A Multi-Level Analysis Of The US Cruise Missile Attack On Syria And Its Consequences

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Written by TheSaker; Originally appeared at his blog

The latest US cruise missile attack on the Syrian airbase is an extremely important event in so many ways that it is important to examine it in some detail.  I will try to do this today with the hope to be able to shed some light on a rather bizarre attack which will nevertheless have profound consequences.  But first, let’s begin by looking at what actually happened.

The pretext:

I don’t think that anybody seriously believes that Assad or anybody else in the Syrian government really ordered a chemical weapons attack on anybody.  To believe that it would require you to find the following sequence logical: first, Assad pretty much wins the war against Daesh which is in full retreat.  Then, the US declares that overthrowing Assad is not a priority anymore (up to here this is all factual and true).  Then, Assad decides to use weapons he does not have.  He decides to bomb a location with no military value, but with lots of kids and cameras.  Then, when the Russians demand a full investigation, the Americans strike as fast as they can before this idea gets any support.  And now the Americans are probing a possible Russian role in this so-called attack.  Frankly, if you believe any of that, you should immediately stop reading and go back to watching TV.  For the rest of us, there are three options:

  1. a classical US-executed false flag
  2. a Syrian strike on a location which happened to be storing some kind of gas, possibly chlorine, but most definitely not sarin.  This option requires you to believe in coincidences.  I don’t.  Unless,
  3. the US fed bad intelligence to the Syrians and got them to bomb a location where the US knew that toxic gas was stored.

What is evident is that the Syrians did not drop chemical weapons from their aircraft and that no chemical gas was ever stored at the al-Shayrat airbase.  There is no footage showing any munitions or containers which would have delivered the toxic gas.  As for US and other radar recordings, all they can show is that an aircraft was in the sky, its heading, altitude and speed.  There is no way to distinguish a chemical munition or a chemical attack by means of radar.

Whatever option you chose, the Syrian government is obviously and self-evidently innocent of the accusation of having used chemical weapons. This is most likely a false flag attack.

Also, and just for the record, the US had been considering exactly such a false flag attack in the past.  You can read everything about this plan here and here.

The attack:

American and Russian sources both agree on the following facts: 2 USN ships launched 59 Tomahawk cruise missiles at the Al Shayrat airfield in Syria.  The US did not consult with the Russians on a political level, but through military channels the US gave Russia 2 hours advance warning.  At this point the accounts begin to differ.

The Americans say that all missiles hit their targets.  The Russians say that only 23 cruise missiles hit the airfield.  The others are “unaccounted for”.  Here I think that it is indisputable that the Americans are lying and the Russians are saying the truth: the main runway is intact (the Russian reporters provided footage proving this) and only one taxiway was hit.  Furthermore, the Syrian Air Force resumed its operations within 24 hours.  36 cruise missiles have not reached their intended target.  That is a fact.

It is also indisputable that there were no chemical munitions at this base as nobody, neither the Syrians nor the Russian reporters, had to wear any protective gear.

The missiles used in the attack, the Tomahawk, can use any combination of three guidance systems: GPS, inertial navigation and terrain mapping.  There is no evidence and even no reports that the Russians shot even a single air-defense missile.  In fact, the Russians had signed a memorandum with the USA which specifically comitting Russia NOT to interfere with any US overflights, manned or not, over Syria (and vice versa).  While the Tomahawk cruise missile was developed in the 1980s, there is no reason to believe that the missiles used had exceeded their shelf live and there is even evidence that they were built in 2014.  The Tomahawk is known to be accurate and reliable.  There is absolutely no basis to suspect that over half of the missiles fired simply spontaneously malfunctioned.  I therefore see only two possible explanations for what happened to the 36 missing cruise missiles:

Explanation A: Trump never intended to really hit the Syrians hard and this entire attack was just “for show” and the USN deliberately destroyed these missiles over the Mediterranean.  That would make it possible for Trump to appear tough while not inflicting the kind of damage which would truly wreck his plans to collaborate with Russia.  I do not believe in this explanation and I will explain  why in the political analysis below.

Explanation B: The Russians could not legally shoot down the US missiles.  Furthermore, it is incorrect to assume that these cruise missiles flew a direct course from the Mediterranean to their target (thereby almost overflying the Russian radar positions).  Tomahawk were specifically built to be able to fly tangential courses around some radar types and they also have a very low RCS (radar visibility), especially in the frontal sector.  Some of these missiles were probably flying low enough not to be seen by Russian radars, unless the Russians had an AWACS in the air (I don’t know if they did).  However, since the Russians were warned about the attack they had plenty of time to prepare their electronic warfare stations to “fry” and otherwise disable at least part of the cruise missiles.  I do believe that this is the correct explanation.  I do not know whether the Russian were technically unable to destroy and confuse the 23 missiles which reached the base or whether a political decision was taken to let less than half of the cruise missiles through in order to disguise the Russian role in the destruction of 36 missiles.  What I am sure of is that 36 advanced cruise missile do not “just disappear”.  There are two reasons why the Russians would have decided to use their EW systems and not their missiles: first, it provides them “plausible deninability” (at least for the general public, there is no doubt that  US signal intelligence units did detect the Russian electronic interference (unless it happened at very low power and very high frequency and far away inland), and because by using EW systems it allowed them to keep their  air defense missiles for the protection of their own forces.  Can the Russian really do this?

A Multi-Level Analysis Of The US Cruise Missile Attack On Syria And Its Consequences

Take a look at this image, taken from a Russian website, which appears to have been made by the company Kret which produces some of the key Russian electronic warfare systems.  Do you notice that on the left hand side, right under the AWACs aircraft you can clearly see a Tomahawk type missile turning around and eventually exploding at sea?

How this is done is open to conjecture. All that we are told is that the missile is given a “false target” but for our purposes this really does not matter.  What matters is that the Russians have basically leaked the information that they are capable of turning cruise missiles around.  There are other possibilities such as an directed energy beams which basically fries or, at least, confuses the terrain following and or inertial navigation systems.  Some have suggested a “kill switch” which would shut down the entire missile.  Maybe.  Again, this really doesn’t matter for our purposes.  What matters is that the Russian have the means to spoof, redirect or destroy US cruise missiles.  It sure appears to be that for the first time these systems were used in anger.

[Sidebar: for those interested in seeing what such a system looks like here is a short video made by the Russians themselves showing how such a system is deployed and operated:

In terms of technical details, or we are told that this system can jam any airborne object at a distance of 200km]

I would note that those who say that the Russian air defense systems did not work don’t know what they are talking about.  Not only did Russia sign an agreement with the US not to interfere with US flight operations, the Russian air defenses in Syria are NOT tasked with the protection of the Syrian Air Space.  That is a task for the Syrian air defenses.  The Russians air defenses in Syria are only here to protect Russian personnel and equipment.  This is why the Russians never targeted Israeli warplanes.  And this is hardly surprising as the Russian task force in Syria never had the mission to shut down the Syrian air space or, even less so, to start a war with the USA or Israel.

However, this might be changing.  Now the Russians have withdrawn from their agreement with the USA and, even more importantly, have have declared that the Syrians urgently need more advanced air defense capabilities.  Currently the Syrians operate very few advanced Russian air defense systems, most of their gear is old.

Legal aspects of the attack:

The US attack happened in direct violation of US law, of international law and of the UN charter.  First, I would say that there is strong legal evidence that the US attack violated the US Constitution,  Presidential War Powers Act and the 2001 Authorization of Military Force (AUMF) resolution.  But since I don’t really care about this aspect of Trump’s criminal behavior, I will just refer you to two pretty good analyses of this issue (see here and here) and just simply summarize the argument of those who say that what Trump did was legal.  It boils down to this: “yeah, it’s illegal, but all US Presidents have been doing it for so long that they have thereby created a legal precedent which, uh, makes it legal after all“.  I don’t think this kind of “defense” is worthy of a reply or rebuttal.  So now let’s turn to international law.

Most people think that crimes against humanity or genocide must be the ultimate crime under international law.  They are wrong.  The ultimate crime is aggression.  This is the conclusion of the Nuremberg Trial on this topic:

To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole.

So, following the long and prestigious list of other US Presidents before him, Donald Trump is now a war criminal.  In fact, he is a “supreme war criminal”.  It only took him 77 days to achieve this status, probably some kind of a record.

As for the UN Charter, at least for articles (1, 2, 33, 39) ban the kind of aggression the USA took against Syria.

I think that there is no need to dwell on the total illegality of this attack.  I would just underscore the supreme irony of a country basically built by and run by lawyers (just see how many of them there are in Congress) whose general population seems to be totally indifferent to the fact that their elected representatives act in a completely illegal manner.  All that most American people care about is whether the illegal action brings victory or not.  But if it does, absolutely nobody cares.  You disagree?  Tell me, how many peace demonstrations were there in the USA about the totally illegal US aggression on Yugoslavia?  Exactly.  QED.

