0 $
2,500 $
5,000 $
727 $
AUGUST 2020

How Precise Are Iranian Missiles? Analysis Of Missile Strikes On U.S. Military Base In Iraq

Donate

How Precise Are Iranian Missiles? Analysis Of Missile Strikes On U.S. Military Base In Iraq

This video is based on the analysis of Haider Geoanalyst originally appeared on TheSaker.is

Several sources in the past weeks have analyzed the Iranian missile strikes on US forces at the Ayn Al Asad Airbase which took place more than two weeks ago on the 8th of January 2020 as a retaliation for the US assassination of the Iranian general Qassem Sulaimani.

In this analysis, the post-strike satellite imagery is assessed to give us some insights on what happened at the Ayn Al Asad Airbase and to estimate the accuracy of the Iranian missiles.

It is clear, even prior to conducting any analysis, that the Iranian missiles targeted individual structures with a high rate of accuracy. This analysis attempts to estimate the accuracy in terms of how far the missiles landed from their targets. Since the Iranians did not make public the targets they wanted to hit or destroy, it is assumed that the individual missiles were targeting the actual structures they destroyed or the nearest structures to their impact locations.

A term often used in precision guided munitions (artillery shells, smart-bombs, missiles, etc.) is the circular error probability (CEP). This value is not derived from actual warfare statistics but from weapons testing or claims from the weapons manufacturer. Instead of using the CEP, we will attempt to derive our own statistics from the small sample size of missile strikes.

Introduction to Ayn Al Asad Airbase

The US occupation forces between 2003 and 2005 changed the name of the airbase from its original 1980s name of Qadisiyah Airbase to the name of Ayn Al Asad, which in Arabic literally either means “Eye of the Lion” or in this case “Lion spring” due to the hydrological spring which is now located within the perimeter of the airbase. This spring feeds the Wadi al Asadi stream valley located in the northern part of the air base and flows eastwards into the Euphrates River as one of its tributaries. The main part of the base originally had a perimeter length of 21 km, not including other secondary or auxiliary bases located in the surrounding areas. The perimeter was expanded by the Americans to 34 km (Figure 1), giving the base a total area size of approximately 63 km2 and making it the largest military base in Iraq by area size. For comparison, this is almost twice the size of the New York City metropolitan area.

How Precise Are Iranian Missiles? Analysis Of Missile Strikes On U.S. Military Base In Iraq

The base consists of two major runways (a third runway is unpaved), several taxiways, a variety of different facilities and buildings for personnel, equipment, communications, including sports and leisure centers with theaters and swimming pools. The base further has soft and hardened aircraft shelters (hangars). The trapezoidal shaped hardened aircraft hangers were built by Yugoslavian companies across many bases in Iraq in the 80s and are nicknamed “Yugos” by the Iraqis. The two hardened runways have a length of approximately 3,990 m. This is almost 1 km shorter than Iraq’s longest aircraft runway of 4,800 m located at Erbil airport, which is also one of the longest in the world. For further historical and general information on the Ayn Al Asad Airbase, see the following websites here ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Al_Asad_Airbase ), here ( https://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/iraq/al-asad.htm ) and here ( https://www.airforce-technology.com/projects/al-asad-airbase-iraq/ ).

Reports indicate that around 15 to 16 missiles were fired from multiple locations inside Iran, with at least 10 missiles fired from bases in the Kermanshah area. If this is indeed the case and assuming a straight line flight path, the missiles could have traveled a distance of approximately 425 km from Kermanshah until reaching the Ayn Al Asad Airbase (Figure 2).

How Precise Are Iranian Missiles? Analysis Of Missile Strikes On U.S. Military Base In Iraq

Airbase missile strike overview

In recent days, analysts have identified a total of nine separate missile impact strikes within the Ayn Al Assad Airbase perimeter. This does not exclude the possibility of other missile impact sites within the base’s perimeter which have not been identified or published online. Seven strikes (number 1 to 7) are found at the facilities located just above the northern taxiway and runway, which according to the imagery, houses a variety of drones and aircraft, including V-22 Ospreys, MQ-1 Predator drones, UH-60 Black Hawks and even (K)C-130 Hercules aircraft for transport and refueling. Another missile impact (number 8) is located on the taxiway between the two paved runways and impact number 9 is found on a taxiway in the southeastern complex of hardened aircraft hangars.

