German Der Spiegel outlet has come across a secret Bundeswehr report titled “Strategic Report — 2040”, which theorizes that a possible collapse of the European Union may happen in 20 years.
The 102 page long report features various likely scenarios that may transpire in the next 20 years. The German experts claim that the worst possible outcome for Germany and the EU consists of “multiple conflicts” and several decades of political and economic turmoil. As it says in the report: “The expansion of the EU will have stopped, with more and more countries leaving the union… Europe will have lost its competitive edge. The more unstable, chaotic and conflict-ridden situation world will have upturned the security environment in Germany and the EU.”
The second negative scenario features dividing Europe in two blocks, starkly different economically as well as politically. According to the experts, the East European countries will have drifted into Russia’s sphere of influence due to their dependence on energy resources.
One more scenario concerns the failure of globalization, which will become the end of the “European illusion.” The report considers that it will geopolitically energize Russia and China, and distance the EU from its transatlantic partners.
Positive forecasts are titled “Global West” and “Peaceful space”. They include the increase of cooperation in the EU and expansion of the union, building partnerships with the countries over the world and development of the markets across the world.