Political consequences (internal)

My son perfectly summed up what Trump’s actions have resulted in: “those who hated him still hate him while those who supported him now also hate him“.  Wow!  How did Trump and his advisors fail to predict that?  Instead of fulfilling his numerous campaign promises (and his own Twitter statements) Trump decided to suddenly make a 180 and totally betray everything he stood for.  I can’t think of a dumber action, I really can’t.  I have to say that Trump now appears to make Dubya look smart.  But there is much, much worse.

The worst aspect of this clusterf**k is how utterly immoral this makes Trump appear.  Think of it – first Trump abjectly betrayed Flynn.  Then he betrayed Bannon.

[Sidebar: I mostly liked Flynn.  I had no use for Bannon at all.  But the fact is that they were not my best friends, they were Trump’s best friends.  And instead of standing up for them, he sacrificed them to the always bloodthirsty Neocons in the hope of appeasing them.  This is what I wrote about this stupid and deeply immoral betrayal the day it happened:

Remember how Obama showed his true face when he hypocritically denounced his friend and pastor Rev. Jeremiah Wright Jr.?  Today, Trump has shown us his true face.  Instead of refusing Flynn’s resignation and instead of firing those who dared cook up these ridiculous accusations against Flynn, Trump accepted the resignation.  This is not only an act of abject cowardice, it is also an amazingly stupid and self-defeating betrayal because now Trump will be alone, completely alone, facing the likes of Mattis and Pence – hard Cold Warrior types, ideological to the core, folks who want war and simply don’t care about reality.

The worst aspect of that is that by betraying people left and right Trump has now shown that you cannot trust him, that he will backstab you with no hesitation whatsoever.  Would you ever take a risk for a guy like that?  Contrast that with Putin who is “notorious” for standing by his friends and allies even when they do something really wrong!  There is a reason why the AngloZionists could not break Putin and why it only took them one month to neuter Trump: Putin is made of titanium, Trump is just an overcooked noodle]

And now Trump has betrayed HIMSELF by turning against everything he, himself, stood for.  This is almost Shakespearean in its pathetic and tragic aspects!

During his campaign Trump made a lot of excellent promises and he did inspire millions of Americans to support him.  I personally believe that he was sincere in his intentions, and I don’t buy the “it was all an act” theory at all.  Just look at the total panic of the Neocons at the prospects of a Trump victory and tell me this was all fake.  No, I think that Trump was sincere.  But when confronted with the ruthless opposition of the Neocons and the US deep state, Trump snapped and instantly broke because he is clearly completely spineless and has the ethics and morals of a trailer park prostitute.

So what we really have is a sad and pathetic version of Obama. A kind of Obama 2.0 if you want.  The man inspired millions, he promised change you can believe in, and he delivered absolutely nothing except for an abject subservience to the real masters and owners of the United States: the Neocons and the deep state.

Trump did get what he apparently wanted, though: the very same corporate media which he claimed to despise is now praising him.  And nobody is calling him a “Putin agent” any more.  None of which will prevent the Neocons from impeaching him, by the way.  He chose a quickfix solution which will stop acting in just days.  How totally stupid of him.  He apparently also chose the option of an “attack for show” to begin with, which turned into one of the most pathetic attacks in history, probably courtesy of Russian EW, and now that the USA has wasted something in the range of 100 million dollars, what does Trump have to show?  A few flattering articles from the media which he has always hated and which will return to hate him as soon as ordered to do so by its Neocon masters.  Pathetic if you ask me.

Ever since he got into the White House, Trump has been acting like your prototypical appeaser (it makes me wonder if his father was an alcoholic).  How a guy like him ever made in business is a mystery to me, but what is now clear is that the Neocons totally submitted him and that they will now turn him into political roadkill.

I am afraid that the next four years (or less!) will turn into a neverending Purim celebration…

Political consequences (external)

Trump has single handedly destroyed any hopes of a US collaboration with Russia of any kind.  Worse, he has also destroyed any hopes of being able to defeat Daesh.  Why?  Because if you really believe that Daesh can be defeated without Russian and Iranian support I want to sell you bridges all over the world.  It ain’t happening.  What is much, much worse is that now we are again on a pre-war situation, just as we were with Obama and would have been with Clinton.  Let me explain.

The following are the measures with Russia has taken following the US attack on Syria:

  1. Denunciation at UN (to be expected, no big deal)
  2. Decision to strengthen the Syrian air defenses (big deal, that will give the Syrians the means to lock their airspace)
  3. Decision to cancel the Memorandum with the USA (now the Russians in Syria will have the right to decide whether to shoot or not)
  4. Decision to shut down the phone hot line with the US military (now the US won’t be able to call the Russians to ask them to do or not do something)

The combination of decisions 2, 3 and  4 does not mean that the Russians will shoot the next time, not by itself.  The Russians will still be restricted by their own rules of engagement and by political decisions.  But this will dramatically affect the US decision-making since from now on there will be no guarantee that the Russians will not shoot either.  The Russians basically own the Syrian airspace already.  What they want to do next is to give a similar capability to the Syrians.  Not only will that allow the Syrians to defend themselves against any future US or Israeli attacks, it will provide the Russians plausible deniabilty the day they decide to shoot down a US aircraft or drone.  Finally, the Russians are rushing back some of their most advanced ships towards the Syrian coast.  So after giving Trump the benefit of the doubt, the Russians are now returning to a Obama-times like posture in Syria.  Bravo Trump, well done!

Yes, I know, Tillerson is expected to meet Lavrov this week.  This was discussed ad nauseam on Russian TV and the consensus is that the only reason why the Russians did not cancel this meeting is because they don’t want, on general principle, to be the ones to refuse to speak to the other side.  Fine.  Considering that we are talking about a potential international thermonuclear war, I can see the point.  Still, I would have preferred to say Lavrov telling Tillerson to go and get lost.  Why?  Because I have come to the conclusion that any and all types of dialog with the United States are simply a meaningless and useless waste of time.  For one thing, there is no US policy on anything.  Over the past week or so we saw both Nikki Haley and Rex Tillerson completely contradict themselves over and over again: “no we don’t want to overthrow Assad.  Yes we do want to overthrow Assad.  Yes we do. No we don’t“.  This is almost painful and embarrassing to watch.  This just goes to show that just like the Obama Administration, the Trump people are “недоговороспособны” or “not agreement capable”.  I explain this term in this analysis (written about Obama!  Not Trump):

The Russians expressed their total disgust and outrage at this attack and openly began saying that the Americans were “недоговороспособны”.  What that word means is literally “not-agreement-capable” or unable to make and then abide by an agreement.  While polite, this expression is also extremely strong as it implies not so much a deliberate deception as the lack of the very ability to make a deal and abide by it.  For example, the Russians have often said that the Kiev regime is “not-agreement-capable”, and that makes sense considering that the Nazi occupied Ukraine is essentially a failed state.  But to say that a nuclear world superpower is “not-agreement-capable” is a terrible and extreme diagnostic.  It basically means that the Americans have gone crazy and lost the very ability to make any kind of deal.  Again, a government which breaks its promises or tries to deceive but who, at least in theory, remains capable of sticking to an agreement would not be described as “not-agreement-capable”.  That expression is only used to describe an entity which does not even have the skillset needed to negotiate and stick to an agreement in its political toolkit.  This is an absolutely devastating diagnostic.

This is bad.  Really bad.  This means that the Russians have basically given up on the notion of having an adult, sober and mentally sane partner to have a dialog with.  What this also means is that while remaining very polite and externally poker faced, the Russians have now concluded that they need to simply assume that they need to act either alone or with other partners and basically give up on the United States.

That applies only to the official Kremlin.  Independent Russian analysts are not shy about expressing their total contempt and disgust for Trump.  Some of them are suggesting that Trump decided to show how “tough” he is in preparation for the Tillerson trip to Moscow.  If that is the case, then he is badly miscalculating.  For one thing, a lot of them as saying that what Trump has engaged in is “показуха” – a totally fake shows of force which really shows nothing.  What is certain is that demonstrations of force are very much frowned upon on the Russian culture which strongly believes that a really tough guy does not have to look the part.

[Sidebar: if John Wayne is the prototypical American hero, Danilo Bagrov, from the movies “Brother” and its sequel “Brother 2” is the prototypical Russian hero: rather shy, softly spoken, of modest means, a times charmingly clumsy and naive, but in reality “the toughest of us all” (as he is called by another character in the sequel (if you have not seen these two movies, I highly recommend them though I don’t know if they exist with English subtitles (dubbing them would be a crime)).