How Precise Are Iranian Missiles? Analysis Of Missile Strikes On U.S. Military Base In Iraq

Site number 1 and 2

Strikes number 1 and 2 are approximately 110 m apart. Crater impact nr. 1 is 28 m away from the destroyed soft non reinforced target (possibly a tent structure). Nr. 1 has a small circular blast followed by a secondary semi-circle pattern. The secondary pattern towards the west also gives away the eastern incoming missile direction. Impact nr. 1 is peculiar since it is not a direct hit, but landed 28 m next to the nearest structure. The question is if the Iranians intentionally targeted this point or is it an accuracy issue (off by 28 m) ?

Strike nr. 2 has a similar sized crater and blast pattern as nr. 1 (approx. 27 to 28 m). So it is highly possible that both strikes were conducted using the same missile, with strike nr. 2 having a more obvious blast circle due to it landing exactly in the middle of a series of built soft structures (possible tents). From the measurements we can conclude that strike nr. 2 is more or less dead center on the 5 soft like tent structures and there is no substantial accuracy error.

How Precise Are Iranian Missiles? Analysis Of Missile Strikes On U.S. Military Base In Iraq

Site number 3

Site nr. 3 contains two soft structures (possible tents). The missile’s crater and circular blast pattern is located almost in the center of the left building. If this building was deliberately targeted, the error is no more than 3 m. For comparison, this is the average accuracy of a handheld GNSS (GPS) device or a current smartphone, which is very impressive for a warhead landing at more than 2000 km/h (terminal velocity).

How Precise Are Iranian Missiles? Analysis Of Missile Strikes On U.S. Military Base In Iraq

Site number 4 and 5

Sites 4 and 5 are two building (soft structures) next to one-another each hit with what seems to be similar type of missiles with primary blast radius of 8 to 9 m and secondary circles of around 20 to 22 m. If the center of the buildings were targeted, accuracy errors are 6 and 14 m for site 4 and 5, respectively. Again, we do not know if the Iranians deliberately targeted a certain part of the structures.

How Precise Are Iranian Missiles? Analysis Of Missile Strikes On U.S. Military Base In Iraq

Site number 6

Strike 6 is located on the left side of a long metal roof soft structure, similar to a steel open warehouse. The left half of the building shows a primary blast circle of approximately 17 m in radius, with an overall damage radius of approximately 25 m. If we assume that the center of the building was the actual target, then we find an error of 51 m. Again, the question is whether the left side of this building was deliberately struck instead of the central part. It’s possible to assume that the Iranians intentionally targeted the western side of the building, having prior knowledge the blast radius of their missiles and the importance of the western side of the building.

How Precise Are Iranian Missiles? Analysis Of Missile Strikes On U.S. Military Base In Iraq

Site number 7

Strike number 7 is the most easterly impact site and is found near the end of the northern runway. The impact is located almost exactly in the middle of four soft aircraft shelters. The post-strike image (taken a few hours after the event) shows V-22 Ospreys and MQ-1 predator drones parked just south of the shelters. The first circular blast pattern has a 15 m radius. The incoming direction of the missile caused the complete destruction of the adjacent shelter just left of the impact point, while the shelter to the right was lightly damaged. If we assume the Iranians were targeting the middle point of the second shelter (taken from left to right) than the accuracy error would be about 18 m. However, it is highly likely that the four soft shelters were targeted as a single unit. If that is the case, then the missile was only 7 m off (accuracy error) from the middle point.

How Precise Are Iranian Missiles? Analysis Of Missile Strikes On U.S. Military Base In Iraq

Site number 8

If we assume that the Iranians are not randomly lobbing missiles inside the airbase with CEP errors of 100 to 500 m as some of the so called “think tank” experts presume (or have previously presumed in recent years), then we can assume that site nr. 8 was targeting the taxiway located between the two paved runways as previously shown in Figure 3. In the images below we can see an impact crater hitting the side of the taxiway. The impact is 23 m from the center of the taxiway pavement and we use this distance as a measure of accuracy. A clear circular blast pattern is visible and a directional blast cone indicates the incoming missile direction.

