Foreign Policy Diary – Dutch EU-Ukraine Association Agreement Referendum

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Europe is continuing to get bogged down in a political swamp. Contradictions between the national interests of the EU member states and the political course of a supranational bureaucracy have turned into a phase of sharp struggle.

Today the EU gets struck by:

  • Huge immigration flow from Arab countries, North Africa, Eastern Europe and the Balkans;
  • The economic and trade crisis, which has caused unemployment and the reduction of incomes;
  • US political pressure and the financial dictate of the US-controlled international financial institutions;
  • Threats to basic civil rights and freedoms.

However, EU citizens are being intentionally misguided and mislead in both identifying and dealing with all of these challenges by their governments.

In the pursuit of upholding the interests of the international banking cartel and the geopolitical machinations of a few in the US elite, the Euro bureaucracy leads the EU to an inevitable collapse.

Calls for reasonable policies and the step-by-step development of the EU espoused by a number of European political forces cause only a hysterical reaction by Brussels and fierce criticism from the European mainstream media.

Critics are marginalized as a minority, meanwhile, real social and economic situations are suppressed.

The next striking example of the conflicts of interests of European peoples and the supranational European bureaucracy is the case of the Dutch referendum on the approval of the Association Agreement between the European Union and Ukraine, which will be held in the Netherlands on 6 April 2016.

Recently a similar Association Agreement was signed with Moldova. The economic and social situation in the country has deteriorated dramatically after the signing of the agreement. After the EU visa-free regime was proclaiming, every third adult citizen of Moldova went to work in EU countries or had already done so prior to the agreement. Almost all of them are employed in unskilled labor.

The current migration situation in the EU is disastrous, both because of the mass influx of refugees from the Middle East and North Africa, and the flow of migrants from Eastern and South-Eastern Europe.

Meanwhile Brussels aggressively promotes an Association Agreement with the Ukraine, where more than 42 million live with an average monthly wage of $ 120, and monthly pension of $ 40. Poland, Germany, the Czech Republic, and Hungary have already faced the problem of an acute influx of Ukrainian migrants.

When a visa-free regime is adopted, a large mass of working age Ukrainian people will rush to Western Europe to find any opportunity of a better living. If we look at the Moldovan precedent, where the standard of living is higher than in the Ukraine, it is possible to predict the flow of Ukrainian immigration at the level of 5-8 million people in the first 3 years after the visa free regime is established.

This fact is well understood by a number of social and political movements of various European countries.

Maybe the European Union bureaucracy is striving to replicate the US immigration experience, and we are observing the conscious behavior aimed at bringing into the EU as many able-bodied immigrants as possible, in effect a kind of social global engineering program.

Dutch civil society has risked an initiative to contest the issue through a public discourse, its passage dependent upon the results of a national referendum. In the event of a valid vote against the Association Agreement, the Netherlands Parliament has to enact a new law to repeal the Agreement or provide for its entry into force.

Opinion polls in the Netherlands show that between 50% and 75% of pollees are against a hasty border opening for one more depressed Eastern economy.

In its turn, the European bureaucracy, which has taken the full political responsibility for the fate of the Ukrainian regime, has no other way but to push the Association Agreement with Ukraine.

The situation becomes more complicated, because the Ukrainian regime has shown a complete failure over the past 2 years.

  • No signs of a crackdown on corruption. The state and law enforcement bodies are still unreformed.
  • Ukrainian authorities demonstrate total ineptitude in foreign policy.
  • The economic crisis has put the country on the brink of default, despite the multimillion-dollar infusions from numerous sources. The EU money was simply stolen through various corruption schemes
  • A “worm’s-eye-view” in resolving issues of fuel and energy acquisition have endangered the security of the European energy supply.

Under these ambiguous circumstances, the European authorities have found only one way out – to launch a broad propaganda campaign in the Netherlands against the referendum with the full complicity and resources of the mainstream media. They refused to listen to the masses of the people, and thus propose a phased plan for EU integration with the Ukraine, taking into account the existing unsolved problems, whether they be in the Ukraine or the EU.