A Multi-Level Analysis Of The US Cruise Missile Attack On Syria And Its Consequences

American hero and Russian hero

What is sure is that the John Wayne types would never survive in the Russian street, they would be immediately perceived as fake, weak and showing off to try to conceal their lack of strength and they would be crushed and humiliated.  Nowadays when Americans adopt what I call the “Delta Force/Blackwater style” (pointy beard, long hair, dark sunglasses, and a ton of muscles etc.) they look comical by Russian standards,  Russian special forces (and I have met a lot of them) *never* look the part if only because they try hard not to look it].

Personally I don’t think that impressing the Russians was Trump’s plan.  Nor do I believe, like some, that launching that attack during the visit of Chinese Premier Xi was a deliberate affront or some kind of “message”.  In fact, I don’t think that there was much of a plan at all beyond showing that Trump is “tough” and no friend of Putin.  That’s it.  I think that the so-called “elites” in charge running the USA are infinitely arrogant, stupid, uneducated, incompetent and irresponsible.  I don’t buy the “managed chaos” theory nor do I buy the notion that if before the Anglo-Zionists imposed their order on others now they impose their dis-order.  Yes, that is the consequence of their actions, but it’s not part of some diabolical plan, it is a sign of terminal degeneracy of an Empire which is clueless, frightened, angry and arrogant.

I have already explained in my previous analysis why Trump’s plan to defeat ISIS is a non-starter and I won’t bother repeating it all here.  What I will say is that Erdogan’s endorsement of Trump’s attack is equally stupid and self-defeating.  I really wonder what Erdogan is hoping to achieve.  Not only did the Americans almost kill him in a coup attempt, they are now working on creating a semi-independent Kurdistan right on the border with Turkey.  Yes, I know, Erdogan wants to get rid of Assad, fair enough, but does he really believe that Trump will be able to remove Assad from power?  And what if Assad is removed, will Turkey really be better off once the Emirate of Takfiristan is declared in Syria? I very much hope that after the referendum Erdogan will recover some sense of reality.

What about the Israelis, do they really believe that dealing with Assad is worse than dealing with this Caliphate of Takfiristan?!  But then, we can expect anything from folks with such a long history of making really bad decisions.

Still, it really looks like the all have gone completely insane!

Then there is the embarrassing standing ovation coming out of Europe and the Ukraine.  I really am embarrassed for them.  They are rejoicing at the attempted removal of one of the last mentally sane and secular regimes in the Middle-East.  Don’t these European “leaders” realize that if Syria is replaced by a Caliphate of Takfiristan all hell will really brake loose for Europe?  I am amazed at how blind these people are…

A Multi-Level Analysis Of The US Cruise Missile Attack On Syria And Its Consequences

The US’ “subtle hint” to the DPRK and China

Now let’s look at what happened from the point of view of China and the DPRK.  First, as I mentioned, I don’t think that Xi felt that the attack during his visit to the USA was a slap or an affront.  From another civilized country, maybe.  But  not from the USA.  The Chinese are absolutely under no illusion of the total lack of sophistication and even basic manners of US Presidents.  That is not to say that they were not outraged and very concerned.  It goes without saying that they also noticed the “coincidence” that The USN has canceled planned port calls in Australia for the USS Carl Vinson and is instead sending the aircraft carrier and attached group towards the Korean Peninsula.  They also noticed that this move has been given maximal visibility in the US propaganda machine.  One “show of force” in Syria is now followed by another “show of force” in East Asia.

Typical, isn’t it?

If anything, this move will only strengthen the informal but very strong and deep partnership between China and Russia.  Just like the Russians, the Chinese will keep on smiling and make very nice statements about international peace and security, negotiations, etc.  But everybody who matters in China will understand that the real message of out Washington DC is simple: “now it’s Assad – but you could be next”.

Which leaves the DPRK.  I am no mind-reader and no psychologist, but I ask myself the following question: what is worse – if the Americans fail to really scare Kim Jong-un or if they successfully do?  I don’t have the answer, but considering the past behavior of the DPRK leaders I would strongly suggest that both scaring them and failing to scare them are very dangerous options.  The notion of “scare” should not be included in any policies dealing with the DPRK.  But instead of that, the dummies in DC are now leaking a story (whether true or not) that the US intelligence agencies have finalized plans to, I kid you not, “eliminate Kim Jong-un“.  And just to make sure that the message gets through, the latest US harpy at the UNSC threatens the DPRK with war.

Have they all really gone totally insane in Washington DC?

Do I really need to explain here why war with the DPRK is a terrible idea, even if it had no nuclear weapons?

Conclusion: what happens next?

Simply reply: I don’t know.  But let me explain why I don’t know.  In all my years of training and work as a military analyst I have always had to assume that everybody involved was what we called a “rational actor”.  The Soviets sure where.  As where the Americans.  Then, starting with Obama more and more often I had to question that assumption as the US engaged in what appeared to be crazy and self-defeating actions.  You tell me – how does deterrence work on a person with no self-preservation instinct (whether as a result of infinite imperial hubris garden variety petty arrogance, crass ignorance or plain stupidity)?  I don’t know.  To answer that question a what is needed is not a military analyst, but some kind of shrink specializing in delusional and suicidal types.

Some readers might think that this is hyperbole.  I assure you that this is not.  I am dead serious.  Not only do I find the Trump administration “not agreement capable”, I find it completely detached from reality.  Delusional in other words.  You think Kim Jong-un with nukes is bad?  What about Obama or Trump with nukes?  Ain’t they much, much scarier?

So what can the world do?

First, the easy answer: the Europeans.  They can do nothing.  They are irrelevant.  They don’t even exist.  At least not in the political sense.

Some countries, however, are showing an absolutely amazing level of courage.   Look at what the Bolivian representative at the UNSC dared to do:

A Multi-Level Analysis Of The US Cruise Missile Attack On Syria And Its Consequences

Bolivia: a profile in courage

And what a shame for Europe: a small and poor country like Bolivia showed more dignity that the entire European continent.  No wonder the Russians have no respect for the EU whatsoever.

What Bolivia did is both beautiful and noble.  But the two countries which really need to step up to the plate are Russia and China.  So far, it has been Russia who did all the hard work and, paradoxically, it has been Russia which has been the object of the dumbest and most ungrateful lack of gratitude (especially from armchair warriors).  This needs to change.  China has many more means to pressure the USA back into some semi-sane mental state than Russia.  All Russia has are superb military capabilities.  China, in contrast, has the ability to hurt the USA where it really matters: money.  Russia is in a pickle: she cannot abandon Syria to the Takfiri crazies, but neither can she go to nuclear war with the USA over Syria.  The problem is not Assad.  The problem is that he is the only person capable, at least at this point in time, to protect Syria against Daesh.  If Assad is removed, Syria falls and Iran is next.  Russia absolutely cannot afford to have Iran destroyed by the Anglo-Zionists because after Iran, she will next.  Everybody in Russia understands that.  But, as I said, the problem with military responses is that they can lead to military escalations which then lead to wars which might turn nuclear very fast.  So here is my central thesis:

You don’t want Russia to stop the USA by purely military means as this places the survival of of mankind at risk.

I realize that for some this might be counter-intuitive, but remember that deterrences only works with rational actors.  Russia has already done a lot, more than everybody else besides Iran.  And if Russia is not the world’s policeman, neither is she the world savior.  The rest of mankind also needs to stop being a silent bystander and actually do something!

Russia and China can stop the US, but they need to do that together. And for that, Xi needs to stop acting like a detached smiling little Buddha statue and speak up loud and clear.  That is especially true since the Americans show even less fear of China than of Russia.

[Sidebar: the Chinese military is still far behind the kind of capabilities Russia has, but the Chinese are catching up really, really fast.  Just 30 years ago the Chinese military used to be outdated and primitive.  This is not the case today.  The Chinese have done some tremendous progress in a record time and their military is now a totally different beast than what it used to be.  I have no doubt at all that the US cannot win a war with China either, especially not anywhere near the Chinese mainland.  Furthermore, I expect the Chinese to go full steam ahead with a very energetic military modernization program which will allow them to close the gap with the USA and Russia in record time.  So any notions of the USA using force against China, be it over Taiwan or the DPRK, is an absolutely terrible idea, sheer madness.  However, and maybe because the Americans believe their own propaganda, it seems to me like the folks in DC think that we are in the 1950s or 1960 and that they can terrify the “Chinese communist peasants” with their carrier battle groups.  What the fail to realize is that with every nautical mile the US carriers make towards China, the bigger and easier target they make for a military which has specialized in US carrier destruction operatons.  The Americans ought to ask themselves a simple question: what will they do if the Chinese either sink or severely damage one (or several) US Navy carriers?  Go to nuclear war with a nuclear China well capable of turning many US cities into nuclear wastelands?  Really? You would trade New York or San Francisco for the Carl Vinson Strike Group?  Think again.]

