As of August 11 evening, it seems that forces of ‘democracy and good’ mostly led by radical Belarusian nationalists and leftfist Antifa groups are losing their battle against the ‘dictatorship’ of President Alexander Lukashenko. Protests still continue, but their intensity is much lower than it was in the previous days.
The government overcame the most violent wave of protests on August 9 and August 10 and detained about 2,000-3,000 (depending on sources) most active participants in riots. The most active part of the detained persons appeared to be havve some ‘interesting’ ideological vision of the sitaution.
Security forces detained several people that they called a group of provocateurs:
Two members of the “Open Russia” political organization founded by the exiled Russian oligarch Mikhail Khodorkovsky – Artem Varejnikov and Igor Rogov – appeared to be among the detained persons. Khodorkovsky is an infamous Russian oligarch residing in London. In October 2003, he was arrested by Russian authorities and charged with fraud, and fled Russia fter he was released. in 2013.
Since then, Khodorkovsky , in coordination with various Euro-Atlantic structures, have been funding and organizing hardcore pro-Western and neo-liberal organizations in Russia. The particiaption of “Open Russia” members in Belarus demonstrates that the riots there were staged in a close coordination with the same forces that aim to destabilize Russia.
After the failure of forceful scenario of the regime change in Belarus, opposition forces tried to employ the the ‘nonviolent resistance’ strategy against the government by promoting the national-wide strike (without large successes), calling for wide-scale international sanctions and trying to undermine the economic and social situation in the country amid the developing global crisis.
Lukashenko appeared to be a much more tough guy than former Ukrainain President Viktor Yanukovych and used the force to supress attempts to stage the coup via street riots.
Drivers try to ram Police officers in Minsk on August 10:
Legionaries of the last Emperror of Eastern Europe:
Meanwhile, the supposed leadre of the Belarusian opposition, Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya fled to Lithuania. Before fleeing the country, she recorded a video calling on people to not participate in riots. Opposition supporters claim that this statement was made under pressure. Regardless the real situation in which the real statement was made, Tsikhanouskaya was just a formal figure and has never had a real influence on nationalist, leftfist and pro-Western groups that stand behind the riots.
Apparently, the only sphere in which the opposition really has an upper hand is social media platforms. Pro-opposition Telegram channels and groups successfully paint the picture of the ‘collapse of the regime’ and pretend to gain an upper hand over security forces. Unfortunately, for the opposition, these claims are far from the reality. A large part of these media resources are funded or coordinated from foreign states, mainly Poland and the Baltic states. In particular, the chief editor of the Nexta Telegram channel (1,000,000 subscribers), Roman Protasevich, asked a political asylum in Poland in January 2020 and currently lives there.
As of August 11 evening, the situation in Belarus seems to be mostly under the control of the government. Nonetheless, the recent developments have become a visual evidence that it has all chances to explode once again at almost any moment.
MORE ON THE TOPIC:
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- Ukraine-Like Scenario In Belarus: First Confirmed Death During Protests In Minsk
- Lights, Camera, Action: Staging Of Protests in Belarus (Videos)