On April 14th, Igor Alekseevich Gundarov, a prominent Russian specialist in the fields epidemiology and medical statistics provided a comment on the COVID-19 situation and said that it wasn’t out of the question it was being used as a political play.
He mentioned a case of employees of a company affiliated with Rosatom, ASE IC from Nizhny Novgorod arrived at the construction site of a Belarusian Nuclear Power Plant and tested positive for COVID-19, 15 employees and were hospitalized. According to him, this could be used as a sort of political play.
Separately, 51 Chinese citizens who arrived at Shanghai Airport, and 21 – to the Heilongjiang Province bordering Russia, also had the coronavirus.
Gundarov himself asked that it should be inquired in specifically who performed the tests and what test systems were used, for both the Chinese and Russian Rosatom employees.
“And then the scientists will answer exactly, you can believe this data, or you can disregard it, and if you can believe it, then how can you interpret it.”
According to the epidemiologist, his fears about the possibility of a total pandemic of a psychogenic nature – a pandemic of fear and chaos, not based on objective facts, were fully confirmed.
“Politicians entered into the situation and their political games began. In response, we will now identify the coronavirus from all those who come from Belarus and China to Russia,” said Igor Gundarov.
“As a result, patients infect healthy people, and as a result we will be given information about the sharp rise of coronavirus pneumonias. This is already a crime. In the Soviet years, I would have sent them all to prison – at best,” said Igor Gundarov.
According to the Russian Federal State Statistics Service in February, the number of patients with pneumonia in January 2020 increased by 37%, compared to January 2019, in Moscow alone. This means that, for a while, there were “symptoms” that the infection was spreading, but no actions were being undertaken, just as many countries appear to have individuals who have COVID-19 antibodies, dating back to January, while it was allegedly only present primarily in Wuhan, China.
Then, on April 14th it was reported that even more Rosatom employees are infected, a total of 39.
“About what happened in the industry over the past week. At 14.00 [April 13], we have 39 infected individuals, we have everyone under control. Three people are still in hospitals, everyone has a mild illness. I take this opportunity to thank all the team of the Federal Biomedical Agency and other medical institutions where our comrades are being treated for support and medical assistance,” Aleksey Likhachev, head of Rosatom said.
The above-mentioned 15 Rosatom employees were tested once again, and the results were negative.
“Of course, you read in the media that 15 Russians who arrived at the end of March to build the Belarusian NPP had a positive reaction to the first test. I can report that everyone had a negative test. Now we are waiting for the results of the third test. Everyone is quarantined,” he said.
Returning to Igor Kondarov, he spoke of the COVID-19 hysteria back on March 30th.
According to him, coronavirus is becoming a litmus test of not just the physical survival of society, but also of society’s moral condition.
“There are several dozen coronaviruses, they appeared not yesterday and not today,” Gondarov said.
“They began to study coronaviruses somewhere in the 50s. Found that there are different types, they have complex relationships.
Including with the flu virus: there is real competition. Found where there is a large infection with influenza, there are few coronaviruses. Let me give you an example to find out if we have an epidemic today, or even a pandemic.
Here are the statistics. In the 90s, every year the flu virus during the epidemic showed 4-7 million cases of infection. Then they start moving towards 0, and suddenly the number of infections decreases: 600,000 – 400,000 – 50,000. This has been going on for 10 years.
We begin to look further for guidance, it is very important for us, because now they are afraid of mortality due to the coronavirus.
But people die not from coronavirus, but from pneumonia.
It can be caused by various agents of the microworld. If you look at the mortality from pneumonia in the same years that I have listed, it is almost constant. Every year, pneumonia takes 30–35 thousand lives.
And in China, about 4,000 have died from coronavirus now. So, you’re comparing two incompatible numbers.
At the same time, there is almost the disappearance of the influenza virus, and the level of pneumonia is the same.
What is the problem? My hypothesis is that we fought well with the flu virus and destroyed it, freeing up space for other microorganisms. It is possible that the current rise in coronavirus is due to this. Outbreaks of SARS, swine flu, chicken flu are nothing more than other agents rushing into the void created by the flu. Perhaps medicine is to blame for the fact that now the coronavirus has invaded this space.”
He provided some additional data, that in Italy, annually due to various diseases the approximate number that die sits at 600,000. If that’s divided by the days in a year, then the numbers sit at 1,700 per day.
“So, have people in Italy began dying in larger numbers? No, the overall mortality rate in Italy has remained unchanged.”
Thus, the panic is owed to something else:
“Here we must talk about social medicine, which deals with the health of society as a whole, the interaction of people and government.”
According to him, the entire transition to a large-scale self-isolation is unneeded, and especially if its late.
“I am amazed at the ambitiousness of politicians. Where does it take them, why did they decide that they understand everything? Mixed up a bunch of demographics, fertility, national projects, the virus.
What they didn’t do is gather scientists, create a headquarters comprised of the leading virologists and epidemiologists.
And there should be such a center for each government, and for the World Health Organization.”
He reminded that the general scientific consensus is that the situation is not different from past infection flashes, but the panic is on an entirely different level.
“As for safety measures, they are the same as they were before: ventilate the premises, wash your hands, if you feel that you are sick, sneeze – do not go to work, call a doctor. A mask is needed so that when sneezing, coughing, the infected drops do not fall on others. I, as a doctor, do not see any additional efforts required.”
MORE ON THE TOPIC:
- COVID-19 Crisis In Russia: Economic Turbulence And Digital Authoritarianism
- Moscow COVID-19 Lockdown: Administrative Self-Isolation, QR Codes And No More Than 2 Personal Trips Per Week