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Tensions On Afghanistan-Tajikistan Border Reach Boiling Point

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Tensions On Afghanistan-Tajikistan Border Reach Boiling Point

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As the war within Afghanistan is over, with Taliban as the clear winner, the time has now come for issues outside the country to press forward.

Currently, the situation at the Afghanistan – Tajikistan border is escalating, and the possibility of an armed conflict is increasing.

Both sides are sending troops to the border and it seems as just a matter of time until a stray shot causes a rapid chain reaction that leads to hostilities.

Relations between the two neighboring countries have gone sour after the Taliban came into power in Afghanistan. This is mostly due to the rhetoric on the side of Tajikistan, President Rahmon spoke in support of the National Resistance Front, and in support of the leader of the Northern Alliance, Ahmad Shah Massoud, who opposed the Taliban.

Additionally, the Punjabi Tajik leadership operates out of Dushanbe and as such also opposes the Taliban ideology.

On September 27th, President Ramon organized a parade in Darvaz, exactly on the border of Afghanistan.

This march was carried out to lift the spirit of border troops, as well as servicemen from the ground troops, in addition to the law enforcement agencies. They all took part in it.

In total, 2,000 servicemen and 50 units of military equipment took part in the parade. Darvaz district is part of the Gorno-Badakhshan Autonomous Region and borders with Afghanistan.

Prior to that, Rahmon made some antagonizing statements addressing the Taliban movement.

On September 23rd, speaking at the 76th UNGA, he called for independent elections in Afghanistan and the creation of an inclusive government with the participation of all ethnic groups, including Afghan Tajiks.

There are also concerns from Tajikistan’s side that the Taliban plan on infiltrating the country. An anonymous official at Tajikistan’s Border Service, a branch of the State National Security Committee, confirmed that Tajik authorities are reviewing information from various sources that militants are preparing infiltrations from northern Afghanistan.

This Tajik stance is in line with the United States’ attempts to duly illustrate the failure of the Taliban’s leadership of Afghanistan. For Washington this is significant in two ways: to calm the domestic political agenda, as well as a tool to impede China’s expansion in the region.

Beijing has an interest and much to gain if the region is stabilized. In that way its economic growth will be protected. And China is the main creditor of the Tajik economy, as a result it has a bit of pressure and it could exert it.

According to the latest data, Tajikistan owes China more than $1.2 billion, while the total external debt according to the Ministry of Finance of Tajikistan as of October 1, 2020 is about $3.2 billion. To put it simply, more than a third of Tajikistan’s external debt is owed to China. According to the latest data, about 80% of the republic’s gold deposits are already being developed by Chinese companies.

As a result, to avoid escalation it would be no surprise if Beijing exerts pressure to curb an escalation in a region it wishes to remain stable.

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farbat

nonsense there wont be any serious conflict on this border

farbat

the taliban cant govern afghanistan which they are part of so the absurd delusion that they can look for tajikistan now is just absurd nonsense and somebody might want this nonsense to be perpetuated because they might view afghanistan as weak right now but nothing is going to happen as i said its just nonsense neither will balkanization be allowed nor seperatism nor any other of the nonsense so just forget it

Last edited 21 days ago by farbat
Michel LeBlanc

In other words, this story is american agents stirring the pot, discrediting the Taliban and anything Afghan.

I call it cockblocking peace, a vile endeavour indeed.

Icarus Tanović

Well, maybe China wants stable Afghanistan, but with Talibans/Wahhabis that is utterly impossible. So, it is better for Tajikistan to step in. Now, we can win over Talibans, no matter how much wahhabi recruiters will be deployed from pakistan. We have seen that and it won’t work twice.

Ahson

bro this will be a huge distraction for Iran, and we don’t want this with attention focused west toward the shysters, camel jockey and turkish guppu. If the talibs make a wrong move on the Persians, it will compel Iran to act. However, I don’t think Iran will let this get out of hand. We all know illiterate pashtu intermixed with lower caste hendu-pak, but killing them is not in our interest for now. This needs to be simmered down. Totally unnecessary escalation. We don’t need to open a new front. Plenty already keeping Iran very busy. Besides, this is basically gas lighting the situation more than anything. Talibunny know one thing…..if Iran goes against them, theys fucked!

Last edited 21 days ago by Ahson
YankeeGoHome

How much for your Mama for 1 Hour Muta’ Majoosi?

Ahson

How much money for me to fukk your dad in front of you?

Chris Gr

Iran is totally fine with Turkey and Pakistan and now even with the Taliban!

Ahson

Good…..it keeps the peace…..no need to fight with lower caste dalit or guppu, when you can avoid it and no change to the strategic calculus. You got that?

Icarus Tanović

If Iran steps in they are gonners.

Ahson

No, Tajiks will do the bulk of the fighting, but this is just hype like that other article on Iran getting paranoid with Azeri, Turkish and Pakistan collusion…..lol. All hype, nothing else.

block

Idiots. Tajikistan is an SCO/CSTO member nation. Russia & China could locate troops in under 24hrs if this absurd article were true.

Enough fear mongering.

Tommy Jensen

Exactly. Tajikistan need to mobilize all their military and defend their nation against instability in Afghanistan by invading it before its too late.
Taliban wants to spread its many failures to their neighbours and the free and civilised world as a revenge because THEY failed to make peace in their own country during 20 years.

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