How Precise Are Iranian Missiles? Analysis Of Missile Strikes On U.S. Military Base In Iraq

Site number 9

Strike nr. 9 is the second strike on a taxiway and is the most southern impact site situated in a hardened hangar complex. The impact crater is located almost exactly on one of the corner points of a paved T-junction. If the Iranians purposely targeted this exact point, then the accuracy error could possibly be no more than 2 meters. However, if the target was the actual center of the T-junction, then the error is approximately 11 m. Like in site nr. 8, we see a circular blast with a cone like fan shaped pattern giving the incoming missile direction.

How Precise Are Iranian Missiles? Analysis Of Missile Strikes On U.S. Military Base In Iraq

Assessment and conclusions

There are different ways to assess the accuracy of these strikes based on the fact that we do not have the exact coordinates the Iranians wanted  to target. It is not very realistic to assume that the Iranians were perfectly able to target the exact coordinates they intended to hit with perfect accuracy. There is however uncertainty in whether the Iranians intentionally missed some of their targets. The abovementioned observations clearly show a pattern of very accurate strikes on individually targeted buildings/structures. There are two most likely scenarios:

  1. The Iranians intentionally targeted and destroyed some targets. Accuracy errors occurred causing some missiles to miss the exact center point of their targets, with other targets being completely missed.
  2. The Iranians intentionally destroyed some targets and intentionally missed some others.

The table shows the estimated range in accuracy for each of the 9 strike locations based on our observations and interpretation. The green numbers are the most likely errors in meters, while red numbers indicating the less likely errors based on our assumptions of what the Iranians intended to target. An average missile target accuracy of 11 m is based on what are the most likely intended targets (or in other words the most likely scenario). The statistical spread of this small sample size (of only 9 strikes) is 8.5 m. So the lower and upper limits of the accuracy, based on the standard deviation, is estimated to range between 2.5 and 19.5 m. The median value, which is somewhat comparable to the CEP, is 7 m. This means that half of the strikes landed within 7 m. Finally, the average blast (damage) circle is estimated at 21 m.

How Precise Are Iranian Missiles? Analysis Of Missile Strikes On U.S. Military Base In Iraq

Let’s visualize these numbers and assume that these numbers can be used in circles. The figure shows a MQ-1 predator drone theoretically being targeted. The yellow line indicates the 11 m mean accuracy value. This is where missiles will land on average. The red line gives the 7 m median value where 50 % of the strikes are found inside this circle. The subsequent figure also includes examples of blast circle (average radius of 21 m) locations in respect to the target.

How Precise Are Iranian Missiles? Analysis Of Missile Strikes On U.S. Military Base In Iraq

How Precise Are Iranian Missiles? Analysis Of Missile Strikes On U.S. Military Base In Iraq

Assuming the estimation of the intended targets and measurements are realistic, an Iranian missile accuracy ranging on average between 2.5 and 19.5 m is very impressive to say the least and indicates the use of advanced terminal guidance technology (guiding a missile in its terminal phase). Reports have suggested that the Fateh-313 tactical short range ballistic missile (SRBM) was used in the Ayn Al Asad Airbase attack, with other reports suggesting that the Qiam 1 was also used in the attack, including on Erbil Airport. The Fateh-313 is an upgraded Fateh-110, with an increased missile range up to 500 km. Terminal guidance technologies are most likely to be combined, including inertial guidance systems (INS), GNSS systems and possibly electro-optical guidance.

Donate

SouthFront

Do you like this content? Consider helping us!

  • Hasbara Hunter

    Them Yangeese, ISraHell & The British Crown have declared War to the entire World with their Corona-Bio-Warfare….time has come to Eradicate them Demons…let them bring on a little War & make them fight on Countless Fronts…they are Nothing!

    • Jacob Wohl

      It’s confirmed that the Coronavirus is a CHINESE CREATION in a Wuhan Laboratory, meant to spread to the US and destroy its economy, so China’s economy can grow and receive $BILLIONS from internation trade and assistance for fighting COVID-19, therefore its a 100% Chinese, Communist creation.

      The SAME EXACT strain infecting people was ISOLATED and STORED in a WUHAN LAB! Someone released it, and China PURPOSELY left their borders OPEN to infect the entire world.

      Of course ANTIFA, antisemitic liberals like yourself LOVE China and Communism, even though it has killed over 100 MILLION people since the early 20th century, and up to 70 million innocent Chinese people since the 1930’s.

