems and radars are known to be deployed at al-Qamishli Airport.

Manbij and its surroundings are held by the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). The SAA established a network of positions around the town a few years ago in order to protect it from the Turkish military and its proxies who occupy nearby areas.

In the last few days, Russian forces and the SAA held a series of joint drills in northern and northeastern Syria in coordination with the SDF.

The drills are meant to show a joint resolve of the Damascus government and its allies to confront any Turkish attack on the SDF in order to maintain stability and security. The SDF and SAA cannot be considered as true allies, they are simply forced to cooperate in the face of a common adversary.

As in previous operations, Turkey is expected to rely mainly on a large force of Syrian rebels that it has trained and equipped over the last few years. At least 20,000 fighters now follow a unified command structure under what is being called the Syrian National Army.

While Ankara prepares to begin fighting, Israel is sporadically carrying out strikes on targets in Syria, and primarily in and around Damascus. Most recently, on November 3rd, two Israeli F-16 fighter jets targeted logistics support facilities of the Syrian Arab Army.

This does little to conceal the fact that Tel Aviv’s forces are attempting to assist the Turkish Armed Forces in a potential fight, by impeding the SAA’s ability to support its troops in a fight.

While all of this is taking place, ISIS are also conveniently increasing its activity on the ground diverting strengths and capabilities of Russia’s Aerospace Forces (VKS) and the SAA. According to local reports, ISIS terrorists stepped up their attacks in eastern and central Syria in recent days.

VKS warplanes carried out at least ten airstrikes hitting ISIS positions in Syria’s central region. The raids were likely a response to recent attacks in one of which ISIS militants destroyed a vehicle of Iraqi Kata’ib Hezbollah near the town of Madan in the eastern countryside of Raqqa with an anti-tank guided missile (ATGM).

How an ATGM got in the hands of the besieged terrorists is a mystery in and of itself, but there’s many of those in northern and central Syria, near the positions of the US, Turkey and the various factions.

Thus, in general, events are becoming extremely complex and unstable. The coming days will show whether Turkey will decide to escalate in these conditions. It appears that the answer to that question may be no rather than yes.

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Chris Gr

Will Iranian and Iraqi Shias help Assad and the Syrians against the Turkish invasion? I doubt it!

Ahson

They already are foo. What the hell else are they doing?

Chris Gr

Iranian and Iraqi Shias never fought against Turkey!

Edmund

Persia and the Ottomans fought many wars, you are utterly clueless…

Last edited 19 days ago by Edmund
Robert Capa

Hezbollah Infantry units were heavily involved in defense of south Aleppo. The Hezbollah units defended the 1070 Apartment complex and halted Turkish backed Islamist’s heavy scale assaults from advancing through the complex. They were then involved in retaking the southern and the eastern suburbs of city from occupation by terrorist factions that came from further north and were Turkish proxies.

TomSawyer

They won’t, they are afraid of the Turks- and justifiably so.

Chris Gr

Afraid or they cooperate? Just like Turkey supported Shias against Saddam or against PKK?

Rodney Loder.

Turkey can’t do much, Turkey’s entirely dependent on the Rusdian Chinese axis which would be 100% pro jew maggot israel except the US is committed to taking China down and pumping the Ukraine up, ulness the US capitulates as Obama did Turkey must move away from it’s broader Turkisk ethnic stratigies engaging Russia and China as the US is for sure going to lose, Brother Erdogan knows this or he’d be piling into the Uyghur genocide rubbish.

The common enemy of Syria and Turkey is the SDF and that must include their US protectors.

Its an opportune situation thanks’ to Donald Trump and now Joe Biden.

However recognising reality is still very important because it is what funds esistance, lies can’t replace belief as the precurser of what is to become. Allah Akbar (swt).

David Herzog

Allah Al Bar !

Marcelo Rodriguez

Creo que la unión de las Fuerzas armadas Sirias, Rusas y las SDF es crucial para enfrentar cualquier tipo de agresión por parte de Turquía. La fuerza aérea Rusa debe apoyar cualquier tipo de operación que se lance contra los grupos militantes y el ejército Turco. La lucha contra los remanentes de Isis la deberían realizar los grupos chiíes, junto con las milicias del Hezbollah iraquí apoyados por Irán, sería bueno la división de las tareas para poder enfrentar con éxito cualquier agresión que intente lanzar Turquía y sus grupos militantes. La operación de limpieza de idlibib debe comenzar cuánto antes y así poder limpiar Siria de todos los grupos militantes y de fuerzas extranjeras.

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