On December 19, the administration of US President Donald Trump announced that it’s withdrawing troops from Syria. Further media reprots on this issue said that State Department personnel had been set to be evacuated within 24 hours while the timeframe for troops pull-out is between 60 and 100 days.
On December 20, local Syrian sources reported that the State Deparment had already withdrawn all diplomats from the country. While the White House has provided no details on the troops withdrawal process, there are signals that Washington is emergently withdrawing its military personnel and equipment.
On the same time, there are reports that the US has started withdrawing its diplomats and the most combat-effective units from Afghanistan.
This follows a significant increase of US intelligence gathering missions along the Russian borders during the past 10 days. On December 18, British reconnaissance ship HMS Echo entered the Black Sea in order to collect fresh data about water depths and streams for surface and underwater submarine fleets of NATO member states.
On December 18, the US and its allies forced through a UN General Assembly resolution condemning the alleged militarization of Crimea, the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea and supporting Ukrainian actions in the region. The passed resolution is a clear signal to the Poroshenko regime that the Euro-Atlantic elite fully supports its actions.
The passed resolution also marked the start of a new round of pre-war media hysteria in Ukraine. A week ago, President Petro Poroshenko delcared that the Ukrainian military has started redeploying assault units of the Air Assault Forces (AAF) to the areas of a possible “Russian invasion”. These areas include the coast of the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov (near Crimea). The AAF is the branch of the Armed Forces designed for offensive operations. It’s an analogue of the US Marine Corps or the Russian VDV.
On December 20, Secretary of the National Security and Defence Council of Ukraine Oleksandr Turchynov declared that the Navy is planning to send a new naval group to pass the Kerch Strait. The group will allegedly have with officials from the OSCE and other international organizations on board. The secretary of the National Security and Defence Council is one of the key decision-makers in the country alongside with the president and the defense minister. So, it becomes highly likely that the Kiev government is planning to stage a new maritime provocation in the area of the Kerch Strait.
Summing up the abovementioned factors, it seems that the US is urgently withdrawing combat-ready forces from the conflcit zones to free them for some other operations. The only real reason that can explain these actions is that the US expects a big hot military conflict in which it will be involved. In the case of such a conflict, the US will need to have an ability to deploy combat-ready troops to secure its interests or keep them in reserve if the stituation evolves into a global war.