      • Hasbara Hunter

        All roads lead to Dark Winter…

        https://www.unz.com/wwebb/all-roads-lead-to-dark-winter/

        https://madhousenews.com/2020/04/robert-f-kennedy-jr-exposes-bill-gates-vaccine-dictatorship-plan-cites-gates-twisted-messiah-complex-fort-russ/

        Remember what you Pieces of Excrement did to them Indigenous Americans you Filthy Motherfucker…

        https://www.umass.edu/legal/derrico/amherst/lord_jeff.html

        Bring on your war and I will start Killing Elites, Paedophiles & Banksters

        • Jacob Wohl

          Last time I checked “indigenous Americans” originally came from the highlands of Siberian Russia and Mongolia, and are closer to Asians. But do re-write history. By the way those links are all from conspiracy sites, troll.

          • Hasbara Hunter

            You are a Filthy AngloZioNazi Womenterrorizing Paedophile…
            I have been studying 500 years of British & American Genocides you Fucking piece of pigshit…

          • Jacob Wohl

            Yes, and in that study you forgot that Native Americans that Mongolians are settled in the Americas through the Bering Strait less than 5,000-8,000 years ago? READ up on it, antisemite.

          • Hasbara Hunter

            You are not even a Semite you Filthy AshkeNAZI Imposter…you are Nothing! Arabs are Semites…you are a White fuckn ZioNazi-Parasite…one who likes to beat women…filthy Kiddieraper…if I ever catch you alive, I will chop off your genitals & stuff’m down your throat!

            https://www.google.nl/amp/s/www.thecut.com/amp/2019/10/who-is-jacob-wohl-failed-smears.html

          • Icarus Tanović

            Don’t get mad, don’t just because of that bum. He’s a troll and shame to all Jews.

          • Hasbara Hunter

            I ain’t mad….I just told him the truth…

          • Traiano Welcome

            25 000 years ago. Please do some reading instead of spreading your viral ignorance all over the place.

          • gryzor84

            don’t you dare call anyone an antisemite you clown ! you lost that privilege reserved for people who actually suffered from the Holocaust and still educated and noble enough not to deny other peoples’ their history of mass suffering. Your place is in defamation court, and nowhere else you juvenile abuser.

          • Traiano Welcome

            Your argument is meaningless. The *speculated* split from Siberian and East Asian tribes occurred 25 000 years ago. Since then DNA analysis over time shows they evolved as a distinct genetic group within the Americas. This is the meaning of Indigenous.

          • gryzor84

            don’t try to teach the juvenile ignorant troll fodder for his nonsense, too much info for that indoctrinated joke of a micro-brain of his.

          • gryzor84

            No, we’ll leave that privilege to you zionist revisionist bastard trying to hide historical ethnic cleansing perpetrated in 48 by illegal and fascistic paramilitary forces called Irgun, Hagahan and the most infamous of them all, the Stern Brigade, that united in the end under a single Tsahal banner to officially perpetuate their crimes to this very day.

          • Icarus Tanović

            Get out of here you bum.

          • gryzor84

            and even assuming a second that this piece of crude and mediocre misinformation effort actually happens to be reality for the sake of argument : in which mystical way in which clinically twisted mental universe does it justify the genocide they underwent after settling there at the hands of the white settlers ? what kind of an argument is that, the very fact that you think it is a valid way to retort makes it a disgusting and absurd posture, as you have your head so far up your racist, ignorant and murderous ass that you become a stain to your own people’s suffering. We all have to come from somewhere at the eve of the Homo Sapiens Sapiens (unless you rather believe in Creationist bullshit there as well ?). Revisionism of that magnitude is a crime including when it comes from a jew you know ? do you realize you can be reported for such online abuse , as I just did, as the slaughter of Native American is acknowledged as much as the Jewish Holocaust by the historians community all over the world, so good luck trying to re-write this with your petty nonsense.

      • Red Pilled ThoughtCrimes

        no it’s not

      • Traiano Welcome

        Nonsense.

        Nothing of the sort is confirmed. The latest information points to the U.S or elsewhere as the origin of the virus. This *scientific* paper by people who actually understand the subject (as opposed to shysters like you) demonstrates that the virus did not originate in a lab – certainly not a Chinese lab:

        https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0820-9?sf231596998=1

        Neither was it proven that the virus originated in a Wet Market in Wuhan:

        https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/01/wuhan-seafood-market-may-not-be-source-novel-virus-spreading-globally

        Other bullshit arguments, like the virus origin in bats or from eating exotic animals like pangolins have also been debunked.

