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Hayat Tahrir al-Sham Expansion In Idlib De-Escalation Zone Is Part Of Turkey’s Secret Plan: Report

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Hayat Tahrir al-Sham Expansion In Idlib De-Escalation Zone Is Part Of Turkey's Secret Plan: Report

Al-Nusra Front ‘moderate rebels’

On January 7th, the news outlet Enab Baladi published an analysis into Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham’s recent successful campaign in northern Syria. In only three days, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) managed to eliminate the Nour al-Din al-Zenki Movement in western rural Aleppo.

Previously known as the al-Nusra Front, HTS also defeated “Hazzm” (Determination Movement), “Jaish al-Mujahideen” (al-Mujahideen Army), “Fastaqim” (straighten up Union), the “Syrian Revolutionaries Front” and “Division30,” according to the outlet.

According to the analysis, the HTS campaign was carefully planned in advance, proven by the reinforcements it brought into the area. Reportedly, HTS “since day one, intended to fully eliminate “al-Zenki,” unlike the pervious confrontations, which ended with agreements of “concord and compromise.”

Furthermore, this concerted effort was mostly reinforced by actions or rather inactions by the Turkish government, which is presumably the “puppet master” behind the scenario.

“What backed “Tahrir al-Sham’s” strategy in its deepening progress within western rural Aleppo was the Turkish government giving a blind eye to the on-ground operations, though the Turkey-backed factions of the “National Front” entered the confrontations against “Tahrir al-Sham,” including the “al-Sham Legion” which appeared as a key side to the confrontation, while expressing no seriousness in its fight against the “Tahrir al-Sham.””

Enab Baladi cited unnamed military sources who said that al-Sham Legion’s posts and strongholds were not attacked by HTS, because the former has chosen a strategy of neutrality, “a step that resembles what it has done in the previous years and which opposes to the intention the “legion” advanced through media.”

Thus, the analysis poses a question: will there be a confrontation between al-Sham Legion and HTS or will no such event take place, after the objectives have been clarified?

The situation, following the HTS operation shows that the group had put the entire western countryside under its control and that is of significance, due to the importance of the area.

“The major point to contemplate is the strategic importance of the area, for the Sheikh Barakat mountain, currently under the control of the “Tahrir al-Sham” overlooks all the rural parts of Aleppo, western and north-astern, revealing the city of Afrin and the two towns of Nubl and al-Zahraa, which the Syrian regime controls, in addition to the area from which “al-Zenki” retreated, which is the link between the area of the “Olive Branch” operation, Afrin, and Idlib, not to mention the area’s importance to the Syrian regime.”

Thus, HTS appears to have put itself in a strong position in the area to the benefit of the “Sochi” deal terms, “providing for the establishment of a demilitarized zone between the areas held by the Syrian regime and those of the opposition, which cover the western rural parts, in addition to the reopening of the two international highways, Damascus-Aleppo and Aleppo-Latakia.”

According to the report, al-Zenki is the biggest loser following the situation, mostly due to its refusal to provide any concessions in relation to the Astana talks. An unnamed Free Army commander was cited by Enab Baladi:

“The al-Nusra’s attack of the al-Zenki has a single strategic goal; weakening it and terminating the equivalent to half of its force, so it would not be present at the futuristic negotiation table.”

Al-Nusra’s attack has two goals, he believes: The first is the elimination of the “al-Zenki” and weakening “Tahrir al-Sham”, and the second is keeping two major bodies in power in Northern Syria, “Tahrir al-Sham” and the “National Front.”

The National Front is led by the al-Sham legion, which is close to Turkey and its operations in northern Syria are veiled in secrecy, according to the analysis.

“The source explained that the “Legion” is the biggest winner of the confrontations witnessed by the area previously, for they costed it no loss of troops or weaponry while it kept a balanced relationship with the rest of the military factions.”