So far China has been supporting Russia, but only from behind Russia.  This is very nice and very prudent, but Russia is rapidly running out of resources.  If there was a sane man in the White House, one who would never ever do something which might result in war with Russia, that would not be a problem.  Alas, just like Obama before him, Trump seems to think that he can win a game of nuclear chicken against Russia.  But he can’t.  Let me be clear he: if pushed into a corner the Russian will fight, even if that means nuclear war.  I have said this over and over again, there are two differences between the Americans and the Russians

  1. The Russians are afraid of war.  The Americans are not.
  2. The Russians are ready for war.  The Americans are not.

The problem is that every sign of Russian caution and every Russian attempt to de-escalate the situation (be it in the Ukraine, with Turkey or in Syria) has always been interpreted by the West as a sign of weakness.  This is what happens when there is a clash between a culture which places a premium on boasting and threatening and one which believes in diplomacy and negotiations.

[Sidebar.  The profound cultural differences between the USA and Russia are perfectly illustrated with the polar difference the two countries have towards their most advanced weapons systems.  As soon as the Americans declassify one of their weapon systems they engage into a huge marketing campaign to describe it as the “bestest of the bestest” “in the world” (always, “in the world” as if somebody bothered to research this or even compare).  They explain at length how awesome their technology is and how invincible it makes them.  The perfect illustration is all the (now, in retrospect, rather ridiculous) propaganda about stealth and stealth aircraft.  The Russians do the exact opposite.  First, they try to classify it all.  But then, when eventually they declassify a weapons system, they strenuously under-report its real capabilities even when it is quite clear that the entire planet already knows the truth!  There have been any instances when Soviet disarmament negotiators knew less about the real Soviet capabilities than their American counterparts!  Finally, when the Russian export their weapons systems, they always strongly degrade the export model, at least that was the model until the Russians sold the SU-30MKI to India which included thrust vectoring while the Russian SU-30 only acquired later with the SU-30SM model, so this might be changing.  Ask yourself: did you ever hear about the Russian Kalibr cruise missile before their first use in Syria?  Or did you know that Russia has had nuclear underwater missiles since the late 1970s capable of “flying under water” as speeds exceeding 230 miles per hour?]

Russia is in a very difficult situation and a very bad one.  And she is very much alone.  European are cowards.  Latin Americans have more courage, but no means to put pressure on the USA.  India hopes to play both sides.  Japan and the ROK are US colonies.  Australia and New Zealand belong to the ECHELON/FIVE EYES gang.  Russia has plenty of friends in Africa, but they more or less all live under the American/French boot. Iran has already sacrificed more than any other country and taken the biggest risks.  It would be totally unfair to ask the Iranians to do more.  The only actor out there who can do something in China.  If there is any hopes to avoid four more years of “Obama-style nightmare” it is for China to step in and tell the US to cool it.

In the meantime Russia will walk a very fine like between various bad options.  Her best hope, and the best hope of the rest of mankind, is that the US elites become so involved into fighting each other that this will leave very little time to do any foreign policy.  Alas, it appears that Trump has “figured out” that one way to be smart (or so he thinks) in internal politics is to do something dumb in external politics (like attack Syria).  That won’t work.

Maybe an impeachment of Trump could prove to be a blessing in disguise.  If Mike Pence becomes President, he and his Neocons will have total power again and they won’t have to prove that they are tough by doing stupid and dangerous things?  Could President Pence be better than President Trump?  I am afraid that it might.  Especially if that triggers a deep internal crisis inside the USA.

A Multi-Level Analysis Of The US Cruise Missile Attack On Syria And Its Consequences

Is she the last hope for the USA?

The next four years will be terrible, I am sorry to say.  Our next hope – however thin – for somebody sane in the White House might be for 2020.  Maybe Tulsi Gabbard will run on a campaign promise of peace and truly draining the swamp?  Maybe “America first” will mean something if Gabbard says it?  Right now she seems to be pretty much the only one refusing the accept the “Assad did it” nonsense.  So maybe she can provide the mix of peace and progressive social policies so many Americans really want?  Maybe she could become the first woman President for all the right, rather then wrong, reasons. I don’t know.  2020 is still very, very far away, let’s just hope we all make it to that date before some imbecile in DC decides that war with Russia is a good idea.

What is certain is that the Democrat vs. Republican and Conservative vs Liberal dichotomy only serves to perpetuate a system which manages to betray the values of BOTH the Left and the Right.  This is paradoxical because it is pretty darn clear that most Americans want their country to be at peace, to stop being constantly at war, and with civilized social and labor standards.  Sure, the hardcore libertarians still believe that laisser-faire is a great solution, even if that hands all the power to corporations and even if that leaves the individual citizen defenseless against the oligarchy.  But bet you that even hardcore libertarians would prefer “statism” (as they would say) with peace than “statism” with war.  Likewise, many hardcore progressives want to severely limit the freedoms of many Americans (small business entrepreneurs, gun owners), but even they would prefer peace without rules and regulations than war without rules and regulations.  So I think that the possibly unifying platform could be expressed in the notion of “peace and civil rights”.  That is something which the vast majority of Americans can agree upon.  Even the Black Lives Matter folks should agree to that kind of “peace and civil rights platform”.  That, I think, ought to be the priority of the Federal government – dismantle the war machine and dismantle the state repression machine: a full pull-out of US forces deployed worldwide combined with a full restoration of civil and human rights as they were before the 9/11 false flag.  And let the States deal with all the other issues.

Alas, I am afraid that the plutocracy in power will never allow that.  The way the crushed Trump in one month tells me that they will do that to anybody who is not one of their own.  So while hope is always a good thing, and while I like dreaming of a better future, I am not holding my breath.  I find a sudden and brutal collapse of the Anglo-Zionist Empire followed by a break-up of the USA (as described here) far more likely.

We better prepare ourselves for some very tough times ahead.

Our only consolation is that all the dramatic events taking place right now in the USA are signs of weakness.  The US elites are turning on each other and while the Neocons have broken Trump, this will not stop the fratricidal war inside the US plutocracy.   Look at the big picture, at how the empire is cracking at every seam and remember that all this is taking place because we are winning.

Imperialism will die, discredited and hated by all those who will have to live through the upcoming collapse of the US-based AngloZionist Empire.  Hopefully this time it will be the last empire in history and mankind will have learned its lesson (it would be about time!).

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  • Shhh

    This is best technical and political article for Syria attack on the internet.

  • Barba_Papa

    >>What about the Israelis, do they really believe that dealing with Assad is worse than dealing with this Caliphate of Takfiristan?!<>Don’t these European “leaders” realize that if Syria is replaced by a Caliphate of Takfiristan all hell will really brake loose for Europe?<<

    You'd think that after the chaos that was let lose after the fall of Taliban Afghanistan, Saddam's Iraq and Khadaffi's Libya. Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again hoping for a different outcome. I can only conclude that its because Western politics seems to be driven by emotions rather then logic these days. Oh no! Assad's a bad man! We must do something! Yay, we removed him! We're good guys! Now democracy will come and….. WTF? Why are there suddenly fanatics everywhere? And why are there refugees swamping our borders? We must do something! Quick! Let's give Erdogan some cash and….. WTF? Why is he calling us Nazis?

  • Russell A Wilson

    I watched a show last night first time in a long while of actually watching TV. I was amazed and disgusted how low the intellect has really fallen in the US. There is no talk of diplomacy anywhere just talk of how the US is justified in its actions and how Russia must drop its support for Assad and build more lies to support their case. Already the missile attack is being portrayed as a complete success and has knocked out 20% of the Syrian air force and Russia knew about the chem attack before hand. They talk just like they are divinely right and everyone else must submit to them. This is not a country that wants peace it is country of war full of insane and stupid people from top to bottom.

  • Antikapitalista

    Because Tulsi Gabbard is the only one who has met Bashar Hafez al-Assad, so she is the most competent in this matter to judge him.

    Regarding “Explanation B”: that is utter nonsense; the Russians had every right to destroy them.

    But only some of them really flew in the vicinity of Russian air-defense systems.

    Furthermore, point-defence systems like Pantsir are needed for this, more expensive countermeasures would defeat the purpose of defence and would be Pyrrhic victory.

    • chris chuba

      More importantly, Gabbard has talked with Syrians who would end up living in the Jihadist hell that McCain would subject them to. I have heard her talk about that, this is what I believe gives her the resolve that she has.

