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Netanyahu’s Risky Election Run-Up Bombing Campaign Of Syria May Lead To War

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Netanyahu's Risky Election Run-Up Bombing Campaign Of Syria May Lead To War

Written by Elijah J. Magnier – @ejmalrai; Originally appeared at his blog

Israel has attacked Syria many times during the last seven years of war imposed on Syria. It has run red-lights and broken taboos in order to provoke the “Axis of the Resistance” inside Syria, but has refrained from infuriating Hezbollah in Lebanon. Nevertheless, the most recent Israeli attack has pushed Syria and its allies beyond tolerable limits. Thus, President Assad prepared himself for a battle against Israel between the wars, knowing that such a battle could last weeks. But the president of Syria won’t be alone: Assad and Hezbollah’s Secretary general Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah will both be running any future battle against any Israeli aggression when the decision to engage will be taken.

Most recently Israel bombed the Syrian army and destroyed the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) offices and bases in Syria without inflicting any human casualties. At the same time, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu put himself on the level of IRGC-Quds brigade General Qassem Soleimani, by challenging him on social media.  In fact, Netanyahu fell right into the trap the Iranian general set for President Donald Trump.

Soleimani asked President Hassan Rouhani “to avoid answering this thug (Trump) who is beneath your level” and to allow him (Soleimani) to respond to Trump’s provocations of Iran. Thus Soleimani, a mere officer in the Iranian security forces, engages leaders of countries and even an arrogant Prime Minister who commands what he considers the best army in the Middle East and among the strongest in the world. But Soleimani’s style is different from Netanyahu’s. He doesn’t have a twitter account; he spends his time in the battlefield and in meetings with group leaders, officials, and sometime presidents and prime ministers. Soleimani is patient but he can be expected to respond to provocations sooner or later.

Netanyahu's Risky Election Run-Up Bombing Campaign Of Syria May Lead To War

Well-informed sources say that Iran is unwilling to abide the repetitive Israeli aggressions against Syria and IRGC positions. The Axis of Resistance is aware that Netanyahu is trying to pull it into a confrontation while US forces are deployed in Northeast Syria and before the Warsaw meeting organised by Trump against Iran. It is a difficult moment for Iran to react, but that doesn’t mean its allies can’t respond.

As noted in a previous article about the decision of the central government in Damascus to establish a new rule of engagement against continuous Israeli attacks, Syria was planning retaliation against any future Israeli attacks. This Syrian decision came just before Trump’s announcement of his intention to withdraw from Syria. This statement gave pause to Syria and its allies, as they reflected upon the best way to respond.

Tel Aviv is aware of the limitation of Iran in this critical moment and understands that the Resistance Axis would rather see a US withdrawal than to retaliate against Israel continuous attacks. Nevertheless, the most recent Israeli attack has pushed Syria and its allies beyond tolerable limits. Netanyahu announced his responsibility for the multiple bombardments of Syria–an unprecedented break with Israel’s protocol of silence. He used the army as an advertising tool for his forthcoming election.

Netanyahu's Risky Election Run-Up Bombing Campaign Of Syria May Lead To War

The Israeli Prime Minister perhaps doesn’t realize that Soleimani won’t reply to his provocation in Syria because Iranian targets were not bombed in Iran. Damascus, a close and strategic Syrian ally, responded to the attack by launching missiles against Israel which has driven it out of control bombarding tens of targets to avoid a larger escalation. Nevertheless, the Syrian Ambassador to the UN Bashar al-Jaafari warned that Tel Aviv airport could be bombed if Israel repeats its aggression on Syria. What al-Jaafari didn’t reveal is the fact that President Assad prepared himself for a battle against Israel between the wars, knowing that such a battle could last weeks.

Indeed, a long battle between Syria and Israel would put an end to Netanyahu’s chances to be re-elected. No Israeli Prime Minister has been elected who has exposed his country to danger and triggered the death of citizens.

Netanyahu's Risky Election Run-Up Bombing Campaign Of Syria May Lead To War

But how can Syria retaliate if, as Israel claims, all Syrian and Iranian warehouses have been bombarded and destroyed with their thousands of missiles? How can Hezbollah support Syria if, as Israel claims, it has crippled all convoys transiting from Syria to Lebanon? How is it possible to re-supply Lebanon if the US is occupying the al-Tanf crossing between Syria and Iraq, allegedly to stop the flow of weapons from Tehran to Beirut?

In 2006, Israel paid the price when it believed that it had undermined Hezbollah’s arsenal and discovered, through the massacre of the Merkava at Wadi al-Hujeir and the bombing of the Saar-5 vessel, that its intelligence about Hezbollah missiles and Syrian support was poor and that the US and Israeli intelligence failed. Tel Aviv wrongly believed it could easily fulfil the US dream of establishing a “new Middle East” announced by its Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice. No one in Israel expected Hezbollah to stand with its Kornet anti-tank guided missiles and its Chinese anti-ship missiles.

Today, the Resistance Axis, i.e. Syria and Hezbollah in the Levant, have not only greater experience of warfare, but they also have more modern anti-ship missiles (Yakhont) and other lethal surprises like precision missiles capable of hitting any target anywhere in Israel.

Netanyahu's Risky Election Run-Up Bombing Campaign Of Syria May Lead To War

Moreover, Hezbollah has several bases for its strategic missiles on the Lebanese-Syrian borders. The group will not hesitate to generously use them against Israel if Israel attacks its ally Syria. But Hezbollah is not expected to limit its support to weaponry. Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah is not only a master orator and a skilled psychologist of warfare, but also a meticulous military planner and commander. He was present in the military operational room in every single battle against Israel and participated in every single move his men took against Israel in the 2006 war and since. Logistic-technical-military planning and command and control between Hezbollah and Syria is today united. Nasrallah knows how to fight Israel, how much fire power to use and when. Assad and Nasrallah will both be running any future battle against any Israeli aggression when the decision to engage will be taken.