As a conclusion of the analysis several points can be made:

  • HTS’s ultimate aim is presumably to take control of major highways and put itself in a decision-making position;
  • HTS and the al-Sham Legion are allegedly coordinating their actions with Turkey. HTS is punishing groups that do not follow Turkey’s instructions, while the al-Sham Legion appears to be the “good guy” in the situation and remains neutral. And as part of the plan, if HTS decides to rebel against “the secret puppet master” Turkey, following the confrontations it would be weakened enough to be dealt with;
  • Al-Zenki refused to conform to the de-escalation zone agreement. After its elimination, the al-Sham Legion became the key decision maker with the National Front for Liberation. The Al-Sham Legion reportedly prefers being discreet and according to Enab Baladi’s information is “by officers who have defected from the Syrian regime, the majority of whom are from Homs governorate. The Al-Sham Legion has conducted many alliances in the opposition-held areas, including those with the “Fatah Halab” (Aleppo Conquest Operations Room), “Jayish al-Fatah” (Army of Conquest), “Northern Rural Homs” operation room and “Hawar Kilis” operations room.”
  • Finally, the al-Sham Legion has actually done nothing to assist its presumed ally al-Zenki while it was being destroyed by HTS. The only actually undertaken “action” was a harsher rhetoric which went opposite of what movements were being made.

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jako

If true…..Can’t believe that Turks are that stupid !!
Russia will never permit that these monkeys control Idlib and Assad will never accept to negotiate with them anything except their unconditional surrender.
They were kicked out of many places they will be kicked out of Idlib as well or they will die !

Mustafa Mehmet

, all propaganda nothing else. Against Turkey. not gone work

jorge

Mustafa, I hope that your brothers will not be bombed, don’t go to East Euphrates.

Syria insider

I also have a small theory: Russia and turkey have cut up a plan to return idlib to Damascus.
Step 1: create tensions between HTS and turkey backed groups by killing some HTS terrorists via Nour din AL zinki then they start clashing.
Step 2: Let HTS take over all of the idlib region and let the turkey backed groups flee to Afrin.
Step 3: Bomb the shit out of HTS (this is a job for the Russians and syrians)
Step 4: Liberate all of Idlib and destroy HTS for good.

gustavo

So, you are telling us that TURKEY is a very good country with very good will and wishes to Syria, right ? and all the Syria land conquered by Turkey will be returned to Syria government, right ? Sorry, bu I can not see any indication that this will take place.

Syria insider

No I didn’t say turkey are all nice and good they have enough shit going on like: making a terrorist stronghold out of Afrin, killing civilians via bombardment, supporting a genocide in Afrin and many more things. And also If HTS terrorists take over idlib the Syrian army can attack without any major problems because HTS is excluded from all those agreements.

jorge

Don’t worry about, all the Syrian land will be retaken, as the one that has already been retook.

You can call me Al

I agree with you 100%.

Syria insider

Thanks for that mate.

Syria insider

The Turks probably have realized they have lost their war against Syria.

Turkish Greywolves

Turkey has still military bases inside in idlib, in fact 12+, good luck

Garga

Valla? Yeter artik kafa utuledigin. Biraz ara ver.
Those are “observation posts”, not military bases but nice try.
Are you really a Turk? You sound like a Hasbara. Turkiyeden nerelisin?

Turkish Greywolves

Those are military bases, do your research on the military bases on the front side. :) with alot of military hardware, if it was JUST a observation point it would look like a tower r*tard :D im born near Izmir btw oruspu evladi

Garga

ben annenin oglu degilim.
You work hard to make everybody hate Turkey. Perhaps born west side of Izmir?

Turkish Greywolves

AQ oruspu evladicomment image THIS is a observation point, look up on google : Morek Military base you can see it from there :D

abuqahwa

I am 100% opposed to the Turkish enemy invasion and occupation of northern Syria, BUT I deal with and accept the military reality – so Turkish Greywolves you are correct, Turkey has deployed and re-inforced bases across Idlib including at the nominated OP locations. We have seen plenty of Utube postings of TSK armored columns moving down M5 and M4 to take up positions along the contact lines.

jako

You are trolling Turk pretending not to be (Turk) what you are.
People like you make me puke.

Turkish Greywolves

I understand you can’t differentiate between a observation point and a military base. :)

jako

What self pleasing short sited logic.
What the hell are you so happy about?!?
Turkish army in Syria is defenseless if they turn against Russia and Syria.
One thing is to fight PKK and Kurds and completly another to declare occupation of Syria suddenly as perfidy ruse.
In that case Syrians will bomb you into the oblivion from safe distance while Russia will protect Syrian sky from intrusions as usual

Turkish Greywolves

try and you will get your jets shot again

jako

With what ?
With dickless Patriot borrowed from your US “allays”?
Oh yeah now I know! “Shot” with your big mouth !