      • Daniel Castro

        Don’t hold your breath… Even if she is elected she will be subject to the same type of intimidation Trump is. USA is ruled by a violent brutal mafia, which is even worst than cosanostra, the only way of taking them out of power is by force, be it violent revolution, civil war, or nuclear exchange.

        • cortisol

          How about a decapitation strike on the next Bilderberg meeting.

          • Daniel Castro

            Do you think there is any possibility of some decent human being in charge of USA military forces? You take down financial power, what’s left? There’s still military, media, industrial elite… everything is rotten to the core…

  • Sephy

    I don’t believe the Russians used some electronic counter-measures against US missiles. If they had, US reactions would have been furious. US doesn’t shy about exposing their own weaknesses.

    Nor do I believe that 59 missiles hit the target. If they did, the airbase would not exist afterward.

    Yes, Europeans are dead pigs, Latin America is too weak, Middle East is toilet, but Chinese are a coward. They will never do anything, so don’t count on them.

    You are alone.

    Also, don’t ever think that there will be US president who would be soft to the Russians. They are all same. I knew this when trump was elected and some people were dancing.

    • chris chuba

      If they had, US reactions would have been furious.

      Had the Russians used their S300’s then I’d agree because that would be a show of force. Using EW allows the Pentagon to lie about it and save face. The Russians have not made a big deal about this and this has not gotten coverage in the MSM.

      • Sephy

        You are telling this because you love the russians. Reality is, they didn’t do anything. There is no evidence. People are just guessing.

        • chris chuba

          You are right on both counts :-)

          In fact, I’d love to know how to verify how many Tomahawks hit their target. Pentagon says 58, Russia says 23. Saker made a reference to airport pictures showing the damage but didn’t provide a link. I would think that one could count the blast marks to make an accurate determination unless some of the Tomahawks go with mini-bombs for cratering or do they always use one 1,000lb explosive, do you know?

          • Sephy

            Who knows? The strike was a mystery.

        • Daniel Castro

          Don’t hold your breath… Even if she is elected she will be subject to the same type of intimidation Trump is. USA is ruled by a violent brutal mafia, which is even worst than cosanostra, the only way of taking them out of power is by force, be it violent revolution, civil war, or nuclear exchange.

    • Dustil schmit

      Trump will probably give China, Philippines and south China seas in exchange of dealing with NK and stop playing around in east china sea and better trade deals.

  • chris chuba

    Some free advice for the Russians and I do not care if this makes me sound like a traitor, I am not. While I agree with the Saker that the U.S. is not rational, and deterrence might not work, lack of resistance will most certainly be interpreted as weakness. Completely take out the next cruise missile attack, this might shock some of my complacent citizens into reality. Currently, they still believe that the Russians produce junk and are incapable of doing this.

    • Brad Isherwood

      Recent demands upon Iraq gov to disband the PMU and Shia Militias.
      Netanyahu and Haley with demands that Iran, IRGC,Hezbollah be removed from Syria.
      This is the Zionist Neocons getting out in front of others interests
      Such as pipeline routes and occupy Syria oil and natural gas fields.
      Right here is where Russia has a problem…
      Russia can ..or maybe has agreed to some form of Syria partition.
      US and Israel running loose inside Syria will become IED attacks,missile attacks.
      US media will not be able to hide the losses which will occur.
      It will become a quagmire for the US.
      The outcome tensions could create an incident in Persian Gulf
      Then it’s war

      I wish Putin was not so buddy with Netanyahu. ..
      The rumor the Jews are back in control of Russia may be true.
      If so….Israel will try to push on them..just as they push on the US to
      Serve their interests.
      In this regard. …they will have war with Iran…they say so everyday it seems

    • Real Anti-Racist Action

      As an American Patriot, I completely agree with you. Our ZOG ran government has been out of control since the mid 1800’s.
      Russia is backing away far to much. (The US is not really willing to fight a huge war, they are just pretending. As long as Russia backs away and the US gets its way, then the US keeps pushing further)

      Also, maybe high ranking Russians have been in cahoots with international-Zionist for a while now.
      Maybe they figure if no one seems to be standing up against the Zionist-Occupied-Government of the US-Empire, then they would may really join hands and truly rebel and end the Empire.
      But if Russia plays along and pretends to oppose Zio-Globalization, then perhaps the rest of the world will do nothing wrongly believing that Russia is in actual opposition to the world being forced under a One World Government.
      Perhaps both the US and UK and Israel and Russia have together behind closed doors deceived all of us.

      I am beginning to think that the only real opposition to the global-empire is Iran and best-Korea and Lebanon and Syria and Ireland and Yemen and Libya, oops, Libya got taken out already. Which Russia totally allowed to happen by the way.

      • Wilfried Waltke

        “Russia is backing away far to much.” Let me quote “Now we have forced Hitler to war so that he can no longer pick up a piece of the Versailles Treaty by peaceful means.”
        Lord Halifax, English Ambassador in Washington, 1939 (see “Nation Europa”, year 1954, issue 1, p. 46) So will be Wladimir Putins destiny. They will drag him to war, sooner or later. Russia can’t back away as much as it should.

      • Charlie rad

        Russia is done Backing up. They would rather fight WW3 on Syrian soil Than on Russian soil. I believe we are seeing the true Russian REDLINE. They have been preparing for this for 20 yrs. Now they’re ready. WW3 is bad for ALL of us. Better now than later. neocons are being called on their “Nuclear Bluff”.

    • Jesus

      US leadership may be not rational and living in a different reality of their own making, is the US military in the same delusional stupor?
      Syria should receive S300 and Tor missiles in abundant quantities, manned by Syrians and their Russian advisers, and if there is a next time, the Russians should use the EW capability or embarrass the attacking force even more, then shoot down the remaining missiles.

      • Hrky75

        Hey Jesus, remember our discussion on Mad Dog Mattis 4 months ago? I don’t want to sa I told you so – but I told you so.

        • Jesus

          Mad Dog Mattis presents options to the president, and the president decides.
          Trump is using the military to aggrandize his persona, giving him an upper bullying hand in dealing with others.

      • Justin Ryan

        S-350’s carry 6 missiles instead of 4.
        Pantsir s-2’s
        Buk-M3’s
        Krasukha EW System

        thats all they need!

  • Daniel Castro

    Readind this aricle I am even more sure we’re going to have WW3 on the next years…

  • FlorianGeyer

    The Sakers appraisal of current events should be mandatory teaching in all schools and universities world wide for many generations. If the world survives that long.

    A superb article indeed.

  • John Brown

    Saker this is a good analysis except for the reason why the USA can’t
    keep any agreements and your totally wrong solution of Russian total surrender . Even irrational persons can make agreements and stick to them, they are just irrational agreements.
    Not keeping agreement happens when one is not negotiating with the person who
    has the power to make decisions and keep agreements. This is very obvious and well
    known by all experienced negotiators etc. for you to say Russia negotiators don’t
    know this means they are totally incompetent

    The reason the USA is not keeping is its agreement is that US
    presidents, congress etc. have no authority to make any such agreements and therefore
    can’t keep them even if they wanted to.

    The USA is controlled by racist supremacist Jews who rule
    most of the world through their ruling over the USA. US presidents, congress should not even be consulted in any agreements if you want the to US to keep such agreements.
    One has to negotiate with the masters of the USA with decision making authority, who are racist supremacist, billionaire, Jews, the 40 billionaires who rule America like Sheldon Adelson, George Soros, Rothschild’s, to name few and these racist supremacist Jews who also rule most of the world Western Europe etc. through their total control of the USA. If you make an agreement with them it is worth far more than any agreement with any representatives of the US government as you have just proven, which these Jews own and control as they alone have the power and authority over the USA to make the USA keep any agreement as they give the orders and rules the USA with an iron fist.

    Jews brag that they like to use as a negotiating tactic on those like you,
    who are terrible negotiators, that they are irrational and must be given their way
    because of this. They are in fact very rational and would not be the rulers of
    America if they were not.

    All Russia has to do is tell the ruling class, racist, supremacist, billionaire Jews, Syria is
    ours, Israel is yours, if you break this agreement and make trouble in our area
    of influence or any of your vassals do, we will consider it that you are breaking
    the agreement and you will be the first ones we retaliate against with nuclear weapons,
    so all of you 40 billionaires will be destroyed and we will also destroy first,
    all Zionist assets around the globe, if you start a war. Break this agreement and it
    will be world war 3 and it must be made clear they will cease to exist within
    30 minutes.

    Then there will be instant peace as the 40 billionaires will make sure none of their slaves, America, the UK, France etc will dare to break it. Moving many tactical nukes into Syria for use
    against any Israeli, USA, Turkish, Saudi invasions and short ranges nuke missiles aimed
    at Israel and Saudi Arabia will show Russian resolve. Russia must make it public they are doing this and show pictures of the nukes in Syria.