Russia is aware of determination of the Resistance Axis to respond and the danger this could pose for everyone in the Levant.  The Russians tipped the IRGC to evacuate their command and control bases less than an hour before they were attacked by Israel. Russian military command asked the IRGC about their new command and control bases and were told that “their bases, from today onward, will be spread over the entire Syrian geography alongside the Syrian army, in every single barracks”.

This answer pushed Russia to ask Israel, more directly and overtly, to stop bombing Syria. Russia would hate to find itself in the middle of an exchange of missiles between Syria and Israel flying above its head in the Levant.

Netanyahu’s arrogance pushed  him to abandon Israel’s policy of refusing to admit responsibility for its aggression, confusing the military command. The Prime Minister transmitted his electoral gossip inside the military establishment; he prefers to become a social media star rather than to follow the discreet example of his predecessors.

If Netanyahu wants to be re-elected, he needs to avoid a battle with Syria whose outcome he cannot control; his best strategy would be to keep silent until the polls.

Proofread byC.G.B

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  • Zionism = EVIL

    This is a very sound and well written factual analysis. The only leader in the Arab world who is worth his salt is Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah who was literally born on the battlefield and has sacrificed his eldest son Hadi for Lebanon’s freedom and dignity. The Zionist scum should not gloat but pay heed to Nasrallah’s wise words today, ” do not underestimate the axis of resistance’s capacity to retaliate”. Nasrallah has remained quiet for a few months as the Zionist fuckwits boasted every day, but this honorable sober man always has the last word with real bite. Zionist scum will be hit and their hovels destroyed if they provoke the Hezbollah lions.

    • Zionism = EVIL

      https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/64250617476e9a740808d75b2e1d7a36c354d48a7b064b11aded1e4d2ec640e4.jpg

      Iranian Cargo Pouya Air IL76TD EP-PUS Tehran-Damascus, First Iranian cargo flight since the last Israeli attack, EP-PUS arrived yesterday from Moscow to Tehran pic.twitter.com/tZmX7ltMTR

    • You can call me Al

      I think it could be bigger than that if there is a war (of sorts) between Iran and Israel (+ allies of both) -> what do the Islamic Sunni nations do, which side are they on ?, is there distaste against the Shi’ite greater than the Israelis ?, to me it would be doubtful. What about the Christian Countries ?, many have to keep quiet because of the Zio-Christians rule, but are pro-Palestinian and despise the Israeli genocide…… and so on and so on.

      It is a very strange situation and I have no idea what could happen, especially within the ME Arab nations.

      Can you call it ?.

  • verner

    close down israel, all rights bestowed a sovereign country are since long forfeited and since that is the case, israel should be discontinued and the people living there on their way to the next diaspora, whence they came. israel needs the world but the world does not need israel. and when they are well on the way, no complaints will do since the outcome of the failed israeli experiment is their own doing and when experiments fail you discontinue and spend your resources somewhere else. and the israeli experiment has cost the world a bundle in the trillions and its time to end it now – mbs of saudi arabia can spend his readies (money that is) and secure that a host of nations de-recognize israel and in doing so, removes the legitimacy of the country and forces a complete discontinuation of israel.

    and of course – join the boycott, divest and sanction movement now

    • You can call me Al
      • verner

        it’s alright, take an aspirin and pray that you can swim when you’re kicked into the med by the junta of angry and revengeful enemies of israel. by that time either be a good swimmer or have one of those inflatable contraptions the syrians used when they had to flee their homeland after israel started the war there. but I would suggest you feck off towards the destitute states of america since you won’t be very welcome anywhere else!

        • You can call me Al

          I wasn’t expecting that, I thought I may get a couple of laughs at the “cat’s bed on my head”.

          Grump sods you are on here.

          • verner

            no worries – didn’t thinkit was you and the cat’s bed so so and resembles my cat’s bed not at all – but the photo opened an opportunity to push the old ‘israel must be discontinued’ narrative and opportunities of that kind can’t be missed – but yes, it’s a humorous photo and deserves one ha, no two haha

          • You can call me Al

            LOL

  • You can call me Al

    Look at that fat fucker (4th from the left in the top photo).

  • Manuel Flores Escobar

    Syria has enough power to confront Israel…Smerch rockets..Fatheed 110 ballistic missile, Bastion P…beside the help of Hezbollah/Hamas long range rockets..can paralize the country, the airports and Israeli population in panic hide in shelters…bad bussiness for Netanyahu ..

  • IMHO

    “Netanyahu’s Risky Election Run-Up Bombing Campaign Of Syria May Lead To War”
    Does anyone else see the utter ignorance of that headline?

  • Parisa Zoorgoo

    shouldnt all civilised countries gang nuke tel aviv, as an act of peace and justice?

  • RichardD

    These attacks on Syria by the evil Jews are directed against Russia. To derail the US withdrawal and fuel the anti Russia campaign to take Russia down and add it to the Jew borg collective as a slave state to be further victimised and exploited.

    Jews are responsible for the unnecessary deaths of 10s of millions of innocent Russians and their neighbors last century. During the Jew run genocide against Russia and it’s neighbors. They are an existential threat to Russia and should be recognised and treated as such.

  • Ma_Laoshi

    All this navel-gazing is self-defeating. Clear ground rules should have been established long ago: Bibi bombs Syria, he gets a nice pile of Israeli bodies sent to his doorstep just before election time. Sorry but that’s how you deal with jews. This waffling “we may retaliate next time” seems to be something the Syrians have unfortunately learned from the Russians. It’ll only confirm to the Israelis that they can get away with it all for a while longer.