      • Traiano Welcome

        PS. If this is a Chinese creation you better all bow down and accept your new overlords, because the technology required to engineer, spread and control the spread of this virus, as a biological attack is beyond the current cutting edge.

      • gryzor84

        You are funny man. The rest is not interesting.

        PS : Antifa actually “anti-fascist” and as their name imply they physically oppose them at the four corners of the globe and often ambush their neo-nazi/fascist/far-right rally. I’ve personally taken part in Antifa action and consider myself first and foremost anti-nazi rather than anything else, even zionism. You and your anti-semitic Neocon friends nontheless, can gently, kindly, MAYBE, one day, kiss my ass.

        • BlueInGreen

          Ah yes, the 1,000km Dezful FAE warhead Quasi-ballistic missile…what a conceptually scary weapon. Just decimates any soft-bodied target within its blast radius. Entire fortifications can be ruined by just one such warhead. Although I think my favorite recent Iranian BM development would have to be the Khoramshahr 1 and 2.

          Also the Dezful allows Iran to extend direct fire-support for Hezbollah forces as well if I’m not mistaken. The range would allow Iran to strike into Northern Israel from Western Iran rather easily.

          • gryzor84

            Indeed BIG ;-) you nailed it by mentionning the Dezful, I had forgotten that it was in the last experimental stages, currently the latest Fateh iteration would be the Zulfiqars that were used in that particular engagement, if I’m not mistaken.

            The Khoramshahr is indeed scary and it is a textbook (precision) WMD, a heavy axe among the longer swords at the disposal of Iran’s strategic missile battalions. Let’s not beat around the bush, it is probably planned to be used only as a last resort when a given escalation has spiraled into a full-blown conflict, when commanders and political actors consider that all bets are off. Other, lighter MRBMs (such as the Ghadr/Emad/Sejil-2 that I mentionned) are readily available in numbers with legacy Shahab-3s used as penetration aids for deep strikes into enemy territory, and would come first in the order of battle in the early stages of a given conflict. Short of total war, I do not see commanders green-lighting deployment of such valuable asset (and highly loaded one, both militarily and politically).

            But if push comes to shove one day and say, Dimona becomes a valid target, then the Israelis will be in for some big fireworks headed their way.

          • BlueInGreen

            Here is a right up I did not to long ago about Iran’s Quasi-BM inventory, feel free to further expand and elaborate on it since many here seem to be completely oblivious about Iranian missile capability.

            It wasn’t 27 either, in total Iran fired 15 missiles out of which only 1-2 failed. The specific missiles used were the Zolfaghar/Fateh313 (700-500km range with 1,000lb~450kg HE payload, mach 3 terminal descent) and the Qiam-1 which has a bigger warhead although it is believed that the Qiams which were fired are the ones that missed their targets but 13 out of 15 is impressive for any military.

            The intended targets at Ain Al-Assad were American and American only. The base is shared with the Iraqis but the Iranians knew what facilities and hangars were being used by U.S. forces so they they struck what they needed to in order to get the message across.

            Iran’s current Ballistic Missile development program doesn’t have any immediate plans to development an ICMB class Missile. To necessitate the creation of ICMBs you’d usually or almost exclusively need to have a sizable stock-pile of high-yield nuclear warheads to go on the ICMBs since regular RMX,HMX or even FAE based warhead wouldn’t make much sense, ICMBs are expensive, highly strategic weapons meant mainly for viable deterrence purposes. It would be super un-economical to put standard HE warheads onto an ICMB, so unless Iran is serious about making nukes we probable won’t see an Iranian ICBM anytime soon, or at least this is what I think is the case given the current information out there.

            Furthermore, Iran is currently in sort of a missile tech/production renaissance if you will. The Fateh line of Iranian missiles has matured into a military viable tactical as well as strategic weapons platform with many derivatives meant to accomplish different tasks.