    Now your suggestion of Russian surrender will mean the total destruction of the Russian state and the Russian people within 2 years tops.

    It’s very simple Russian vital interests are at stake in Syria as are those
    of the entire world wishing to be free of the racist supremacist Zionist
    empire. The interests of the US and its Zionist masters are not at stake in
    Syria. If Russia gives in when its vital interest are at stake Russia can look
    forward losing all its allies China included very quickly and to tens of ISIS
    and al-Qaida terror attacks all over Russia an din Russian cities every day and probably more than 100k plus ISIS and al-Qaida fighters in Russia and a natural gas pipeline from Saudi
    and Qatar to replace Russian oil exports completely to Europe and the violent overthrow and
    destruction of Russia as a state with probably more than half its population or more eliminated at best.

    As I said Russia needs to make it clear to the USA and its Israeli masters
    that the price of Syria for them is their own total destruction in a global
    nuclear exchange and do it now. Organized racist, supremacist, Jewry and their American
    slave lap dogs think they can do as they please and Russia won’t do anything because of people who talk like you.

    If they dare to test Russia’s resolve Nuking Diego Garcia is a good start (demonstration) and should change that mind set. It’s a good target, only military, away from civilians and its destruction removes an important weapons storage depot for the empire. Then if they don’t get the message
    nuke any attack of invading forces, sites of missile launches, then the racist, supremacist
    Jewish billionaires, then Israel and Zionist global assets, then the USA all
    NATO going all the way if that is what they want.

    The MAD doctrine worked for 50 plus years people like you who want Russia to abandon it and give in threaten the extinction of all of humanity.

  • Albert Peace

    Very good article,well written and objective.

  • Jonathan Cohen

    I am wondering how the tomahawks are changing Syrian and Russian deployments??? My guess and advice is that Syria will move towards an HTS/AQ first strategy and reduce offensives on the Daesh front until after HTS/AQ is defeated (like the allied Germany first strategy that really wasn’t). I also expect Russia to send more replacement equipment including replacing the destroyed aircraft and bombs, but less personnel to keep Russians out of harms way (except for air defense near Russian bases). Am I guessing right???

  • wwinsti

    Sadly, the one hope held out to the world by the Saker is a more reasonable US presidency. This is a common last straw of hope held onto by many Americans, indeed, the entire world apparently. The problem is that the office of the President has almost no power on it’s own. When a new Chief executive comes into office in the United States, they are provided a list of acceptable candidates to fill the various administrative offices available. Ignoring this list is tantamount to a declaration of war against the Congress and other PTBs. So Russia would be better off assuming there are no rational actors in DC. The cultural bubble of power that surrounds Washington is absolute in nature, and no other thought process that doesn’t embrace absolute power will ever get close to having authority. The deep state is active, it is conscious, it will perpetuate itself at all costs. The one percent have been buying land in other countries, they’ve been buying up hardened missile silos and preparing them for long term occupation, there’s even a survivalist newsgroup in Texas that advertise underground horse ranches for those who wish to purchase space inside a vast, well stocked Armageddon town.

    In other words, there is no one left within the *masters of the universe*types who see a rational president as something useful to the maitainence of dull spectrum dominance. The Russian federation should have went into pure survival mode 2 years ago.

  • John Brown

    Saker this is a good analysis except for the reason why the USA can’t keep any agreements and your totally wrong solution of Russian total surrender . Even irrational persons can make agreements and stick to them, they are just irrational agreements. Not keeping agreement happens when one is not negotiating with the person who has the power to make decisions and keep agreements. This is very obvious and well known by all experienced negotiators etc. for you to say Russia negotiators don’t know this means they are totally incompetent The reason the USA is not keeping is its agreement is that US presidents, congress etc. have no authority to make any such agreements and therefore can’t keep them even if they wanted to.
    The USA is controlled by racist supremacist Jews who rule most of the world through their ruling over the USA. US presidents, congress should not even be consulted in any agreements if you want the to US to keep such agreements. One has to negotiate with those in the USA with decision making authority, racist supremacist, billionaire, Jews, the 40 billionaires who rule America like Sheldon Adelson, George Soros, Rothschild’s, to name few, who also rule most of the world Western Europe etc. through their total control of the USA. If you make an agreement with them it is worth far more than any agreement with any representatives of the US government as you have just proven, as they alone have the power and authority over the USA to make the USA keep any agreement as they give the orders and rule the USA.
    Jews brag that they like to use as a negotiating tactic on those like you,
    who are terrible negotiators, that they are irrational and must be given their way
    because of this. They are in fact very rational and would not be the rulers of
    America if they were not. All Russia has to do is tell the ruling class, racist, supremacist, billionaire Jews, Syria is ours, Israel is yours, if you break this agreement and make trouble in our area
    of influence or any of your vassals do, we will consider it as you breaking
    the agreement and you will be the first ones we retaliate against with nuclear weapons,
    so all of you 40 billionaires will be destroyed and we will also destroy first,
    all Zionist assets around the globe, if you start a war. Break this agreement and it
    will be world war 3 and it must be made clear they will cease to exist within
    30 minutes.
    Then there will be instant peace as the 40 billionaires will make sure none of their slaves, America, the UK, France etc will dare to break it. Moving many tactical nukes into Syria for use
    against any Israeli, USA, Turkish, Saudi invasions and short ranges nuke missiles aimed
    at Israel and Saudi Arabia will show Russian resolve. Russia must make it public they are doing this and show pictures of the nukes in Syria.
    Now your suggestion of Russian surrender in Syria will mean the total destruction of the Russian state and the Russian people within 2 years tops.
    It’s very simple Russian vital interests, the very existence of Russia and the Russian people are at stake in Syria as are those of the entire world wishing to be free of the racist supremacist Zionist empire.
    The vital interests, the very existence of the US and its Zionist masters are not at stake in Syria. If Russia gives in when its vital interest are at stake Russia can look
    forward losing all its allies China included very quickly and to tens of ISIS
    and al-Qaida terror attacks all over Russia and in Russian cities every day and probably more than 100k plus ISIS and al-Qaida fighters in Russia and a natural gas and gas pipelines from Saudi and Qatar to replace Russian oil and gas exports completely to Europe and the violent overthrow and destruction of Russia as a state with probably more than half its population or more eliminated at best. Organized racist, supremacist, Jewry and their American
    slave lap dogs think they can do as they please and Russia won’t do anything because of people who talk like you. If they dare to test Russia’s resolve Nuking Diego Garcia is a good start (demonstration) and should change that mind set. It’s a good target, only military, away from civilians and its destruction removes an important weapons storage depot for the empire. Then if they don’t get the message nuke any attack of invading forces, sites of missile launches, then the racist, supremacist Jewish billionaires, then Israel and Zionist global assets, then the USA all
    NATO going all the way if that is what they want. The MAD doctrine worked for 50 plus years people like you who want Russia to abandon it and give in threaten the extinction of all of humanity.

  • John Brown

    part 1
    Saker this is a good analysis except for the reason why the USA can’t
    keep any agreements and your totally wrong solution of Russian total surrender . Even irrational persons can make agreements and stick to them, they are just irrational agreements.
    Not keeping agreement happens when one is not negotiating with the person who
    has the power to make decisions and keep agreements. This is very obvious and well
    known by all experienced negotiators etc. for you to say Russia negotiators don’t
    know this means they are totally incompetent The reason the USA is not keeping is its agreement is that US presidents, congress etc. have no authority to make any such agreements and therefore can’t keep them even if they wanted to.
    The USA is controlled by racist supremacist Jews who rule most of the world through their ruling over the USA. US presidents, congress should not even be consulted in any agreements if you want the to US to keep such agreements. One has to negotiate with those in the USA with decision making authority, racist supremacist, billionaire, Jews, the 40 billionaires who rule America like Sheldon Adelson, George Soros, Rothschild’s, to name few, who also rule most of the world Western Europe etc. through their total control of the USA. If you make an agreement with them it is worth far more than any agreement with any representatives of the US government as you have just proven, as they alone have the power and authority over the USA to make the USA keep any agreement as they give the orders and rule the USA.
    Jews brag that they like to use as a negotiating tactic on those like you,
    who are terrible negotiators, that they are irrational and must be given their way
    because of this. They are in fact very rational and would not be the rulers of
    America if they were not.

