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For the first time since the World War 2, the United States will not provide a military answer to a direct missile or bombing strike on its military forces.
Over than a half day after the June 8 Iranian missile strike on US military bases in Iraq, President Donald Trump made an adress to the nation. During the adress, Trump was flanked by Secretary of Defense Mark Esper, Vice President Mike Pence, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and several members of the military top brass.
— The White House 45 Archived (@WhiteHouse45) January 8, 2020
A brief summary of what President Trump said:
- “As long as I’m president of the United States, Iran will never be allowed to have a nuclear weapon”;
- “No Americans were harmed in last night’s attack by the Iranian regime”;
- “Our great American forces are prepared for anything. Iran appears to be standing down”;
- The US will not respond by military measures. Instead, Washington will “will immediately impose additional punishing economic sanctions on the Iranian regime. These powerful sanctions will remain until Iran changes its behavior”;
- Iranian General Qaseem Soleimani assassinated by the US was avery bad man. Trump in fact equated him with with eliminated ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi and al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden;
- The Iranian nuclear deal is dead, but Iran must abandon “its nuclear ambitions. …and we must all work together toward making a deal with Iran that makes the world a safer and more peaceful place”;
- The US military is powerful and has many various missiles, including “hypersonic” ones. All this is thanks to Donald Trump;
- The US defeated ISIS (once again).
Full transcript of “Remarks by President Trump on Iran” can be found HERE.
There is also a quote in the statement by the US President that should be adressed seprately. He said that there were no US and Iraqi casualties because “an early warning system that worked very well”.
“No American or Iraqi lives were lost because of the precautions taken, the dispersal of forces, and an early warning system that worked very well.”
Taking into account that Iran officially warned the Iraqi government in advdance of the strike in order to allow it to withdraw Army units from the US facilities area, Tehran de-facto warned the US military of the upcoming strike. There are also reports that another message was delivered to the US via Qatar.
As satellite images show, Iranian missiles successfully hit designated targets causing observable damage to US military structures. So, it may appear that the ‘well-working’ US early warning system was just a diplomatic signal by Iran.
This strike can be compared with the US missile strikes on Syria in 2017 and 2018, when the US spent dozens of cruise missiles to target a few buildings and an airstrip in order to claim that it defeated the ‘bloody Assad regime’.
Another factor contributing to the version that all the ‘US allies’ were warned that the Trump administration is the behaviour of Gulf states. Over the past days streets in Saudi Arabia and the UAE had been full of Military Police officers. However, on January 8, they disappeared from the streets.
Regardless the reason behind the absence of the US casualties, Iran demonstrated to the United States and the world several important things:
- Iran is capable of striking any US military facility anywhere around the Middle East and this strike will be effective;
- Iranian missiles and electronic warfare systems (mostly provided by Russia) easily overcame US missile defense systems (both short and medium range variants).
- The US missile defense once again failed. The previous full-scale failure of the US-made air defense was observed in Saudi Arabia in 2019;
The entire reaction of the Trump administration over the recent developments demonstrate that it was not ready to them and was cornered by its own decisions – starting from strikes on Kataib Hezbollah, a part of the Iraqi Armed Forces’ Popular Mobilization Units, to the assassination of General Qassem Suleimani and other prominent Iranian and Iraqi officers.
It’s possible that the entire situation was designed by the pro-Israeli lobby (and its globalist backers) inside the United States through its influence on President Trump and his administration.
The infographic below provides the Iranian version of the events based on Iranian sources. The claim on the 80 killed US troops has never been confirmed by any independent source.
There are notable chances that if the situation develops in a negative direction for the White House, Donald Trump will soon become a political corpse. Ahead of the 2020 presidential election, Trump lost his face as the strong leader and in fact admitted that Washington fears an Iranian military response to the further escalation.
On the other hand, the President’s speech tries to picture the January 8 incident for the internal audience as a victory. By demonizing Soleimani, Trump in fact claimed that the US paid a low price for the killing of the ‘terrorist number one’. Within this narrative, the US also demonstrated itself as a ‘peaceful power’ that is ready to negotate despite the ‘Iranian agression’. Depending on the actions of the White House and the reaction of its opponents, the Trump administration may successfully exploit this strategy to keep and mobilize its supporters for the upcoming presidential election. In this case, Trump will promote himself as a ‘peacemaker’, the President that did not allow to draw the United States into another bloody war.
In any case, the January 8 adress by President Donald Trump could be considered as an important signal of the decreasing US military and diplomatic power around the world.