You just run your big moth …first you are pissing of Americunts over the Kurds and now you want to piss of Russia over your double faced attitude where you ignore agreements.
Now that is very bad idea.

Turkish Greywolves

comment image bye bye russian jets

jako

Turkey has APOLOGIZED PUBLICLY and PAID THE COMPENSATION !
You are lucky that Russia didn’t nuke your military base as compensation!

Try to fly into the Syria now with your crappy F-16 if you dare..
Hell Americunts are scared to fly over the Euphrates!
You are even scared to fly close to the border let alone to fly on the other side!
Russia can forbid you even to take of from Incirlik (because S-400 can reach you even there) and shoot you down before your shitty *
F-16 take in the air!

Turkish Greywolves

lol all you did was sanction tomatoes, and erdogan didnt apologize, erdogan said kusuru bakma, which literally means excuse me. ahahaha stupid

jako

Turkey went to Moscow and officially, publicly APOLOGIZED and later even PAID compensation!

Now f*ck off you Turkish twat !
You pretend to be some power and Russia would be able to disintegrate you in one day.
Even ISIS were kicking your ass and humiliating you in Syria not to mention the Kurds!
You Turks are pathetic incompetent cowards.

Turkish Greywolves

russia is a joke, we shot your jet weak kids

jako

So you keep repeating yet you are SCARED to fly into the Syria and you are begging Russia for PERMISSION to let your crappy F-16 enter Syrian sky

But you have NO Russian PERMISSION to do that so you are just blabbing your mouth because you are full of shit.

Turkish Greywolves

russia is a joke ez trash

jako

bark you pathetic Turkish dog that is your only weapon

Turkish Greywolves

you are the biggest barking d*g lol

jako

If TEMPORARY “observation posts” become “military bases” they will become nice fat airplane targets (together with their “military hardware” that will explode nicely in the night) if they refuse to go back when the time comes for them to GO BACK to Turkey.
And Russia will shoot down every Turk F-16 that crosses into Syria to defend them.

jako

Those are actually TEMPORARY “observation posts”

abuqahwa

Correct

Zo Fu

What a piece of crap.
Apparently what is going on in IDLIB is genocide of civilians and suppressing any opposition against Turkey.
But
it would be disturbing for the world to see ‘Moderate’ rebels backed by
Turkey (and Saudi and USA) beheading SYRIAN CIVILIANS so Turkey came
with the story about Zenki movement defeated by HTS.

In reality
both are the same jihadists under DIRECT Turkey control, but Zenki as
‘moderate’ can’t kill civilians because it would be linked to Turkey and
cause international outrage. But HTS is formally ‘not controlled’ by
Ankara so they can slaughter anybody with impunity . With secretive
Erdogan’s support, of course.
And what is pissing me the most is Putin’s and Russia role in this genocide ongoing.
Putin must knew the true nature of Turkey’s intentions in Idlib. But Putin
allowed it as he wanted to sell gas to Europe via Turkey.

It is so DISGUSTING. Shame on you, Putin.

jako

F*ck off Kraut !
Sick and tired of you and your permanent NATO-ist badmouthing of Putin and Russia!
Ask your old hag and mad cow Merkel to save the situation by taking all those Jihadist’s to Germany with paid accommodation and social security benefits paid by German tax payers!
That would resolve the problem.
Actually you the most probably not German at all but some Shiite asshole parasite, living in Germany as would be “refugee” and complaining about Russia not wining wars for Iran.

mhtsaropinigitakis

its just rabid dogs with beards that change their organization name every few months and fight each other…cause thats the only thing they know to do.. just wait for the syrian army and russian airforce to send them back to the stone age

gustavo

Secret ? Everybody assumed this but Russia. Economical and commercial interest of Russia in Turkey just do not allow Russia to do something against Turkey will. TOO BAD for Syria people.

jorge

And what allow you to be so convinced that your wishes are truth?

FB

Hold on a minute here…this ‘news outlet’ Enab Baladi is a mouthpiece of the terrorists an their regime-change masters in the west… https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Enab_Baladi#Partnerships,_alliances,_and_coalitions

‘Enab Baladi built relationships with many international organizations such as National Endowment for Democracy, Internews, Free Press Unlimited, European Endowment for Democracy’…the NED…are you kidding me…?

