The debris from a Russian Iskander-M missile fell out of the designated test area, the Kazakhstan Ministry of Defense reported.
On January 9th, 2020, during the planned exercises at the test center of the Russian Ministry of Defense, which is leasing landfills in the Republic of Kazakhstan in accordance with the interstate agreement between Kazakhstan and Russia of 1995, the debris of one of the missiles fell outside the designated areas.
There was no explosion. In the area of the fall in the Bayganinsky district of the Aktobe region there were no victims and there was no damage to any property. The situation presented no danger to the population.
The launch of missiles using facilities on the territory of the Republic of Kazakhstan was carried out in accordance with the annual plan and schedule of the exercises.
The area where the debris fell was cordoned off by the police. In accordance with this agreement, the clarification of circumstances and reasons will be carried out by the Kazakh-Russian commission under the akimat of the Aktobe region.
There were photographs showing the site where the debris fell, as well as estimations of the shortest range of the Iskander-M ballistic missile, which according to an analysis is approximately 630 kilometers.
According to expert Evgeniy Maksimov, the missile is most likely the 9K720 Iskander-M.
If the information provided by the Ministry of Defense of Kazakhstan on launching a rocket from the “test center of the Russian Ministry of Defense, which is leasing landfills in the Republic of Kazakhstan” is true, then, the launch was made from the 4th State Central Interspecific Testing Ground of the Russian Federation (4 GTsMP, Kapustin Yar), from the testing center in the territory of Atyrau and West Kazakhstan regions of Kazakhstan.
The distance from the borders of this firing range to the place of the rocket’s fall in the Baiganinsky district of the Aktobe region of Kazakhstan is arond 620-630 km, and the actual launch distance, apparently, confidently exceeded 650 km. Which means that the Iskander-M can fly further than the originally reported maximum range of 500 km.
Which would mean that the Iskander-M would potentially be in breach of the now defunct INF Treaty (already dead), which prohibited short-range missiles with a range between 500 and 1,000 km and intermediate-range missiles with a range between 1,000 and 5,500 km.
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