            I’ll name off the ones I know of currently:

            Fateh-110 ( first model and direct evolution from the Zelzal theatre missile )
            Fateh-313 (Carbon Fiber body, ligher warhead, advanced guidance systems, the first step in Iran’s effort to develop improved accuracy Quasi-Ballistic missiles )
            Zolfaghar ( 700km/1,000lb HE/Mach-3 terminal descent, MaRV Warhead, the culmination of Iran’s effort, this was the same missile that decimated the American targets at Ain al-Assad airbase )
            Fateh Al-Mobin ( an upgrade package meant to retrofit older Fatehs with newer guidance systems )
            Fateh Bareshi ( a cluster submunition war-head meant to destroy airfields with columns of air-craft parked outside )
            Hormuz-1 and Hormuz-2 (fitted with anti-radiation seeking sensors that can find and destroy radars)
            Khalijeh Fars (AshBM Anti-ship Ballistic missile meant to greatly hinder if not outright destroy any warship currently fielded by the U.S. Navy with one or two missiles barring the Nimitz class super-carriers)
            Ra’ad-307 (not sure what this specific missile is meant for)
            Ra’ad-500
            Dezful (1,000km range, ~1,000lb FAE warheads meant to destroy anything it touches)

            Current Pentagon intelligence estimates put the Iranian Ballistic missile stockpile at over 2,000 but to anyone who knows about Iran’s missile program outside of Pentagon fed PR that number is WAY too low. The current Iranian missile stockpile of Ballistic missiles which include the Quasi-Ballistic Fateh series is somewhere between 3,000 to 4,000 plus. Superpower not not, this sort of firepower is a true threat to anyone nation, no exceptions.

            We now have good reason to believe that Iran isn’t messing around here, these missiles can indeed do the job they say they can do. We’ve now seen them and how devastating they are.

        • Icarus Tanović

          Well and wisely said.

      • El Mashi

        Only thing confirmed is that you are a liar. Israel’s military bio labs also have Corona virus. Corona virus is reeking havoc in the Israeli controlled concentration camps in Gaza. Israeli are happy.

      • Daily Beatings

        No it’s not a man made virus:

        “Our analyses clearly show that SARS-CoV-2 is not a laboratory construct or a purposefully manipulated virus.”

        https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0820-9

        You’ve confirmed only that you’re a troll and an idiot.

        • John Wallace

          I saw a collaborative scientific paper by numerous scientists from all around the world which showed several mutations of the virus and by taking it back showed it was impossible that the virus was created in a laboratory. So anyone that claims it was are making it up to fit their agenda. So in this case you correctly point out that it is agenda driven by a Troll not interested in the truth..

      • The Objective

        any proofs?

      • Gary Sellars

        Shut-up you stupid fucking yid cunt.

    • Red Pilled ThoughtCrimes

      words are important. remember to always put USA not US as well. it makes a difference

    • Icarus Tanović

      If we put some end to Wahhabi Satanic terror, we actually punch them in their face.
      Straight in the face.

      • Hasbara Hunter

        Muslims in Holland are good & intelligent Folks….they know everything about the ZioNazis & what they are up to…if they want war…I’d say: Bring it on! Wahhabis paid for all European Mosques though…He who pays the piper calls the tune…So Devilworshipping Wahhabism will be a thing for Muslims themselves to deal with in my personal opinion…Chop cancer out of Islam…

        • Icarus Tanović

          If we put an end to Wahhabism we actually crippled Anglozionazis war machine…Don’t you see that they are playing old same script in all Muslim countries, and you know what I mean…

          • Hasbara Hunter

            Wahhabi-Ideology should be exterminated for the simple fact that it is a Wahhab-Hempher-MI6-Ideology…which in my opinion isn’t good for any religion…Humanity shakin’ hands as Brothers & Unity against the AngloZioNazi-Cabal will be the only way to really eradicate the Demonic-Cancer for once & for All…As long as they have escape routes…humanity doesn’t stand a chance…They are very Powerful & very wealthy…but against 99% they are NOTHING…

          • Icarus Tanović

            That’s very good we should all stand together as brothers against evil that is destroying the Planet, all on it’s path. Wahhabism should be exterminated because it is theirs very product, and moreover it is against humanity, human kind. They are Satanic faith. There are many of them in western Europe, so be careful, because they are pretending that they are Muslims, which they’re not.
            Many Ullemmas from all over the World excluded them just in 2016 in Grozny. Only Ullemas who are under some party, that is under American control have been absent.
            Americans are those who fertilize evil noxious weed.