Remember the fake chemical attack staged by the white helmets back in April…that resulted in Trump firing 100 missiles at Syria…?…remember the young boy that the Russians brought to the OPCW in the Netherlands to tell what really happened and expose the hoax…?…well this Enab Baladi terrorist ‘newspaper’ ran a column…

‘How Credible is the Russian Interviews on Douma’s Chemical Attack?’

https://english.enabbaladi.net/archives/2018/04/how-credible-is-the-russian-interviews-on-doumas-chemical-attack/

It’s written by a guy who writes regularly for this ‘newspaper’…but actually works for Reporters Without Borders, a Soros outfit…

So we’re supposed to take this story at face value…?…and why is South Front even presenting this to us without some background on Enab Baladi, the source of this story…?

Garga

Thank you, you beat me to it and frankly said much better than I could.

They’re just a bunch of sour loser. Anybody remotely familiar with Enab Baladi knows they cannot be trusted with anything they say or publish. It is the same Turkey that they used to thank and see as their saviour. I hope the development is as positive as we think, hope that Turkey is finally onboard and the result to be a quick liberation of Edlib as nobody is willing to openly support a universally recognized terror group like HTS.

“Thank you Turkey”, an article by EB from a few years ago

Interesting. Report on White Helmets attending a “workshop” in Turkey.

And so many other articles. It’s interesting to note that while they used to paint Turkey in a positive light in the past, recently they speak of it negatively and it gets worse as time passes.

A search in their own site about Turkey, just change the time parameter from “Latest” to “Older” (if the search page language changed, later is الأحدث and older is الأقدم):

https://english.enabbaladi.net/?s=Turkey

FB

Yup…the fact that they are now bashing Turkey is, I think, a good sign…I’m not going to sit here and praise Turkey’s role in Syria, but now they seem to be moving in the right direction…the Kurds were just as big a problem, but now they too are waking up after getting dumped by Uncle Sugar…

Manuel Flores Escobar

I think Turkey cannot do anything to stop HTS…these terrorist gangs have now the support of some Gulf states once ISIS have been defeated…Saudis as well as Israel and USA need a strong force in order to continue hostigate SAA and Al Assad!…

Willing Conscience (The Truths

BRILLIANT, the second honest and factual article I’ve read on SF in 3 days, that’s a record.
This is what I’ve been saying has been happening in all my posts on SF since about August/September, the only thing I will dispute is this article is this one assertion,
“And as part of the plan, if HTS decides to rebel against “the secret puppet master” Turkey, following the confrontations it would be weakened enough to be dealt with”
That I don’t agree with at all. I’ve always believed that Erdogan will no matter what throw HTS under the bus. All my posts on SF have said this, Erdogan will vacate the south of Idlib and retreat to the north, and allow the SAA and Russia to come in and take over, thereby eliminating the threat of HTS forever, and also allowing Erdogan to free up his troops for an invasion into eastern Syria, which I still think HAS to happen. Of course in my posts I elaborated on why and how and also specified which locations would be vacated. I’m yet to see how right or wrong I am about specific locations, but I’m about to find out very soon.
Cheers to all the people who told me this would never happen and that I was stupid for even suggesting it, I think you’re all going to look like idiots now, lets see what does happen.
All my posts are archived on SF and Disqus, and also all the responses from people calling me an idiot for predicting the very events unfolding now. Cheers again to all you disbelievers.

Zo Fu

What a piece of crap.
Apparently what is going on in IDLIB is genocide of civilians and suppressing any opposition against Turkey.
But it would be disturbing for the world to see ‘Moderate’ rebels backed by Turkey beheading SYRIAN CIVILIANS so Turkey came with the story about Zenki movement defeated by HTS.

In reality both are the same jihadists under DIRECT Turkey control, but Zenki as ‘moderate’ can’t kill civilians because it would be linked to Turkey and cause international outrage. But HTS is formally ‘not controlled’ by Ankara so they can slaughter anybody with impunity . With secretive Erdogan’s support, of course.
And what is pissing me the most is Putin and Russia role in this genocide ongoing.
Putin must knew the true nature of Turkey’s intentions in Idlib. But Putin allowed it as he wants to sell gas to Europe via Turkey.

It is so DISGUSTING. Shame on you, Putin.

Rafik Chauhan

Turkey is muslim brotherhood and also al-Qaida is same .many moderate syrian rebel wbo is actually syrian citizen is getting killed by outside force. Syrian rebel should come to it sense and hand over territory in idlib to SAA before this foreign terrorists take syrian land.

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