    • John Brown

      Part 2

      All Russia has to do is tell the ruling class, racist, supremacist, billionaire Jews, Syria is
      ours, Israel is yours, if you break this agreement and make trouble in our area
      of influence or any of your vassals do, we will consider it as you breaking
      the agreement and you will be the first ones we retaliate against with nuclear weapons,
      so all of you 40 billionaires will be destroyed and we will also destroy first,
      all Zionist assets around the globe, if you start a war. Break this agreement and it
      will be world war 3 and it must be made clear they will cease to exist within
      30 minutes.
      Then there will be instant peace as the 40 billionaires will make sure none of their slaves, America, the UK, France etc will dare to break it. Moving many tactical nukes into Syria for use against any Israeli, USA, Turkish, Saudi invasions and short ranges nuke missiles aimed at Israel and Saudi Arabia will show Russian resolve. Russia
      must make it public they are doing this and show pictures of the nukes in Syria.
      Now your suggestion of Russian surrender in Syria will mean
      the total destruction of the Russian state and the Russian people within 2
      years tops.
      It’s very simple Russian vital interests, the very existence of Russia and the Russian people are at stake in Syria as are those of the entire world wishing to be free of the
      racist supremacist Zionist empire.
      The vital interests, the very existence of the US and its Zionist masters are not at stake in Syria. If Russia gives in when its vital interest are at stake Russia can look
      forward losing all its allies China included very quickly and to tens of ISIS
      and al-Qaida terror attacks all over Russia and in Russian cities every day and probably more than 100k plus ISIS and al-Qaida fighters in Russia and a natural gas and gas pipelines from Saudi and Qatar to replace Russian oil and gas exports completely
      to Europe and the violent overthrow and destruction of Russia as a state with probably more than half its population or more eliminated at best.
      Organized racist, supremacist, Jewry and their American slave lap dogs think they can do as they please and Russia won’t do anything because of people who talk like you.
      If they dare to test Russia’s resolve Nuking Diego Garcia is
      a good start (demonstration) and should change that mind set. It’s a good
      target, only military, away from civilians and its destruction removes an
      important weapons storage depot for the empire. Then if they don’t get the
      message nuke any attack of invading forces, sites of missile launches,
      then the racist, supremacist Jewish billionaires, then Israel and Zionist global assets,
      then the USA all NATO going all the way if that is what they want.
      The MAD doctrine worked for 50 plus years people like you
      who want Russia to abandon it and give in threaten the extinction of all of
      humanity.

    • John Brown

      Part 3
      The interests of the US and its Zionist masters are not at stake in
      Syria. If Russia gives in when its vital interest are at stake Russia can look
      forward losing all its allies China included very quickly and to tens of ISIS
      and al-Qaida terror attacks all over Russia an din Russian cities every day and
      probably more than 100k plus ISIS and al-Qaida fighters in Russia and a natural
      gas
      and oil pipeline from Saudi and Qatar to replace Russian oil exports
      completely to Europe and the violent overthrow and destruction of Russia
      as a state with probably more than half its population or more
      eliminated at best.
      As I said Russia needs to make it clear to the USA and its Israeli masters
      that the price of Syria for them is their own total destruction in a global
      nuclear exchange and do it now. Organized racist, supremacist, Jewry and their American
      slave lap dogs think they can do as they please and Russia won’t do anything
      because of people who talk like you.
      If
      they dare to test Russia’s resolve Nuking Diego Garcia is a good start
      (demonstration) and should change that mind set. It’s a good target,
      only military, away from civilians
      and its destruction removes an important weapons storage depot for the empire.
      Then
      if they don’t get the message nuke any attack of invading forces, sites
      of missile launches, then the racist, supremacist Jewish billionaires,
      then Israel and Zionist global assets, then the USA all, NATO going all
      the way if that is what they want.
      The MAD doctrine worked for 50
      plus years people like you who want Russia to abandon it and give in
      threaten the extinction of all of humanity.

  • John Brown

    Part 2
    All Russia has to do is tell the ruling class, racist, supremacist, billionaire Jews, Syria is
    ours, Israel is yours, if you break this agreement and make trouble in our area
    of influence or any of your vassals do, we will consider it as you breaking
    the agreement and you will be the first ones we retaliate against with nuclear weapons,
    so all of you 40 billionaires will be destroyed and we will also destroy first,
    all Zionist assets around the globe, if you start a war. Break this agreement and it
    will be world war 3 and it must be made clear they will cease to exist within
    30 minutes.
    Then
    there will be instant peace as the 40 billionaires will make sure none
    of their slaves, America, the UK, France etc will dare to break it.
    Moving many tactical nukes into Syria for use
    against any Israeli, USA, Turkish, Saudi invasions and short ranges nuke missiles aimed
    at
    Israel and Saudi Arabia will show Russian resolve. Russia must make it
    public they are doing this and show pictures of the nukes in Syria.
    Now
    your suggestion of Russian surrender in Syria will mean the total
    destruction of the Russian state and the Russian people within 2 years
    tops.
    It’s very simple Russian vital interests, the very existence of
    Russia and the Russian people are at stake in Syria as are those of
    the entire world wishing to be free of the racist supremacist Zionist
    empire.
    The vital interests, the very existence of the US and its
    Zionist masters are not at stake in Syria. If Russia gives in when its
    vital interest are at stake Russia can look
    forward losing all its allies China included very quickly and to tens of ISIS
    and
    al-Qaida terror attacks all over Russia and in Russian cities every day
    and probably more than 100k plus ISIS and al-Qaida fighters in Russia
    and a natural gas and gas pipelines from Saudi and Qatar to replace
    Russian oil and gas exports completely to Europe and the violent
    overthrow and destruction of Russia as a state with probably more than
    half its population or more eliminated at best. Organized racist,
    supremacist, Jewry and their American
    slave lap dogs think they can
    do as they please and Russia won’t do anything because of people who
    talk like you. If they dare to test Russia’s resolve Nuking Diego Garcia
    is a good start (demonstration) and should change that mind set. It’s a
    good target, only military, away from civilians and its destruction
    removes an important weapons storage depot for the empire. Then if they
    don’t get the message
    nuke any attack of invading forces, sites of missile launches, then the racist, supremacist
    Jewish billionaires, then Israel and Zionist global assets, then the USA all
    NATO going all the way if that is what they want.
    The
    MAD doctrine worked for 50 plus years people like you who want Russia
    to abandon it and give in threaten the extinction of all of humanity.

  • John Brown

    Part 1
    Saker this is a good analysis except for the reason why the USA can’t
    keep any agreements and your totally wrong solution of Russian total surrender
    Even irrational persons can make agreements and stick to them, they are just
    irrational agreements. Not keeping agreement happens when one is not negotiating with the person who has the power to make decisions and keep agreements. This is very obvious and
    well known by all experienced negotiators etc. for you to say Russia negotiators
    don’t know this means they are totally incompetent
    The reason the USA is not keeping is its agreement is that US presidents, congress etc. have no authority to make any such agreements and therefore can’t keep them even if they wanted to.
    The USA is controlled by racist supremacist Jews who rule
    most of the world through their ruling over the USA. US presidents, congress
    should not even be consulted in any agreements if you want the to US to keep
    such agreements.
    One has to negotiate with the masters of the USA with decision making
    authority, who are racist supremacist, billionaire, Jews, the 40 billionaires
    who rule America like Sheldon Adelson, George Soros, Rothschild’s, to name few
    and these racist supremacist Jews who also rule most of the world Western
    Europe etc. through their total control of the USA. If you make an agreement
    with them it is worth far more than any agreement with any representatives of
    the US government as you have just proven, which these Jews own and control as
    they alone have the power and authority over the USA to make the USA keep any
    agreement as they give the orders and rules the USA with an iron fist.
    Jews brag that they like to use as a negotiating tactic on those like you,
    who are terrible negotiators, that they are irrational and must be given their
    way because of this. They are in fact very rational and would not be the rulers of
    America if they were not.

    • Jonathan Cohen

      Russia should annex Syria and defend abortion rights there as in Russia. Russian annexation would get rid of Assad but keep all the Russian bases you want so it’s win win.

      • John Brown

        Annexing territory without a referendum and consent of the people is illegal that is what Israel and their Zionist ally Hitler did and do.

    • John Brown

      Part 2
      All Russia has to do is tell the ruling class, racist, supremacist, billionaire Jews, Syria is
      ours, Israel is yours, if you break this agreement and make trouble in our area
      of influence or any of your vassals do, we will consider as you are breaking
      the agreement and you will be the first ones we retaliate against with nuclear
      weapons, so all of you 40 billionaires will be destroyed and we will also destroy first,
      all Zionist assets around the globe, if you start a war. Break this agreement
      and it Will be world war 3 and it must be made clear they will cease to exist within
      30 minutes.
      Then
      there will be instant peace as the 40 billionaires will make sure none
      of their slaves, America, the UK, France etc will dare to break it.
      Moving many tactical nukes into Syria for
      use against any Israeli, USA, Turkish, Saudi invasions and short ranges nuke
      missiles aimed at Israel and Saudi Arabia will show Russian resolve. Russia must make it
      public they are doing this and show pictures of the nukes in Syria.
      Now
      your suggestion of Russian surrender will mean the total destruction of
      the Russian state and the Russian people within 2 years tops.
      It’s very simple Russian vital interests are at stake in Syria as are those
      of the entire world wishing to be free of the racist supremacist Zionist
      empire.