Pro-referendum rights activists are unable to express their views in any of the mainstream or state-backed media. The referendum initiators are under stiff psychological and physical pressure, however; the upcoming parliamentary elections in 2017 in the Netherlands, as well as a tough stance on the part of the referendum activists, are stifling European Union bureaucracy initiatives.

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  • George Knight

    The article says the collapse of the EU is inevitable. But that is nothing more than an opinion. The same can be said about the leadership of the Russian Federation. And even for better reasons.

    The collapse of the Russian Federation is inevitable with bad economic policy, crack down on human rights and media, sided emphasis on the oil and gas industry, diving oil- and gas prices, anarchy in Chechnya, lack of democracy and fair elections, a poor state of law in which political opponents are murdered in the streets under the nose of the leadership, problems with national minorities, problems with the sunni moslims in the South Caucasus, declining reserves, international isolation due to aggressive politics, a hybrid war in Ukraine, illegal occupation of Crimea, war in Syria and the country as a rack for the leadership to eat out at the expense of ordinary Russians.

    So, it is more probable the Russian Federation will collapse sooner than the EU. Which has a sound political political and juridicial system, welfare for most of it citizens and no flight forward into nationalism and war as a diversion for all the flaws and problems.

    • carpin

      Nice try but a very small minority supporting your stupid view about Russia and Putin and the other NATO propaganda crap that you are writing
      In 2005 61,5% from the Dutch rejected the European Constitution and the EU, if we held today a new referendum that number goes up.

      And probable the Netherlands government collapse first, they lost 48 seats in the parliament, next election they are gone.
      After the big no Ukraine referendum we go for the next referendum, and that is the NLexit.
      And I vote NO, that is the best for the Ukraine people and bad for the US puppet government in Kiev

      • JPH

        I do agree that the association agreement is a terrible deal for Ukraine. Being part of the European Neighborhood Policy it amounts to neo-colonialism under another label.

        http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/war-in-ukraine-a-result-of-misunderstandings-between-europe-and-russia-a-1004706.html

        European Commissioner for Enlargement and European Neighborhood Policy Stefan Füle negotiated this deal fully aware it would damage Ukraine quite possibly beyond recovery as demonstrated by the increase in debt from 40 to 100% of a shrinking GDP over the last two years. The IMF enforced liberalization results in massive asset stripping of Ukraine’s resources.

        Still your Rutte would be happy to ignore your wishes and knowing his party will be out of government after the next elections anyway he actually doesn’t risk that much more doing so.

        Rutte is a neo-liberal ideologue who is well aware the the European Neighborhood Policy and the EU Common Security and Defense Policy as referred to in the association agreement are integral part of the TTIP/NATO power grab aiming for a US/EU military economic alliance able to dictate its terms to the rest of the world.
        http://www.clingendael.nl/publication/geopolitics-ttip

        Guess it may help Rutte’s further career too. Just like with Timmermans who was fully aware that staying in the Dutch government would not be an attractive perspective.

        The current EU Vice Chairman Timmermans when
        fishing for this job as then still Dutch Foreign Minister on May 1st 2014 in
        Washington:

        “Let me finish on this. We have taken each other for granted for too long, the Americans and the Europeans. We will be able to set a course for the future of this world if we stick together.

        It is very simple, if we are able to see the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) for what it is: not a free trade agreement. TTIP is a geostrategic agreement. It is a political agreement. It should not be left up to
        people who know everything about the way you slaughter chickens. It should be something our political leaders should take up and decide on soon. When you have TTIP in place, it will change the nature of the game globally. Because then the United States and Europe will set the rules of the game, and the others will follow suit, including China, Japan and others. ”

        Source:

        http://www.rijksoverheid.nl/do

        Clearly Timmermans’ statement landed him the job as EU vice Chairman.

        By now you should be aware of the lengths Rutte & Timmermans were prepared to go in manipulating the MH17 emotion to obtain sanctions against Russia. Timmermans was even present on Maidan.

  • rvm

    A question:
    – Why do you think that the imigration from the Balkans and Eastern Europe lead to “Economic and trade crisis”, “Political and financial pressure” and “Threat to civil rights and freedoms” ?