          • Hasbara Hunter

            Glaciers are melting…15.000 Year old Virusses will be reintroduced according AMERICAN & CHINESE Scientists…aight…

            https://www.google.nl/amp/s/www.popularmechanics.com/science/health/amp30643717/viruses-found-melting-glacier/

            Remember Yajuj & Majuj…the AngloZioNazis will create this narrative Hollywood-Style in my personal opinion according the apocalypse… Makebelieve…
            A KILLER-VIRUS COMIN’ IN SWARMS FROM THE MOUNTAIN (or Nano-Drones)
            https://www.iqrasense.com/death-and-after-life/the-story-of-yajuj-and-majuj-gog-and-magog.html

          • Icarus Tanović

            BECAUSE they are EVIL. EXTREMELY against EVIL SATANIC DEVILWORSHIPING FAITH which is Wahhabism.
            Who is fertilise them, feeding them etc. Americans are feeding that noxious weed against humanisty. Worst biological weapon ever created by Anglozionazis. Or just to say MI6 and British spy Hempher.
            Extremely against them. That’s it.

  • Red Pilled ThoughtCrimes

    just had a sick thought. did any of the warheads contain covid 19? Is China just running interference for an Iranian biological strike?
    (only a madcap theory, but MSM could have used that one lol)

    • Traiano Welcome

      Did the Iranian strikes match the timeline of the virus outbreak?

      • Red Pilled ThoughtCrimes

        On 8 January 2020, in a military operation code named Operation Martyr Soleimani

        • Arch Bungle

          You could be on to something! But what about the news that the outbreak was spreading through Wuhan in december already?

          • Red Pilled ThoughtCrimes

            dunno lol. but why are aircraft carriers and military boats getting it, considering both were at sea

          • Traiano Welcome

            That is the question I’ve been asking for 2 weeks now. The answer I got was “periodic stops to service whores in Vietnam, Cambodia, Pattaya Beach …” or they’ve got a whore delivery service going on the high seas …

          • Red Pilled ThoughtCrimes

            China just running interference. xD it fits the orginal post and matches with the narrative, so am sticking with that :P

            i get a thought, i look at it, if it doesnt pan out i still learn stuff on the way.

            google is too good at limiting info, have to change searches and questions or it gives you the lazy answer

      • Red Pilled ThoughtCrimes

        Donald Trump was warned at the end of January by one of his top White House advisers that coronavirus had the potential to kill hundreds of thousands of Americans and derail the US economy, unless tough action were taken immediately, new memos have revealed.

        Just copied pasted that bit from an article behind a paywall, only had top paragraph

        so yeah, around 14-22 days incubation after 8th is 22nd-30th

        might be on a war footing in every country because half the military is dropping dead, would explain the top iranian military generals too

      • Red Pilled ThoughtCrimes
      • Red Pilled ThoughtCrimes

        lol this is a bit weird

        More American troops leave Iraq for medical evaluation after Jan. 8 Iran missile attack

        Jan 21st 13 days after so nicely incubated and starting to drop mebbee

        i remember reports that some soldiers were brain dead after the attack and kept alive on respirators

        https://www.militarytimes.com/news/your-military/2020/01/21/more-american-troops-leave-iraq-for-medical-evaluation-after-jan-8-iran-missile-attack/

        says concussion, but that doesnt fit my conspircy theory i made up earlier lol

        making tenuous links make learning what happened a bit more interesting if i get a thought i wanna look at :)

  • Red Pilled ThoughtCrimes

    FANTASTIC ANALYSIS. BETTER THAN ANYTHING YOU WOULD SEE IN MAINSTREAM MEDIA

  • Rhodium 10

    No photos of Erbil base have been posted….surely because a important damage have been inflicted.

    • Traiano Welcome

      That is interesting indeed. The erbil base has been pushed into the media blackhole ..

  • Rhodium 10

    Next time I would like to see an analysis of the US&Allies cruise missile attacks vs Barzeh and Him Shinshard because I have doubts seeing photos!..I think that only 12 hit Barzeh complex and 4 hit Him Shinshard…its is to say only 16 of 105 launched hit the target!

  • pk

    Iran has the state of art advanced missiles including short range missiles, IRBMs, ICBMs, cruise missiles, etc. Iran and NK has been doing joint research for some time.

    • The Objective

      I don’t think they have ICBMs yet – unless they are keeping it secret. But it is very likely, they have the technical ability to produce one.
      Iran should develop ICBMs and Nukes fast!