  • John Brown

    Part 2
    All Russia has to do is tell the ruling class, racist, supremacist, billionaire Jews, Syria is
    ours, Israel is yours, if you break this agreement and make trouble in our area
    of influence or any of your vassals do, we will consider as you are breaking
    the agreement and you will be the first ones we retaliate against with nuclear
    weapons, so all of you 40 billionaires will be destroyed and we will also destroy first,
    all Zionist assets around the globe, if you start a war. Break this agreement
    and it Will be world war 3 and it must be made clear they will cease to exist within
    30 minutes.
    Then there will be instant peace as the 40 billionaires will make sure none of their slaves, America, the UK, France etc will dare to break it. Moving many tactical nukes into Syria for
    use against any Israeli, USA, Turkish, Saudi invasions and short ranges nuke
    missiles aimed at Israel and Saudi Arabia will show Russian resolve. Russia must make it
    public they are doing this and show pictures of the nukes in Syria.
    Now your suggestion of Russian surrender will mean the total destruction of the Russian state and the Russian people within 2 years tops.
    It’s very simple Russian vital interests are at stake in Syria as are those
    of the entire world wishing to be free of the racist supremacist Zionist
    empire. The interests of the US and its Zionist masters are not at stake in
    Syria. If Russia gives in when its vital interest are at stake Russia can look
    forward losing all its allies China included very quickly and to tens of ISIS
    and al-Qaida terror attacks all over Russia an din Russian cities every day and
    probably more than 100k plus ISIS and al-Qaida fighters in Russia and a natural
    gas and oil pipeline from Saudi and Qatar to replace Russian oil exports completely to Europe and the violent overthrow and destruction of Russia as a state with probably more than half its population or more eliminated at best.
    As I said Russia needs to make it clear to the USA and its Israeli masters
    that the price of Syria for them is their own total destruction in a global
    nuclear exchange and do it now. Organized racist, supremacist, Jewry and their American
    slave lap dogs think they can do as they please and Russia won’t do anything
    because of people who talk like you.
    If they dare to test Russia’s resolve Nuking Diego Garcia is a good start (demonstration) and should change that mind set. It’s a good target, only military, away from civilians
    and its destruction removes an important weapons storage depot for the empire.
    Then if they don’t get the message nuke any attack of invading forces, sites of missile launches, then the racist, supremacist Jewish billionaires, then Israel and Zionist global assets, then the USA all, NATO going all the way if that is what they want.
    The MAD doctrine worked for 50 plus years people like you who want Russia to abandon it and give in threaten the extinction of all of humanity.

  • Justin Ryan

    There is another theory to this but its sounds a little conspiratorial! But here goes…… WHAT IF…… Trump and Putin agreed to do this so Trump could get the “Russian Puppet” thing of his back! At the same time have this incident occur during the Chinese Presidents Visit to USA and to tell North Korea and the world that the USA means business under Trump!

    This gets the NeoCons off Trumps back, CNN has gone quiet!

    Also keep in mind that of the 59 tomahawk missiles launched only 23 made it to the target IN WHICH only 6 aircraft were lost and those aircraft were mearly su-23’s worth around 100k each and were already in repair therefore they were not being flown.

    Ive read that the remaining aircraft were both scrambled and shifted onto the Grass.

    Sounds crazy but when u think about it, why wasn’t the runway hit!!!! I mean, the Syrian Airforce began using the airbase only 36 hours after the missile attack upon it!

    so a few bunkers were destroyed, 6 cheap and low tech aircraft were destroyed that were already in repair and everything else was fine!

    Just a bit of food for thought.

    • Jonathan Cohen

      I generally agree except that it didn’t need Putin’s advance agreement. Putin can get the message from the minimal damage alone that the attack was for show and to give Trump domestic breathing room for peace and cooperation with Russia, allied by mutual abortion rights, also with North Korea but not Syria or Iran (though Iran does have good contraception I hear.)

      • John Brown

        Yes Mr. racist supremacist, Mr. Cohen abortion rights, abort all those Goyim babies they are less then animals compared to you, the master Jewish race. I get your comment. Wow, I thought this site did not allow all such open racism and hate and the advocating of the extermination of non Jewish peoples, yes I get your comments they fit with the forced sterilization and forced abortion of Ethiopian black Jews.
        These links below on Jewish racism were on RT, if they could show it
        hopefully this site will allow it.
        JEWISH FORCED STERILIZATION
        http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZFTvvFpKUQ
        Video links, Racism in Israel against all Goyim / humanity not an isolated incident. They are from “SOS Racism” so again I hope you will allow it on this site for all to
        see.
        The Persecution of African Migrants in the Holy Land by Israeli
        government and people it’s not just a few it’s the majority of Israel and the
        Israeli government
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dPxv4Aff3IA
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2iIZd4O5IDo&t=639s
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hX2ub2CyoiY
        Jews want Africans OUT.
        http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OOGSBHqRDuw
        Israel: NO BLACKS ALLOWED.
        http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irhw6bj5pa0
        Ester Vorknach: Sick & tired of racism in Israel
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XDES2UIHXF8

        • Jonathan Cohen

          I’m pretty much aryan, childfree, and got a vasectomy at 25. I demand abortion rights for EVERY RACE INCLUDING MY OWN, largely to end oil wars and the abortion bans that cause them. Israel recently banned abortion so Russia should annex them too, along with Syria and especially Saudi Arabia.

          • John Brown

            You can say what you want about who you are it is the internet, I am just a nobody, I can’t find out who you are I am not the Mossad,, I DON’T NEED TO, your comments give it away, your comments are those of a racist, supremacist, Jew, who thinks Jews are the master race, and all non Jews are sub humans, lower then animals, born to be slaves of Jews or to be killed. “Goyim were born only to serve us. Without that, they have no place in the world” only to serve the People of Israel,

            No place in this world, no right to live, yes I get it, abort and or exterminate or enslave if they are lucky all Goyim. If demons exist on this earth you are one of them.

            http://www.jta.org/2010/10/
            Sephardi leader Yosef: Non-Jews exist to serve Jews
            http://www.jta.org/2010/10/18/news-opinion/israel-middle-east/sephardi-leader-yosef-non-Jews-exist-to-serve-jews
            By Marcy Oster October 18, 2010 10:40pm
            JERUSALEM (JTA) — Israeli Sephardic leader Rabbi Ovadia Yosef in his weekly Saturday night sermon said that non-Jews exist to serve Jews.
            “Goyim were born only to serve us. Without that, they have no place in the world; only to serve the People of Israel,” he said during a public discussion of what kind of work non-Jews are allowed to perform on Shabbat.
            “Why are gentiles needed? They will work, they will plow, they will
            reap. We will sit like an effendi and eat,” he said to some laughter.
            Yosef, the spiritual leader of the Shas Party and the former chief Sephardi rabbi of Israel,

          • Jonathan Cohen

            There were more jews in 1915 than there are today. What other races can say that? Maybe Russians but certainly not Arabs. My real name is Alan Ditmore, you can google it. My real account was deleted by facebook in the last election, forcing me into the fake one which happens to sound jewish.

          • Jonathan Cohen

            According to wikipedia; Israeli abortion law is identical to Palestinian, Jordanian, Sudanese and Omani; so they are natural allies.

          • John Brown

            Abortion is only banned for the master race in Israel it is mandatory /compulsory for Ethiopian black Jews, and Goyim / Gentiles and there is even now a genetic test for Jewish racial purity, in order to become a citizen of Israel, it can’t get more racist then that. Even Nazis, the KKK, every other racist group on the earth does not do that as far as I am aware, making Israel and Jews the most racist people and country to ever exist on this earth.

          • Jonathan Cohen

            Banning abortion for anyone is a criminal act deserving invasion and annexation by nations with abortion rights like Russia, US,Turkey, Bahrain or North Korea, but not their anti-abortion proxies like Syria, Iran or Saudi Arabia. Abortion rights liberators MUST ANNEX abortion rights, not like US in Iraq or Turkey in Al-Bab, but more like Dutch Aruba or French Guyana. Perhaps Syria should have abortion rights like French Guyana!

          • Jonathan Cohen

            My nation info is here: you are welcome to edit the Israel entry if you know better: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abortion_law . I want the blue nations to take over the world. I do have some trouble believing that Israel would not let anyone of any race choose their own fertility. Certainly anyone who has been forcibly sterilized deserves a million dollar compensation for saving school tax.