      • pk

        Iran launched several satellites in the past.

    • Assad must stay

      i would not want to be near one when it hits!

  • TTdr

    Mao called West imperialists Paper Tiger. When one can fight back, they tuck their tail and run. Vietnam & Korea wars had proven. Iran & NK have proven again.

    Iran needs to dev ICBM able to reach Washington like NK to survive.

    • Traiano Welcome

      Iran already has this technology. The Americans are correct when they claim that Iran’s space programme is dual-use: The Iranians have already launched sattellites into space using rockets they developed. Those space-capable rockets provide the basis for ICBMs. Since they’ve also mastered the nuclear fuel cycle, the only uncertain component is a portable warhead … And historically miniaturisation has never been a problem once people set their minds to it.

      • TTdr

        True, like NK, when you can sent a 100kg satellite up to high orbit, it can also sent a single war head faraway.

        To convince US not to try their luck, NK had intentionally reveal photo of its nuke warhead & test a 5000 km distance vertical missile. Its first time such top secret nuke warhead was reveal publicly. A aerospace scientist had proven when aim at 45deg, it can cover entire US West coast. That work to scare US off.

  • <>

    Iran just like Hezbollah, have alot of rockets that’s a fact. However, they wouldn’t dare to use them if they knew the consequences, meaning hitting the mullahs themselves like the U.S did with Soleimani. They don’t care about their own people or assets, but they do care for their own asses. Next time it happens, the response should be against Tehran’s Parliament, wiping them all out.

    • Arch Bungle

      Bullshit. It’ OBVIOUS they care for their own people or else they would have annhilated Israel years ago. Preservation of their own asses is not sufficient to explain the cate they’ve taken to preserve their own people.
      If you’re dumb enough to think the Iranian parliament will be in session the day they level Tel Aviv, I’ve got a golden matzo ball to sell you, Shitstein. As for consequences, the line of consequence is one Israel can never cross: at some point, annhilating Israel becomes a viable proposition once the IDF becomes an existential threat. However, how long can the IDF wait while Iran slowly closes the noose? The Iranians have the time, even if the IDF believes it has the clocks …

      • <>

        Don’t worry about us Arch, Iran will be long gone before Israel. And yes, the mullahs don’t give a fuck about regular Iranians, they just kill them if they dare to demonstrate. It will be a beautiful sight to see their Parliament in flames along with all the mullahs once they wake up the American Eagle, history proves it. Keep playing with fire, the U.S and Israel still have patience, for now..

        • Traiano Welcome

          Looking at the latest news though, a tiny virus seems to be bringing Israel to it’s knees. Your enemies are taking notes …

          • <>

            We are doing just fine, don’t worry about us.

      • Really!?

        Israel has nuclear weapons. They are an existential threat to the mullahs. The regime is too scared to fight a war directly, they were sending children to clear minefields in the Iraq war, those are your tough buddies. About as tough as you…

    • Padre

      When they hear this,they will piss in their pants!

      • verner

        the jews sort of underhandedly threatens the world with the use of their nukes but they fail to understand that the world will not accept being held hostage to the jews’ underhanded threat to use their nukes and should the dumb-asses actually resort to the use of their nukes, it would be the end of the jewry. in the world. no way will the ordinary members in the world accept that the jews resort to use their nukes, particularly as it follows a long line of crimes perpetrated by the jews in tel aviv /(and elsewhere as well), war crimes, crimes against humanity and ethnical cleansing operations, operation of concentration camp Gaza, theft of land on scale tantamount to what Adolf Hitler managed during his few years in power, murder of palestinians on a scale not seen since the americans cleaned their natives off the land, similar to the scale of the jews’ theft of palestine’s gas under the seabed

        thus, rest assured, no one needs the jews and thus theý must be committed to the dung heap of the world now! No peace for this world until they are finally off the map.

    • Swift Laggard II

      [However, they wouldn’t dare to use them if they knew the consequences]……this is a very strange assertion given that Iran very publicly used it’s rocket arsenal to attack Ain Al Assad in January.
      You must be living in your own world

  • cechas vodobenikov

    obviously precise enough for the Israelis and amerikans to reveal their insecurity by lying and displaying their fears about Iran—and obviously again doing nothing, except exposing their barbarism and stupidity